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Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

TDN-1			WIN	(7/4/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$15.00			$9.00				150%
TDN-2			EXA	(8/4/2)-(8/4/2)						6	$1.00	$6.00	4-2		$15.00			$9.00				150%
			DD	(7/4/1)-(8/4/2)						9	$1.00	$9.00	1-4		$17.70			$8.70				97%
TDN-4			WIN	(1/3/7)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$6.80			$0.80				13%
			EXA	(1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7)						9	$1.00	$9.00	1-3		$12.00			$3.00				33%
TDN-6			WIN	(1/6/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$8.00			$2.00				33%
			PK3	(1/3/7)-(4/2/6)-(1/6/5)						27	$1.00	$27.00	1-4-1		$42.00			$15.00				56%
TDN-8			EXA	(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)						12	$1.00	$12.00	7-2		$34.70			$22.70				189%

Simulator Race results


TDN-1			10/10/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($13.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	STEVIE T									(faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119						12.00		5%		19.00		6.50	W
8	OUTA JAIL ON BAIL									(erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 115						15.00						10.10
7	JOHNNNY'S GAME									(tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119						4.00		64%		0.60		0.80	S
2	C C'S CLEAR CREEK									(trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119						10.00						14.00
4	SAGE RUNNER									(vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119						12.00		6%		15.50		4.00
5	CREATIVE BEAT									(rettele rich)HALDAR J 119						5.00						4.10
SCR	CONFUCIUS									(morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119						2.00
SCR	HECHICERO									(romero jose )ROSARIO L 115						2.50

TDN-2			10/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($28K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	RUFFIN									(waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117						3.00		43%		1.30		1.70	DQ↓4
4	MR LOOOCH									(meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119						2.50		25%		3.00		1.20	W
2	SIMPLY VALID									(at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123						12.00		5%		19.00		11.70	P
5	FACT NOT FICTION									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117						4.50						2.30
6	COURTHOUSE COVE									(meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 121						10.00						22.80
SCR	EXCITEMENT									(hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119						5.00
SCR	FATIH									(trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119						6.00
SCR	SAMMY AND SHORTY									(winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119						10.00

TDN-3			10/10/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($12.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MY TWO AUNT JOANS									(vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119						10.00						5.20
6	IT'S FATE									(sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121						4.50						14.10
7	APACHE									(faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 119						8.00						9.20
4	HAD RIGHT									(huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 119						5.00		★				7.00
8	FRANCO (MEX)									(radosevich jef)DIAZ I 119						4.00		46%		1.20		2.90
5	SMALL SAILOR									(genovese r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119						20.00		5%		19.00		52.40
3	AMERICAN NIGHTMARE									(ortiz-ruiz )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114						8.00		★				8.10
2	GEH SCHNELL									(manning rich)TERRAZA GERMAN 119						12.00						71.00
10	SWELTER									(radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 121						3.00		28%		2.60		1.70
9	TOYI									(genovese richard )PEREZ A 119						15.00						58.70

TDN-4			10/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($30.8K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BRIG									(ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119						3.00		65%		0.50		2.40	W
3	DARK VADER									(zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119						2.50		12%		7.50		3.40	P
2	HITE									(va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123						6.00						1.80
9	TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH									(ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121						4.50		★				4.10
5	DERBY INCLUDED									(cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 119						20.00						47.90
4	STUNT MAN									(morales )FERNANDEZ R 123						6.00						26.40
8	QUIET AMIGO									(zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119						20.00						26.60
7	OUR BUCKWHEAT									(wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119						8.00		5%		19.00		15.70
SCR	OKLAHOMA JOE									(radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119						12.00

TDN-5			10/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($33.9K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	FULL SPECTRUM									(jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118						1.80		57%		0.70		1.20	W
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
1	KICKSTART									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118						3.50						1.40
		(by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
2	FOURDATESFORHOCO									(sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118						2.00		17%		4.80		3.00	S
		(by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3	JUDY'S COMET									(zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118						5.00						27.40
		(by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
5	TURNOFFTHENEWS									(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118						8.00						24.30
		(by LORD NELSON out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
6	MOR STORMY									(cline c)AVILES YAN 118						12.00		5%		19.00		24.70
		(by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)

TDN-6			10/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($28K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LADY WELLINGTON									(ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115						3.50		44%		1.30		3.00	W
4	SPARKLY									(rone mike)AVILES YAN 115						6.00						4.20
3	WINE AND WAVES									(radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119						1.80						3.50
6	SPITE LITE									(puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117						2.50		24%		3.20		2.40
5	STAY FAITHFUL									(short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 115						12.00		5%		19.00		4.50
2	EMM ESS EH									(fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115						4.50						10.80

TDN-7			10/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Emerald Necklace					Purse ($75K)			2		F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PARLAY									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118						1.80		51%		0.90		0.20	W
		(by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
1	PRAISE N GLORY									(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118						4.00						6.20
		(by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
2	PERFECT DATE									(poole m)AVILES YAN 118						5.00						28.60
		(by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
7	I BELONG FIRST									(fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118						15.00						9.00
		(by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
6	MOON EVENT									(cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 118						3.00		20%		4.00		7.90
		(by EVENT DRIVEN out of FONE YOURSELF by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
4	COME ON ARLENE									(hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118						6.00		5%		19.00		13.60
		(by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
SCR	ELOPEDATTHEDERBY									(cline robert )BRACHO A 118						10.00
		(by EVENT DRIVEN out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))

TDN-8			10/10/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($35.8K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	WIN HERBIE WIN									(cline rober)NUNEZ Y 117						3.00		50%		1.00		1.90	W
2	FLASHY N									(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114						8.00		5%		19.00		23.80	P
6	GONE WILD									(cline robert )BRACHO A 117						6.00						30.90
5	LIVE A LITTLE									(hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115						10.00		5%		19.00		13.40
4	JAC'S EMPIRE									(vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119						5.00						29.00
3	RIGHT ON THE MUNNY									(go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119						3.50						11.60
1	BOOTS MALONE									(gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115						2.50		19%		4.40		0.50



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.