Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
TDN-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-3   Win (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-4   Win (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
TDN-5   Win (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.60  
TDN-6   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
TDN-7   Win (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-8   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $14.20  
TDN-9   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:23 :472 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN MONEY 2 7 64 7   5 1hd (higham nicole)DIAZ I 121 5.00 12% 7.50 4.80 W
REINVESTEDINTEREST 3 6 32 4   11 2hd (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 55% 0.80 0.20 P
WEEKEND BUZZ 4 4 7 5   31 3 (calderon)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 21.90  
NEBULOSA 1 5 11 1½   4 4 (johnson gary )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 10.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
HENRY THE CAT 7 3 21 2½   21 5 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 9% 9.80 6.50  
ATTACK ANGLE 8 1 5 3   7 6 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 20.00 90.60  
RED HOT POWER 5 2 4 6   6 7 (gonzalez donaci)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 40.20  
GIBBY MY CORN 6 8 810¼ 8   8 8 (trevino g)PEREZ A 119 10.00 64.70  
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER               (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 2 3 2nk 1nk   11 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 41% 1.40 0.70 W
SPARKLING JEWEL 6 1 6 3   31 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 13.50  
AUSTRIAN NAVY 4 2 1nk 2nk   21 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 23% 3.40 2.70 S
MIDNIGHT WONDER 5 5 31 4   46 411¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 8.30  
WILMA MANKILLER 1 6 4 6   5 515 (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 4.30  
LOFTY COWTOWN 3 4 5 5   610 619¼ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
SCR  CHANEL SPIRIT               (cline robert )NUNEZ Y 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 3 3 31 2½ 17 1 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 27% 2.70 1.20 W
LEXATOGA 2 7 814½ 814¼ 67 3 2 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 5.50  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 1 2 21 21 3 410 313 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00 23.60  
KLAATU 6 8 5 59 7 711¾ 413 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 24.50  
MASTER 8 1 11 11 1½ 27 513½ (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 123 20.00 9.10  
OPEN OUT 7 5 610 712¾ 8 812¾ 613¾ (winters michel)HALDAR J 123 2.50 19% 4.30 17.90  
RUNNINGFORHOME 3 6 710½ 612½ 57 511½ 713¾ (ortiz-ruiz carmel)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20  
UNCLEJACKOMO 4 4 4 45 43 611½ 817¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 12% 7.70 5.00  
 
TDN-4   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ZARNETT 6 1 3 2nk   1½ 1 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 7% 13.10 2.10 W
POWERFUL PHIL 2 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 2 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 15% 5.80 1.60 P
GIFT OF OAK 3 7 4 44   4 3 (bookman don)POTTINGER MICHAEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10 S
MUCHO PRIMO 1 4 1nk 32   3 4 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 4.00 5.30  
MONSTER HUNTER 4 6 6 6   5 510 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00 42.70  
NICK CAN FIX 5 5 7 7   711 610¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 57% 0.80 2.50  
THE MAN CAN 7 2 5 5   6 712¾ (faulkner rodn)NUNEZ Y 119 20.00 83.10  
SCR  BABA LOOEY               (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE MIKE 4 3 1nk 11   1½ 1 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 5.80  
HIDDEN HEART 2 4 4 4   2½ 2 (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 4.50 10.30  
INDY'S HOPE 3 6 5 5   53 34 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 34.40  
VERNON'S BEST 6 1 3.2 31   4 44 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.50 29% 2.50 0.40  
FORMYBOYS 5 2 2nk 21   3 5 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 43% 1.30 3.30  
SKUNK APE 1 5 6 611½   66 6 (loudin-smith lo)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 5% 19.00 32.90  
SCR  MOONSHINE JOE               (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAIL'S DANCER 5 1 2nk 2nk   13 11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
CARMEN OHIO 3 5 43 44   45 21 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 123 3.00 32% 2.20 1.10 P
CHECK OUT LINE 2 3 31 3   23 31 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 12.10  
DANZA MAGIC 1 4 5 5   5 41 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 2.00 25% 3.00 2.10  
FABULOUS CLOWN 4 2 1nk 1nk   33 54 (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 123 4.50 5.30  
SCR  CHLOES ANGEL               (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED               (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131     1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINVEST 3 7 6 57 1 17 17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 56% 0.80 0.40 W
BIG POPPER 5 4 7 713½ 6 3 27 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 4.00 7.80  
JIMMY JUNGA 4 1 11 22 3 4 316½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 14% 6.10 4.00 S
STEP AHEAD 1 5 21 12 2 27 416½ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
ROYALLY FLUSHED 7 2 33 33 4 69 516¾ (short w)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 17.20  
FOOD FOODIE 2 6 44 4 5 5 617 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 14.00  
RULE IT 6 3 5 612 79 714 724¾ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
 
TDN-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:233 :471 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 3 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 4.50 6.10  
KINDERHOOK 7 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
CANNON MAN 6 5 4¾ 41   4 3 (fern)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00 13.40  
IRONCLAD ALIBI 2 6 7 6   6 4 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 3.00 4.70  
WOLFINE 4 1 3.2 3½   3 5 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 16% 5.10 18.50  
SPECTACULAR D'ORO 1 4 5 5   5 6 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 57% 0.80 0.60  
TEMPERED DREAM 5 7 6 7   711¾ 716¾ (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 18.50  
 
TDN-9   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TEN 6 4 42 2nk 1nk 1 16 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 1.40  
CARILLO 5 5 6 62 5 45 26 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 34% 1.90 4.50 P
BEN DIESEL 1 3 2½ 3.2 3.2 2 38 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 25% 2.90 1.70 S
MAJESTIC FLAG 3 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 3 4 (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00 6.70  
HUNTER SCOTT 4 2 31 5 4 57 512¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 7.60  
ROYAL DRAGOON 2 6 5 4 6 6 614½ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 31.40  
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE               ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.