Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-7   Win (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (8/6/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-10   Win (4/5/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASCHAL MOON Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 Oct13 Oct06 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCHERZANDO Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 Sep04 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
FLYING IN STYLE Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 Aug02 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
CALDO CANDY Dec09 Nov16 Apr01     (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 1.40 48% 1.10    
TWIRLING VINE Jan05 Dec14 Oct12 Aug17 Jul07 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
Z DANCER Nov26 Aug31 Aug09 Jun23 May29 (sanchez-pinero an)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
FLIP'S DREAM Jan06 Dec09       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-2   01/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADS GOOD RUNNER Dec28 Dec09 Dec03 Nov25 Oct04 (fisher linda)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEEKING UNITY Jan12 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Jun03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 34% 2.00    
MEMPHIS Jan11 Dec28 Dec15 Nov09 Oct21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
PHANTOM JEWEL Jan01 Nov26 Nov10 Sep05 Jul03 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
STEADY PROGRESS Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Jul19 Jun18 (chatterpaul naip)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
SOUTH STREET Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 Nov02 (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00    
HAPPY BOB Jan14 Dec17 Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-3   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON Jan05 Dec07 Nov25 Nov16 Oct19 (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLOVER STREET Dec15 Nov03 Oct08 Jul19 Jun15 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
AMITY ISLAND Dec31 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Jun16 (persaud eddi)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
KHALI MAGIC Dec31 Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 Jun23 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
VALLARAND Jan05 Dec07 Nov24 Oct06 Sep11 (jones edua)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
BERNT AGAIN Dec14 Oct27 Aug16 Jul19 Jul02 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
APRIL ANTICS Dec31 Dec07 Oct29 Sep24 Aug23 (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
AQU-4   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Say Florida Sandy Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGREGATION Dec29 Nov19 Oct04 Aug23 May11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Dec31 Oct12 Sep02 Jul23 May12 (duggan david)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
ROTKNEE Dec30 Nov24 Oct29 Sep15 Aug11 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
DISARMED Dec16 Oct29 Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct07 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL BANKER Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 Oct15 May14 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-5   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAL IDEA Dec31         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
J D FACTOR Nov24 Oct21       (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
STRATEGIC DECISION         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
CONFLICTED         (mcpeek kenneth )OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
SCR  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Nov02 Sep22 Aug26     (davis robb)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Nov11 Oct27 Sep16     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SCR  ROSSINGTON Dec29 Nov27       (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SARDIS Nov17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
AQU-6   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE B. Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 Jun24 May27 (d'angelo f)OLVER MADISON 115 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 May18 Apr14 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
ACH DU LIEBER Jan05 Dec17 Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 (breed j)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Oct23 Oct09 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jan05 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Aug06 (baker charl)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
MOUNT TRAVERS Jan18 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Jul30 (potts wayne)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
MY FRIENDS BEER Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Sep21 Aug10 (walder r)LUZZI J 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jan06 Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 Jun28 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 11% 8.30    
GOLDINI Jan05 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-7   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS VINO Dec31 Dec01       (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
POSEIDON'S MIST Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
SCR  ELITE STATUS (GB) Dec16         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
EKWANOK Sep28 Sep01 Aug10     (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
MITOLE'S GIRL         (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
FIVE TO TWO Dec17 Dec01       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
MISS BOURBON Nov16 Oct21       (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
MISS LAO Dec16 Oct22       (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MEL'S BABY SISTER Dec31 Nov19 Oct22     (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARTAPPED Jan11 Dec08 Nov19 Oct31 Oct04 (delauro edw)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
DARN THAT SONG Jan07 May09 Apr06 Feb11 Jan21 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 12.00 7% 12.80    
MARIAH'S FORTUNE Nov24 Nov09 Oct06 Jul20 Jul04 (toscano john)RIVERA R 115 8.00 8% 12.00    
LEFT LEANING LUCY Dec14 Nov08 Oct04 Aug29 Jul12 (barrow paul)VARGAS A 120 30.00    
MIDTOWN ROSE Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 Oct24 Aug24 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
VITAEMI Nov22 Oct20 Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 8% 11.40    
CAPTIVATING CARA Jan07 Dec07 Jul11 Jun15 Jun02 (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE CROSS Jan04 Dec28 Dec17 Nov30 Sep14 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.60 54% 0.90    
TOWERING GAZE Jan07 Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
10  BEHIND THE COUCH Jan05 Dec14 Dec08 Nov08 Sep19 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-9   01/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Rego Park Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jan06 Dec28       (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
MISCHIEF JOKE Dec15 Oct29 Oct16 Sep21 Aug23 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
ANTONIO OF VENICE Dec16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40    
DETECTIVE TOM Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 Aug24   (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 Aug27 Jul16 (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLIED ATTACK Jan18 Dec29 Nov18 Aug05   (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
 
AQU-10   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BADLANDS RULER Nov10 Oct07 Aug05     (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
RUNNING LUCKY Dec15 Nov30 Nov11 Oct19 Aug25 (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
PERLIANO Dec15 Nov18 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
AUGUSTINE RED Jan05 Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Jul30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
VINO BARBARINO Dec29 Dec02       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
ROB THE BANK Jan06 Nov18 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
GAME MISCONDUCT Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 Aug10 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
LONESOME BOY Dec19 Dec04 Nov27 Nov14 Sep17 (padilla-preciado )BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00 5% 18.30    
STORMQUIST Nov05 Oct07 Sep20 May18   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
10  GOLDFIRE Dec29 Oct22       (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  YULETIDE GALLOP Dec26 Nov28 Oct20 Sep17 Jul30 (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.