Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - February 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(8/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(8/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (8/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3)-(8/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/3)-(4/7/6/8)-(5/6/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/8)-(4/7/6/8/1)-(4/7/6/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/8)-(5/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/8)-(5/6/3/1)-(3/11/10/8/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(3/11/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(3/11/10/8/1)-(8/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/11/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/11/10/8/1)-(3/11/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/11/10/8/1)-(3/11/10/8/1)-(3/11/10/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/11/10/8/1)-(8/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/11/10/8/1)-(8/6/1)-(7/6/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/1)-(8/6/1)-(8/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/1)-(7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1)-(7/6/4)-(4/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENVELOPE PLEASE         (maker j)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KEEP THE RING by BROKEN VOW)
2  READ THE ROOM Jan25 Jan04       (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOOD OMEN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  CONNIVING Sep29 Sep11       (chapman james)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50    
  (by CONNECT out of STARLET STORM by THE FACTOR)
4  SKYPASS Jan25 Nov07 Oct24 Sep21 Sep05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by SKY MESA out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
5  PEACEFULPERSUASION Nov20 Oct18       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LAKE SQUARED by FRIENDS LAKE)
6  SPANISH WELLS         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KITTEN SMITTEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  FREE FOLK         (englehart jeffre)LEON SONNY 122 3.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SPRING ELUSION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
MVR-2   02/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTING WAR Dec23 May16 Mar18 Feb09 Jan12 (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  SHE'S A SOLDIER Jan09 Dec11 Aug03 Jul05   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00    
3  QUICKSTYLE Dec13 Aug11 Jun30 Jun04 May14 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEART OF THE BEAST Nov29 Nov07 Sep21 Aug12 Jul29 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
5  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Dec26 Nov29 Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
6  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 6% 15.40    
7  BROADWAY CHARM Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Aug24 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00    
8  CHERU Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Oct01 Jul15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-3   02/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE D Dec04 Nov08 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 12.00 ★    
2  NAMBITI Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct09 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
3  KARAMEL CORN Jan22 Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 Nov08 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
4  THAT'S THE WAY Jan22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 Nov06 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Jan22 Dec26 Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.00    
6  OHIO PLAYER Jan24 Dec14 Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  OHIO MUNNY Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct09 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  STUNT MAN Jan01 Nov06 Oct13 Sep04 Jul13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ATTACK ANGLE Jan24 Dec04 Nov08 Oct30 Oct11 (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   02/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING SENORITA Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 (gonzalez don)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 6% 16.50    
2  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jan01 Oct28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 15.00    
3  HERE COMES JIGS Jan22 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep19 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SUSHI Q Jan18 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 May10 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00    
5  CAT'S RHYTHM Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 8.00 29% 2.40    
6  SCARLETT'S AWISH Jan23 Nov29 Sep28 May24 May03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
7  BAY MAGIC Jan22 Dec18 Jul04 May29 Apr10 (calderon ivan)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
8  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jan22 Dec30 Dec11 May24 May03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
9  BISCAYNE BAY Jan22 Jan01 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
 
MVR-5   02/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THANKSDAD Jan15 Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 May24 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Dec26 Dec04 Oct30 Sep30 Sep08 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
3  OHIO STRONG Jan15 Dec26 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
4  RED COMET Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec26 Dec14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
5  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Jan15 Jun07 May26 Apr24 Jan26 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
6  RED HOT POWER Jan15 Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 Nov08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
7  GOOD MUSIC Dec28 Dec11 Nov16 Sep18 Aug31 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
8  AINT NO BANDLEADER Jan15 Dec14 Mar29 Feb27 Feb16 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  BUCKEYE RED Jan15 Dec26 Dec11 Nov08 Oct25 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
10  STARS N SPACE Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 (overho)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
11  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Nov16 Oct25 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-6   02/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO BIT KID Jan15 Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Dec13 (hetrick kri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  DOCTOR WU Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Oct24 Sep17 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
3  DISCLOSURE Jan23 Jan15 Dec28 Dec20 Dec05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
4  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jan08 Dec09 Nov13 Oct24 Oct07 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 126 2.50    
5  DAVID'S GEM Jan15 Nov29 Oct11 Sep04 Aug08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
6  FREEDOM RIDER Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Nov05 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Jan23 Dec12 Nov19 Nov06 Sep18 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
8  ALPHA CHI RHO Dec16 Oct28 Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-7   02/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP YOUR HEART Dec03 Oct28 Oct13     (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
2  EL BANDIDO Dec03 Nov27 Nov09 Oct30 Oct09 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KITTEN SQUARED by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  DARK BARON Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 Sep01 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 126 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  QUICK QUICK WHIT Jan02 Dec18 Nov14 Oct30 Oct05 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN Dec19 Nov16       (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 118 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
6  LANEHAYA         (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 4.00 6% 15.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LAHUDOOD by SINGSPIEL)
7  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Dec20 Nov03 Oct02 Sep08 Oct06 (zielinski richar)LEON SONNY 126 1.80 70% 0.40    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BEDROOM EYES by PLEASANT TAP)
 
MVR-8   02/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Dec04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun07 May11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
2  OAXACA Jan18 Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 Nov06 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00    
3  R THREE ANGELS Jan18 Nov09 Oct28 Oct05 Sep26 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8% 11.70    
4  CANDY ISLAND Jan18 Dec05 Oct25 Sep20 Sep06 (galloway khadee)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
5  KITTEN CALLS Nov28 Oct25 Sep12 Jul18 May29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  HAPPY BEE Jan18 Dec05 Nov09 Oct05 Sep25 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
7  MAGIC PALACE Nov21 Oct31 Sep29 Aug23 Aug01 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
8  SHE'S CRAFTY Jan11 Dec19 Dec04 Sep26 Aug12 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
9  GRAY ROYALITY Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 Oct10 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.