Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(8/4/2)-(8/10/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/4/2)-(8/10/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2)-(8/10/5)-(1/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (8/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/5)-(8/10/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/5)-(8/10/3/4/5)-(8/10/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (8/10/5)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/10/5)-(1/3/7)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7)-(1/3/9/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(4/2/6)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/6/5)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/6/4)-(7/1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEVIE T Sep23 Aug19 Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jul08 Jun08 May07 Mar07 Feb20 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
SCR  HECHICERO Sep30 Aug30 Aug19 Jun30 May18 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 115 2.50    
4  SAGE RUNNER Sep23 Sep16 Aug05 Feb14 Jan24 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 15.50    
5  CREATIVE BEAT Sep30 Sep05 Jul08 Jun05 May14 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
SCR  CONFUCIUS Mar03 Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Sep17 (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.00    
7  JOHNNNY'S GAME Sep05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 Mar08 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 64% 0.60    
8  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Sep23 Aug26 Jun25 Jun08 May28 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 115 15.00    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FATIH Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 May08 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
2  SIMPLY VALID Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCITEMENT Aug30 Aug10 Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
4  MR LOOOCH Sep10 Aug29 Aug10 Jul16 Jun13 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  FACT NOT FICTION Sep03 Aug19 Jun22 Jun07 May22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 4.50    
6  COURTHOUSE COVE Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 (meyers shane)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00    
SCR  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep18 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul17 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00    
8  RUFFIN Aug30 Aug08 Jul06 Jun19 May31 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Sep16 Sep02 Aug15 Aug05 Jul24 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
2  GEH SCHNELL Sep19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 May27 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00    
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Sep30 Sep12 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 (ortiz-ruiz )BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 8.00 ★    
4  HAD RIGHT Sep12 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun22 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 ★    
5  SMALL SAILOR Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 Jul25 Jul03 (genovese r)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  IT'S FATE Sep19 Aug21 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50    
7  APACHE Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 119 8.00    
8  FRANCO (MEX) Sep19 Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
9  TOYI Sep24 Aug27 Aug15 Jul17 Jul03 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 119 15.00    
10  SWELTER Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun08 May04 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-4   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIG Sep10 Jun12 May23 Aug08 Jul10 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
2  HITE Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 Jul15 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
3  DARK VADER Sep10 Jun07 May15 Mar26 Mar04 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  STUNT MAN Sep26 Jun18 May18 Apr29 Apr01 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Sep26 Dec26 Dec07 Nov14 Oct28 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
SCR  OKLAHOMA JOE Sep26 Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
7  OUR BUCKWHEAT Jun10 Apr01 Feb28 Feb14 Dec28 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUIET AMIGO Sep10 Dec26 Nov20 Oct04 Aug07 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
9  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Sep10 Aug20 Dec26 Nov14 Aug08 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 121 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICKSTART Sep18         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPEAK NO EVIL by HEAR NO EVIL)
2  FOURDATESFORHOCO Sep18 Aug28       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00 17% 4.80    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  JUDY'S COMET Sep18         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 5.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
4  FULL SPECTRUM Sep18 Aug28 Aug10 Jul08   (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  TURNOFFTHENEWS Sep18         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  MOR STORMY Aug28 Aug10       (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
 
TDN-6   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WELLINGTON Aug30 Aug10 Jul18 May25 May04 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 44% 1.30    
2  EMM ESS EH Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr20 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 4.50    
3  WINE AND WAVES Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jul20 Jun12 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80    
4  SPARKLY Sep12 Jun11 May20 May03 Apr20 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
5  STAY FAITHFUL Sep25 Aug29 Aug14 Jul06 May04 (short thomas)BARBARAN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPITE LITE Sep02 Aug14 Feb04 Nov24 Nov01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-7   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Necklace Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAISE N GLORY Sep24 Sep12       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
2  PERFECT DATE Aug22 Aug06 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 5.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
3  PARLAY Sep20 Aug06 Jul01     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 51% 0.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
4  COME ON ARLENE Sep20 Sep06 Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
SCR  ELOPEDATTHEDERBY Jul19 Jun07       (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 10.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
6  MOON EVENT Jul04 Jun20       (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of FONE YOURSELF by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
7  I BELONG FIRST         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
 
TDN-8   10/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTS MALONE Aug10 Jul19 Jul08     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 19% 4.40    
2  FLASHY N Aug28 Aug10 Jul22 Jul04   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Sep16         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
4  JAC'S EMPIRE Sep25 Aug26 Aug10     (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00    
5  LIVE A LITTLE Sep20 Sep05 Jul19 Jun14   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GONE WILD Aug30 Jul27 Jul08     (cline robert )BRACHO A 117 6.00    
7  WIN HERBIE WIN Aug14         (cline rober)NUNEZ Y 117 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.