Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/2/1)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(4/2/3)-(1/2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(1/2/4/6)-(2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/6)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/6)-(2/4)-(2/6/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/6/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/6/7/3)-(7/11/10/5/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/3)-(7/11/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(7/11/10/5/3)-(1/8/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/11/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/10/5/3)-(7/11/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/10/5/3)-(7/11/10/5/3)-(7/11/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/10/5/3)-(1/8/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/11/10/5/3)-(1/8/11)-(11/4/6/2/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/11)-(1/8/11/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/11)-(1/8/11/9/3)-(1/8/11/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/8/11)-(11/4/6/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (11/4/6/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/6/2/5)-(11/4/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/6/2/5)-(11/4/6/2/5)-(11/4/6/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA ISOLA Dec30 Nov25       (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 125 20.00    
2  PRACTICAL MISS Feb02 Jan07 Nov26 Nov10 Aug25 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  KNIGHT TRAIL Mar17         (serpe m)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
4  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Mar21 Mar02 Feb02 Jan13 Dec15 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  DRAMATIC EFFECT Mar29 Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov05 (ibrahim em)RIVERA R 125 6.00    
6  TERESA Apr18 Mar21 Feb11 Jan13 Dec08 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BABI DREAMS Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct09 Sep12 (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO IN PARIS Apr11 Mar21 Mar10 Feb19 Dec16 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Apr12 Mar29 Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.60 20% 4.00    
3  AGILITY Mar29 Feb17 Jan13 Dec30 Jul15 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.40 58% 0.70    
4  CAMM' DUKE Dec04 Nov16 Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
5  DOLLY'S BANK Apr11 Mar14 Feb18 Jan26 Jan04 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 12.00    
6  GAME MISCONDUCT Apr12 Feb19 Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
 
AQU-3   04/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEMPHIS Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 127 4.00    
2  NIGHT EFFECT Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan27 (samsundar rosha)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  ALL THE RAGE Feb02 Nov18       (rice lind)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROVEN HOPE Mar15 Feb24 Feb11 Jan13 Dec28 (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 127 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  RESERVE CURRENCY Mar08 Feb10 Jan14 Aug20 Jul01 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 127 2.50    
6  SEEKING UNITY Mar29 Feb24 Jan28 Jan12 Nov03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 127 3.50    
 
AQU-4   04/27/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MIA (FR) Oct06 Sep14       (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
2  KERRY Dec30 Nov25 Nov05 Oct12 Sep17 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.80 24% 3.10    
3  RUVIES IN TIME Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 124 30.00    
4  MASTEROF THE TUNES Nov09 Oct13 Sep17 Aug31 Jul19 (lee joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 12% 7.00    
5  RISK FREE Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Feb02 Jan11 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
6  CATSKILL HUMOR Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOLOSHOT Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Dec16 Nov18 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
 
AQU-5   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT THUNDER Mar21 Mar10 Mar02 Feb09 Nov12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 ★    
1A  MR PHIL Apr13 Mar17 Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 3.50    
2  PRINTRACK Mar30 Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
2B  CHATEAU Mar22 Feb19 Jan31 Dec30 Nov18 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 1.60    
SCR  CAPONE Apr11 Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec28 (shivmangal )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
4  COLONEL VARGO Apr13 Mar30 Mar17 Jan18 Jan08 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 110 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  RYAN'S CAT Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 Feb03 Jan07 (chichakly)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00    
6  HONORARY DEGREE Apr05 Mar17 Mar10 Mar01 Jan31 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
7  MISTER J T Mar21 Mar02 Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   04/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Woodhaven Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec16 Nov04 (martin car)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  CARSON'S RUN Nov03 Sep16 Aug31 Jul29   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by CUPID out of HOT N HECTIC by HENNY HUGHES)
3  WORKS FOR ME Feb16 Nov18 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
4  GOOD LORD LORRIE Aug12         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPINNING WHEEL by GREGGIE'S WHEEL)
5  THE BIG TORPEDO Mar24 Feb25 Jan13 Dec16 Nov12 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of U. S. S. O'BRIEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  WALLEY WORLD Feb09 Nov19 Oct13 Sep02   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FORCED FAMILY FUN by UNCLE MO)
7  ELYSIAN MEADOWS Apr06 Feb10 Dec15 Nov18   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HEAVENLY THOUGHT by WAR FRONT)
 
AQU-7   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES Mar28 Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Mar28 Mar10 Feb25 Dec09 Nov30 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
3  JOKER BOY Apr13 Mar01 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOUNT TRAVERS Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 Nov25 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
5  POPPY'S PRIDE Mar30 Feb04 Dec29 Dec07 Nov03 (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 7% 13.30    
6  TOMMY GUN Mar08 Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 (shivmangal lo)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
7  FIRST DEPUTY Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 Jan18 Jan06 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Feb25 Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 Aug02 (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 Jan11 Dec24 (giddings melani)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
10  CLEM LABINE Apr11 Feb19 Feb09 Nov30 Sep09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00 9% 10.20    
11  STRIKING SPEED Apr06 Mar17 Mar01 Jan06 Dec17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-8   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERACTING Oct27 Sep04 Jul29     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  COLLECT THE DATA Jan18 Dec17 Oct22     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
2  MYSARIA Apr07 Mar03 Feb09 Jan11 Dec03 (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
3  ARTEMIS GIRL Dec16 Nov17 Nov02     (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME Nov19 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Oct29 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 12.00    
5  MIM Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec08 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 125 20.00    
6  BEING BETTY Nov17 Sep15 Jul26     (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
7  SUCCULENT May05 Apr15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 12.00    
8  ROAGNA Nov17         (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 127 2.50 17% 4.80    
9  STELLA MARS Nov25 Oct27 Oct13 Sep14 Aug12 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 ★    
10  ACCELERINA Apr04 Mar02 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 50.00    
11  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Mar09 Feb18 Jan01 Nov12 Oct09 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 127 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPITAL GAL Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Nov20 Oct30 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 127 20.00    
 
AQU-9   04/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL GOOD HERE Jul21 Jun23 Apr14 Mar15   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 126 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PROFESSIONAL WOMAN by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
2  BARRON'S BOUNCE Apr12 Mar10 Feb25     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ROAD SODA Mar24         (rodriguez ru)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of AUNTIE'S THE ONE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Nov19 Oct27 May11     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COMET OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  SCHERZANDO Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
6  KORU Mar10         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 15% 5.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILKEN LILY by GRAND SLAM)
7  RABAJA Nov03         (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SCHEME by TIZWAY)
8  SWEET TONE Nov17 Nov03 Oct14     (sells rachel)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
9  DILLON Mar14 Jan13 Nov03 Sep17 Aug03 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
10  SAKA SHOCKA Mar21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
11  COURTLY BANKER Mar31         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of COURTLY LARK by SHAKESPEARE)
SCR  NEPTUNE BEACH Apr11 Mar09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec02 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PAPER KITE by FLY A KITE (IRE))
SCR  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Nov19 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 126 50.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COMPULSION by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SOLO EMPIRE Mar07 Feb11 Jan18 Dec16 Dec02 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ASHLEE'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  A LISTER Mar21 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 (pringle edmund)LUZZI J 126 50.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of CITY VICE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  TONY O Nov19 Nov04 Oct27 Aug23 Jul21 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 126 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.