Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/8/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.80  
TDN-2   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-4   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $25.00  
TDN-5   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
TDN-6   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TDN-7   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.80  
TDN-8   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:132     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VECCHI 7 2 44½ 46½ 3.2 13 11 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 3.50 ★ 2.90  
8  GUESS AGAIN 8 6 711 710¼ 43¼ 35½ 21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 23% 3.30 5.40 P
1  SHAKE THE FROST 1 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 23 33½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00 10.90  
6  LIVING THE DREAM 6 10 68½ 58½ 55¼ 610 414½ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 115 15.00 18.10  
10  MARQUITOS M 10 7 1014¼ 812¼ 65¾ 59½ 515¼ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 72.10  
2  GHOST OF LONDYN 2 4 21½ 21½ 2nk 48 615¾ (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 8.00  
5  AKIMBO 5 9 57½ 610 812¾ 817½ 724½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.00 50% 1.00 2.70  
3  REIGNING DREAM 3 5 31½ 31½ 75¾ 716 826½ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
9  NATIONAL STORY 9 8 914 1016¼ 1014 919½ 926¾ (jensen p)GILBERT KYLE 119 5.00 38.30  
4  BIG TIME FLIRT 4 3 812 913¼ 913 1021 1033¼ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00 ######  
 
TDN-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL COOPER 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 63% 0.60 0.80 W
2  PROFESSOR NICK 2 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 ★ 1.80 P
7  EL FAITE 5 6 52¼ 42   32 31¼ (lopez jac)PILARES P 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.20 S
3  DRILL'S BOY 3 2 3.2 31   45 49¾ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.00 14.20  
9  JOHN FITZGERALD 7 1 4¾ 52½   59 512¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 7.00 5.00  
4  REMIX FROM PHOENIX 4 5 73¾ 710   718 622¾ (langley joshu)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 12.00 5% 19.00 48.60  
8  BOSS HOG 6 7 62¾ 66½   614 723¼ (langley joshua)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00 54.80  
SCR  BOBBY ROB               (szcze)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 20.00    
SCR  RUN VINICIUS               (mahan josep)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 15.00    
 
TDN-3   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS 1 6 55½ 55   31½ 1¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70 1.20 W
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 3 3 43 44   2½ 2¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 7.50  
2  O ROMEO 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 32 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 121 2.00 16% 5.40 3.30 S
4  GILLIGAN 4 4 32 33   52½ 44½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 3.40  
6  IF WE GET LUCKY 6 2 2½ 2nk   42½ 58¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 6.70  
5  VOORHEES 5 1 66 69   67 69¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
 
TDN-4   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :464 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EXALTADA 4 6 56½ 43   21½ 12½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 11.50  
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL 2 2 11 11½   11½ 22½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 7% 12.40 3.90 P
4  BELLE BOTTOMS 3 5 32½ 31½   32 35½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 2.40  
1  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT 1 3 21 21½   44½ 49¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 57% 0.80 2.50  
8  KINGDOM TRAILS 6 1 69½ 611¼   59 510¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50 1.90  
7  FUNNYSTASTIC 5 4 45½ 511   627 644¾ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
SCR  ILLUMINATE (IRE)               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00    
SCR  PLAY BALL SUSIE               (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:144     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNESCORTED 4 2 55½ 52¾ 2nk 14 14¾ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 121 2.00 35% 1.90 5.10 W
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 5 34 41¾ 41 24 24¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.60 24% 3.20 0.80 P
6  BEAUTY IN MOTION 5 3 45 3.2 1nk 36 312 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5.60  
1  KRISTIN 1 1 1½ 1nk 3½ 411 418¾ (rettele richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
4  TRAMA QUEEN 3 4 2½ 2nk 58 523 542½ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 3.00 2.30  
SCR  MANGORITA               (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SIOFRA 6 1 11 13½   15 13½ (wolochuk david)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 10% 8.80 2.00 W
3  WONDER WORLD 3 4 47 49½   49 23½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.50 7.00  
1  SECRET CALLER 1 3 21 33½   25 37¼ (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 62% 0.60 1.60 S
7  DREAMING OF WAR 7 2 32 23½   36½ 413½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 13.40  
5  S'MOR CRAFTY 5 6 68½ 616   619 518¼ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 37.30  
2  HOLIDAY MUSICAL 2 7 57 510   514 621¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 ★ 3.70  
4  COMPLEX RICHES 4 5 712½ 718   721 725¾ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
 
TDN-7   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLASS ACTOR 2 3 11½ 11   12 14 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 5.40  
5  NO ANGEL 5 2 21½ 21   22 24 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 0.70  
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST 6 1 42½ 64   56½ 38 (winters michel)HALDAR J 119 3.00 34% 1.90 4.90 S
3  AWESOME ENOUGH 3 6 52¾ 32   34½ 49 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
1  KOSCIUSZKO 1 5 32½ 53   46 510¼ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 3.50  
4  MONTAUK COVE 4 4 63¼ 42½   67½ 613 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 22% 3.60 22.70  
 
TDN-8   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SONNET 6 3 31½ 21 13 15 14½ (rotunno r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.40 W
2  LA ROSA 2 5 47½ 57 55 47 24½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 11.20  
3  QUEENIE ROSE 3 4 510½ 47 44 25 36 (clin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 18.40 10.40 S
5  MISSION GIRL 5 1 21½ 33 23 36 49¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.20 3.80  
1  TONALA 1 6 616½ 619 620 621 523¾ (ortiz-ruiz carmel)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 67.70  
4  FACTISIMFLASHY 4 2 11½ 11 33 515 628¼ (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 123 2.00 5.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.