Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-9   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 (johnson gary )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN MONEY Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
REINVESTEDINTEREST Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May04 (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  BEAT THE DEALER Sep19 Aug26 Jul18 Jun12 Dec07 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
WEEKEND BUZZ Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 (calderon)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
RED HOT POWER Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 (gonzalez donaci)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
GIBBY MY CORN Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jun05 (trevino g)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
HENRY THE CAT Aug27 Aug13 Jul25 Jul04 May23 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 9% 9.80    
ATTACK ANGLE Oct02 Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jul03 (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 20.00    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILMA MANKILLER Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 Oct12 Aug31 (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00    
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Aug30 Aug10 Jul11 Jun17 Apr24 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 41% 1.40    
LOFTY COWTOWN Sep19 Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 Dec21 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
AUSTRIAN NAVY Aug27 Jul25 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 23% 3.40    
MIDNIGHT WONDER Oct03 Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50    
SPARKLING JEWEL Jul25 Jul04 Jun07 May18 Nov20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
SCR  CHANEL SPIRIT Sep17 Sep05 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 (cline robert )NUNEZ Y 123 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE BEHAVIOR Aug15 Jul23 Jun17 Nov15 Nov01 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00    
LEXATOGA Sep24 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 Nov21 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
RUNNINGFORHOME Sep22 Jun30 Jun17 Jun10 Jan29 (ortiz-ruiz carmel)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLEJACKOMO Sep24 Feb05 Jan22 Jan02 Dec14 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 12% 7.70    
SERVE REVENGE COLD Sep12 Aug26 Jul16 Jun10 Jan02 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
KLAATU Sep12 Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
OPEN OUT Oct01 Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 (winters michel)HALDAR J 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
MASTER Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug15 Aug05 (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 123 20.00    
 
TDN-4   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO PRIMO Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
POWERFUL PHIL Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  BABA LOOEY Oct02 Sep10 Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
GIFT OF OAK Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul25 Jul02 (bookman don)POTTINGER MICHAEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
MONSTER HUNTER Sep25 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug06 (gon)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 15.00    
NICK CAN FIX Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jun25 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 57% 0.80    
DR. ZARNETT Oct03 Sep18 Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 7% 13.10    
THE MAN CAN Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 (faulkner rodn)NUNEZ Y 119 20.00    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKUNK APE Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Aug07 (loudin-smith lo)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN HEART Sep30 Sep09 Aug28     (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 4.50    
SCR  MOONSHINE JOE Sep30 Aug28 Jun20     (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
INDY'S HOPE Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
BUCKEYE MIKE Jul01 Jun12 May29     (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
FORMYBOYS Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
VERNON'S BEST Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-6   10/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA MAGIC Sep03 Aug10 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
CHECK OUT LINE Aug14 Jul17 Jul09 Jun10 Apr29 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00    
SCR  CHLOES ANGEL Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Jan23 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
CARMEN OHIO Sep03 Aug14 Jun27 Jun08 May21 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 123 3.00 32% 2.20    
FABULOUS CLOWN Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Feb13 (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 123 4.50    
GAIL'S DANCER Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul17 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED Sep18 Sep26 Aug30 Jul05 Jun19 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP AHEAD Sep05 Jun08 May23 Apr29 Mar26 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
FOOD FOODIE Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
REINVEST Aug20 Jul16 Jun18 May28 Apr10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
JIMMY JUNGA Sep05 Aug13 Jul10 Jun08 May21 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 14% 6.10    
BIG POPPER Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
RULE IT Sep05 Jul29 Jul10 Jun13 Apr21 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROYALLY FLUSHED Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul25 Jul06 (short w)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR D'ORO Sep04 Aug05 Jul02     (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 2.50 57% 0.80    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Aug19 Aug05 Oct28 Sep26 Sep06 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 3.00    
COUNTEVERYBLESSING Sep26 Aug15 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 4.50    
WOLFINE Oct03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
TEMPERED DREAM Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul19 Jun27 (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00    
CANNON MAN Oct03 Sep13 Aug31 Aug08 Jul15 (fern)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.00    
KINDERHOOK Jun18 May15 Mar28 Mar04 Nov15 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-9   10/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEN DIESEL Sep18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun22 Jun05 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 25% 2.90    
ROYAL DRAGOON Sep20 Sep10 Aug13 Aug01 Jul11 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAJESTIC FLAG Sep09 Aug19 Jul25 Jun22 May28 (jackson james)NUNEZ Y 119 10.00    
HUNTER SCOTT Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
CARILLO Sep18 Aug27 Aug01 Jun25 Jun04 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
ONE TEN Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Jul11 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul29 Jul11 (fer)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.