Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.00 $9.00 150%
TDN-2   EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    DD (7/4/1)-(8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $17.70 $8.70 97%
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-3 $12.00 $3.00 33%
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(4/2/6)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  1-4-1 $42.00 $15.00 56%
TDN-8   EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $34.70 $22.70 189%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVIE T 1 6 66¼ 43½ 32½ 2½ 12¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.50 W
8  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 6 3 2½ 11 11½ 1½ 22¾ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 115 15.00 10.10  
7  JOHNNNY'S GAME 5 2 43 53½ 53½ 43½ 33½ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 64% 0.60 0.80 S
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 1 1½ 21 21½ 32½ 46 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 14.00  
4  SAGE RUNNER 3 4 33 32½ 43½ 53½ 57¼ (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 15.50 4.00  
5  CREATIVE BEAT 4 5 56 68 611½ 615½ 630¼ (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 5.00 4.10  
SCR  CONFUCIUS               (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00    
SCR  HECHICERO               (romero jose )ROSARIO L 115 2.50    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUFFIN 5 5 45 41¼   1nk 1¾ (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70 DQ↓4
4  MR LOOOCH 2 4 55¼ 51¼   41¾ 2¾ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.20 W
2  SIMPLY VALID 1 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 33 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.70 P
5  FACT NOT FICTION 3 2 34 31   51¾ 44 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50 2.30  
6  COURTHOUSE COVE 4 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 54¼ (meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 22.80  
SCR  EXCITEMENT               (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
SCR  FATIH               (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 1 1 11 11 12 13½ 13¼ (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5.20  
6  IT'S FATE 6 6 64½ 44 35 23½ 23¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 14.10  
7  APACHE 7 7 53½ 54½ 57 55¾ 35¼ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00 9.20  
4  HAD RIGHT 4 3 32 33½ 45 45½ 45¾ (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 ★ 7.00  
8  FRANCO (MEX) 8 8 96½ 911½ 610½ 67¾ 57¾ (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 119 4.00 46% 1.20 2.90  
5  SMALL SAILOR 5 2 21 21 22 35½ 68¼ (genovese r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 5% 19.00 52.40  
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 9 1010 1012½ 816 812¾ 715½ (ortiz-ruiz )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 8.00 ★ 8.10  
2  GEH SCHNELL 2 10 85 66½ 712½ 712¾ 818 (manning rich)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 12.00 71.00  
10  SWELTER 10 4 74½ 89 1020 918¾ 927¼ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 121 3.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
9  TOYI 9 5 42½ 77½ 918 1021¾ 1035 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 15.00 58.70  
 
TDN-4   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIG 1 5 3½ 22   11 14 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 65% 0.50 2.40 W
3  DARK VADER 3 8 75¼ 43½   33½ 24 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 2.50 12% 7.50 3.40 P
2  HITE 2 6 87¾ 87¼   58 34 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 1.80  
9  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 8 1 1nk 12   21 44¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 ★ 4.10  
5  DERBY INCLUDED 5 4 44 75¼   47 59½ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 47.90  
4  STUNT MAN 4 7 55 63¾   79 612¼ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 26.40  
8  QUIET AMIGO 7 2 2nk 32½   69 714 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 26.60  
7  OUR BUCKWHEAT 6 3 65¼ 53½   810 814¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE               (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FULL SPECTRUM 4 3 1nk 12   12½ 13½ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 1.80 57% 0.70 1.20 W
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
1  KICKSTART 1 6 42 32   22½ 23½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 1.40  
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
2  FOURDATESFORHOCO 2 5 31½ 44½   46 35½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 17% 4.80 3.00 S
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  JUDY'S COMET 3 4 2nk 22   33½ 47 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 5.00 27.40  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
5  TURNOFFTHENEWS 5 2 52¼ 66¾   514 521¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 24.30  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  MOR STORMY 6 1 62¼ 56½   615½ 623¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
 
TDN-6   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WELLINGTON 1 6 44 42   3½ 13½ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 44% 1.30 3.00 W
4  SPARKLY 4 1 32½ 31   2nk 23½ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 6.00 4.20  
3  WINE AND WAVES 3 2 1nk 11   1nk 35 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 3.50  
6  SPITE LITE 6 3 67 63½   44 45¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
5  STAY FAITHFUL 5 5 56½ 52½   55½ 58¾ (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
2  EMM ESS EH 2 4 2nk 21   68 615¼ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 4.50 10.80  
 
TDN-7   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :453 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PARLAY 3 3 21½ 21½   1½ 11¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 51% 0.90 0.20 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
1  PRAISE N GLORY 1 6 57 34   2½ 21¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 6.20  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
2  PERFECT DATE 2 4 46½ 44   3½ 32¾ (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 28.60  
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
7  I BELONG FIRST 6 5 68½ 68   55½ 410¾ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 15.00 9.00  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
6  MOON EVENT 5 1 11½ 11½   44 515½ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 20% 4.00 7.90  
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FONE YOURSELF by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
4  COME ON ARLENE 4 2 32 56   67 615½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
SCR  ELOPEDATTHEDERBY               (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 10.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
TDN-8   10/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WIN HERBIE WIN 7 2 21 2nk   11 13 (cline rober)NUNEZ Y 117 3.00 50% 1.00 1.90 W
2  FLASHY N 2 6 44½ 31½   33 23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114 8.00 5% 19.00 23.80 P
6  GONE WILD 6 1 11 1nk   21 35¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 6.00 30.90  
5  LIVE A LITTLE 5 4 66 64¼   66½ 49¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
4  JAC'S EMPIRE 4 3 55 51¾   45 59¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 29.00  
3  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY 3 5 33 41¾   55 611½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 11.60  
1  BOOTS MALONE 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 19% 4.40 0.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.