Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 9.00
TDN-2   Win (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-3   Win (8/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.40  
TDN-4   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-5   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-6   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
TDN-7   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIE T 1 6 6 4 3 2½ 1 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.50 W
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 6 3 2½ 11 1 1½ 2 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 115 15.00 10.10  
JOHNNNY'S GAME 5 2 43 5 5 4 3 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 64% 0.60 0.80 S
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 1 1½ 21 2 3 46 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 14.00  
SAGE RUNNER 3 4 33 3 4 5 5 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 15.50 4.00  
CREATIVE BEAT 4 5 56 68 611½ 615½ 630¼ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 119 5.00 4.10  
SCR  CONFUCIUS               (morey e)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00    
SCR  HECHICERO               (romero a)ROSARIO L 115 2.50    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUFFIN 5 5 45 4   1nk 1¾ (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70 DQ↓4
MR LOOOCH 2 4 5 5   4 2¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 W
SIMPLY VALID 1 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 33 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 P
FACT NOT FICTION 3 2 34 31   5 44 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50 2.30  
COURTHOUSE COVE 4 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 5 (meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 22.80  
SCR  EXCITEMENT               (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
SCR  FATIH               (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY               (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 1 1 11 11 12 1 1 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5.20  
IT'S FATE 6 6 6 44 35 2 2 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 14.10  
APACHE 7 7 5 5 57 5 3 (faulkner rodn)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00 9.20  
HAD RIGHT 4 3 32 3 45 4 4 (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 7.00  
FRANCO (MEX) 8 8 9 911½ 610½ 6 5 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 119 4.00 46% 1.20 2.90  
SMALL SAILOR 5 2 21 21 22 3 6 (genovese ric)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 5% 19.00 52.40  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 9 1010 1012½ 816 812¾ 715½ (ortiz-ruiz ca)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 8.00 8.10  
GEH SCHNELL 2 10 85 6 712½ 712¾ 818 (manning richar)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00 71.00  
10  SWELTER 10 4 7 89 1020 918¾ 927¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
TOYI 9 5 4 7 918 1021¾ 1035 (genovese l)PEREZ A 119 15.00 58.70  
 
TDN-4   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIG 1 5 3½ 22   11 14 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 65% 0.50 2.40 W
DARK VADER 3 8 7 4   3 24 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 119 2.50 12% 7.50 3.40 P
HITE 2 6 8 8   58 34 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 1.80  
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 8 1 1nk 12   21 4 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 4.10  
DERBY INCLUDED 5 4 44 7   47 5 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 47.90  
STUNT MAN 4 7 55 6   79 612¼ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 26.40  
QUIET AMIGO 7 2 2nk 3   69 714 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 26.60  
OUR BUCKWHEAT 6 3 6 5   810 814¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE               (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL SPECTRUM 4 3 1nk 12   1 1 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 118 1.80 57% 0.70 1.20 W
KICKSTART 1 6 42 32   2 2 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 1.40  
FOURDATESFORHOCO 2 5 3 4   46 3 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 17% 4.80 3.00 S
JUDY'S COMET 3 4 2nk 22   3 47 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 118 5.00 27.40  
TURNOFFTHENEWS 5 2 5 6   514 521¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 24.30  
MOR STORMY 6 1 6 5   615½ 623¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
 
TDN-6   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY WELLINGTON 1 6 44 42   3½ 1 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 44% 1.30 3.00 W
SPARKLY 4 1 3 31   2nk 2 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 6.00 4.20  
WINE AND WAVES 3 2 1nk 11   1nk 35 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 3.50  
SPITE LITE 6 3 67 6   44 4 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
STAY FAITHFUL 5 5 5 5   5 5 (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
EMM ESS EH 2 4 2nk 21   68 615¼ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 115 4.50 10.80  
 
TDN-7   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :453 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLAY 3 3 2 2   1½ 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 51% 0.90 0.20 W
PRAISE N GLORY 1 6 57 34   2½ 2 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 6.20  
PERFECT DATE 2 4 4 44   3½ 3 (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 28.60  
I BELONG FIRST 6 5 6 68   5 410¾ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 118 15.00 9.00  
MOON EVENT 5 1 1 1   44 515½ (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 20% 4.00 7.90  
COME ON ARLENE 4 2 32 56   67 615½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
SCR  ELOPEDATTHEDERBY               (cline c)BRACHO A 118 10.00    
 
TDN-8   10/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN HERBIE WIN 7 2 21 2nk   11 13 (cline robert )NUNEZ Y 117 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90 W
FLASHY N 2 6 4 3   33 23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114 8.00 5% 19.00 23.80 P
GONE WILD 6 1 11 1nk   21 3 (cline c)BRACHO A 117 6.00 30.90  
LIVE A LITTLE 5 4 66 6   6 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
JAC'S EMPIRE 4 3 55 5   45 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 29.00  
RIGHT ON THE MUNNY 3 5 33 4   55 611½ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 11.60  
BOOTS MALONE 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 19% 4.40 0.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.