Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/8/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/10)-(5/8/3/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/10)-(5/8/3/7/10)-(5/8/3/7/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/8/3/10)-(1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/10)-(1/7/4)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(1/2/5)-(1/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/3/7)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/2/1)-(1/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE THE FROST Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 Jul06 Jun19 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 6.00    
2  GHOST OF LONDYN Sep19 Sep04 Jul31 Apr08 Mar25 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00    
3  REIGNING DREAM May18 May04 Apr13 Feb14 Jan08 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG TIME FLIRT Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 Jul11 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00    
5  AKIMBO Sep04 Aug07 Nov15 Sep25   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.00 50% 1.00    
6  LIVING THE DREAM Sep04 Aug15 Jul31 May18 Apr11 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 115 15.00    
7  VECCHI Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul01 Oct28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50 ★    
8  GUESS AGAIN Aug15 Jul31 Jun26 May18 Oct11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 23% 3.30    
9  NATIONAL STORY Aug31 Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 119 5.00    
10  MARQUITOS M Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul15 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL COOPER Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
2  PROFESSOR NICK Sep16 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03   (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 ★    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
3  DRILL'S BOY Sep25 Sep16 Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
4  REMIX FROM PHOENIX         (langley jos)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
SCR  BOBBY ROB         (szc)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  RUN VINICIUS         (mahan jos)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
7  EL FAITE         (lopez j)PILARES P 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
8  BOSS HOG Sep25 Sep16       (langley josh)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MIDNIGHT CUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
9  JOHN FITZGERALD Sep25         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 7.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
TDN-3   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTIS OTIS OTIS Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  O ROMEO Aug29 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 May07 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 121 2.00 16% 5.40    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
4  GILLIGAN Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 Jul15 Jun24 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
5  VOORHEES Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  IF WE GET LUCKY Aug27 Aug20 Aug07 Jun13 May28 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Aug30 Aug10       (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOLIDAY STORM by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  ILLUMINATE (IRE) Sep16 Aug28       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BLAZING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul22   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00 7% 12.40    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
4  BELLE BOTTOMS Sep16 Aug28 Aug07     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  EXALTADA         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of TITAN'S TREASURE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  PLAY BALL SUSIE Sep24 Sep12       (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 15.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
7  FUNNYSTASTIC         (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
8  KINGDOM TRAILS         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of TROUT RIVER RED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
TDN-5   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRISTIN Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jun24 Jun13 (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Sep23 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 1.60 24% 3.20    
SCR  MANGORITA Sep23 Sep02 Sep20 Aug08 Jul20 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Sep23 Sep05 May20 May01 Jan09 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 3.00    
5  UNESCORTED Sep23 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 121 2.00 35% 1.90    
6  BEAUTY IN MOTION Sep23 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET CALLER Sep16         (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
  (by DIALED IN out of SECRET HAUL by DUNKIRK)
2  HOLIDAY MUSICAL         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  WONDER WORLD         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HEY MONBA by MONBA)
4  COMPLEX RICHES         (meyers shane)BRACHO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  S'MOR CRAFTY         (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 118 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  SIOFRA Aug28 Aug07 Jul22 Jun17   (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 10% 8.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
7  DREAMING OF WAR Sep09         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
TDN-7   10/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSCIUSZKO Sep12 Aug29 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
2  CLASS ACTOR Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jul11 Jun27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
3  AWESOME ENOUGH Sep12 Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONTAUK COVE Sep16 Aug27 Aug05 Jun25 May30 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
5  NO ANGEL Sep30 Sep09 Aug29 Aug21 Jul22 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 Jul09 (winters mich)HALDAR J 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-8   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONALA Aug29 Jul30 Jul01 May30 May08 (ortiz-ruiz carm)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
2  LA ROSA Sep11 Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 May30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
3  QUEENIE ROSE Sep17 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jan10 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 18.40    
4  FACTISIMFLASHY Sep20 Sep07 Aug17 Nov22 Oct21 (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 123 2.00    
5  MISSION GIRL Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun19 Jun05 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  SONNET Sep17 Aug27 Oct28 Sep26 Aug12 (rotunno sydney )BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.