Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(2/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(2/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/8/1)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/8/1)-(3/1/5)-(2/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(2/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(2/1/8)-(1/7/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8)-(2/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(1/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(1/7/9/8)-(1/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8)-(1/7/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/9/8)-(1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/8)-(1/6/8)-(8/6/3/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/8)-(1/6/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/8)-(1/6/8/9)-(1/6/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/8)-(8/6/3/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8)-(8/6/3/2/7)-(2/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/2/7)-(8/6/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/2/7)-(8/6/3/2/7)-(8/6/3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/3/2/7)-(2/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/2/7)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/1/9/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/1/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-10   WIN (4/5/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/9/8)-(4/5/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/9/8)-(4/5/1/9/8)-(4/5/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASCHAL MOON Jan06 Dec09 Nov25 Oct13 Oct06 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
2  SCHERZANDO Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct12 Sep04 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
3  FLYING IN STYLE Jan06 Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 Aug02 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
4  CALDO CANDY Dec09 Nov16 Apr01     (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  TWIRLING VINE Jan05 Dec14 Oct12 Aug17 Jul07 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
6  Z DANCER Nov26 Aug31 Aug09 Jun23 May29 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
7  FLIP'S DREAM Jan06 Dec09       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAURA CAN DISCO by DISCO RICO)
 
AQU-2   01/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS GOOD RUNNER Dec28 Dec09 Dec03 Nov25 Oct04 (fisher lin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEKING UNITY Jan12 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Jun03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 34% 2.00    
3  MEMPHIS Jan11 Dec28 Dec15 Nov09 Oct21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
4  PHANTOM JEWEL Jan01 Nov26 Nov10 Sep05 Jul03 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
5  STEADY PROGRESS Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Jul19 Jun18 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 123 5.00    
6  SOUTH STREET Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov11 Nov02 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00    
7  HAPPY BOB Jan14 Dec17 Nov20 Nov11 Sep14 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
AQU-3   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARBON Jan05 Dec07 Nov25 Nov16 Oct19 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLOVER STREET Dec15 Nov03 Oct08 Jul19 Jun15 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
3  AMITY ISLAND Dec31 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Jun16 (persaud ed)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
4  KHALI MAGIC Dec31 Dec08 Oct19 Sep01 Jun23 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  VALLARAND Jan05 Dec07 Nov24 Oct06 Sep11 (jones ed)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
6  BERNT AGAIN Dec14 Oct27 Aug16 Jul19 Jul02 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
7  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Dec31 Dec07 Aug03 Jul02 Jun01 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
8  APRIL ANTICS Dec31 Dec07 Oct29 Sep24 Aug23 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
AQU-4   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Say Florida Sandy Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGREGATION Dec29 Nov19 Oct04 Aug23 May11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by FLATTER out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
2  ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Dec31 Oct12 Sep02 Jul23 May12 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
3  ROTKNEE Dec30 Nov24 Oct29 Sep15 Aug11 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  DISARMED Dec16 Oct29 Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SARAVATI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  OCEAN'S RESERVE Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct07 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
6  GENERAL BANKER Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 Oct15 May14 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
 
AQU-5   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITAL IDEA Dec31         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of REVER DE VOUS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  J D FACTOR Nov24 Oct21       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SULLIVYN'S ROSE by BERNARDINI)
3  STRATEGIC DECISION         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
4  CONFLICTED         (mcpeek kennet)OLVER MADISON 115 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PSYCHADELACIZED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Nov02 Sep22 Aug26     (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SPIRIT OF SHANGHAI by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
6  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Nov11 Oct27 Sep16     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
SCR  ROSSINGTON Dec29 Nov27       (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LA CASADORA by COLONEL JOHN)
8  SARDIS Nov17         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10% 9.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-6   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE B. Dec15 Nov25 Oct22 Jun24 May27 (d'angelo jose)OLVER MADISON 115 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Dec15 Nov25 Jun16 May18 Apr14 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
3  ACH DU LIEBER Jan05 Dec17 Nov20 Nov08 Oct18 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
4  CO CONSPIRATOR Jan05 Dec15 Nov30 Oct23 Oct09 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
5  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jan05 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Aug06 (baker cha)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
6  MOUNT TRAVERS Jan18 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Jul30 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
7  MY FRIENDS BEER Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Sep21 Aug10 (walder r)LUZZI J 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
8  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jan06 Dec09 Oct25 Oct04 Jun28 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 11% 8.30    
9  GOLDINI Jan05 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-7   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS VINO Dec31 Dec01       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LUNAR GAZE by MALIBU MOON)
2  POSEIDON'S MIST Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  ELITE STATUS (GB) Dec16         (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  EKWANOK Sep28 Sep01 Aug10     (hennig mark)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
5  MITOLE'S GIRL         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SINISTER SIREN by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  FIVE TO TWO Dec17 Dec01       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PAS DE DEUCE by CURLIN)
7  MISS BOURBON Nov16 Oct21       (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SAVASANA by SCATMANDU)
8  MISS LAO Dec16 Oct22       (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
9  MEL'S BABY SISTER Dec31 Nov19 Oct22     (giddings melani)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHILDHOOD DREAM by FREUD)
 
AQU-8   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARTAPPED Jan11 Dec08 Nov19 Oct31 Oct04 (delauro e)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
2  DARN THAT SONG Jan07 May09 Apr06 Feb11 Jan21 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 12.00 7% 12.80    
3  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Nov24 Nov09 Oct06 Jul20 Jul04 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 115 8.00 8% 12.00    
4  LEFT LEANING LUCY Dec14 Nov08 Oct04 Aug29 Jul12 (barrow pa)VARGAS A 120 30.00    
5  MIDTOWN ROSE Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 Oct24 Aug24 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
6  VITAEMI Nov22 Oct20 Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 8% 11.40    
7  CAPTIVATING CARA Jan07 Dec07 Jul11 Jun15 Jun02 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIVINE CROSS Jan04 Dec28 Dec17 Nov30 Sep14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 1.60 54% 0.90    
9  TOWERING GAZE Jan07 Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
10  BEHIND THE COUCH Jan05 Dec14 Dec08 Nov08 Sep19 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
 
AQU-9   01/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Rego Park Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jan06 Dec28       (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
2  MISCHIEF JOKE Dec15 Oct29 Oct16 Sep21 Aug23 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ANTONIO OF VENICE Dec16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  DETECTIVE TOM Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 Aug24   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ROMAN CERES by ROMAN RULER)
5  ALWAYS A WARRIOR Dec15 Nov18 Sep24 Aug27 Jul16 (david a)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of SHE'S ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ALLIED ATTACK Jan18 Dec29 Nov18 Aug05   (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMME CHEZ SOI by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
AQU-10   01/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BADLANDS RULER Nov10 Oct07 Aug05     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  RUNNING LUCKY Dec15 Nov30 Nov11 Oct19 Aug25 (summers chad)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
3  PERLIANO Dec15 Nov18 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
4  AUGUSTINE RED Jan05 Nov11 Oct13 Sep02 Jul30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
5  VINO BARBARINO Dec29 Dec02       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  ROB THE BANK Jan06 Nov18 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
7  GAME MISCONDUCT Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 Aug10 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
8  LONESOME BOY Dec19 Dec04 Nov27 Nov14 Sep17 (padilla-preciad)BOWMAN ADAM 120 20.00 5% 18.30    
9  STORMQUIST Nov05 Oct07 Sep20 May18   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
10  GOLDFIRE Dec29 Oct22       (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  YULETIDE GALLOP Dec26 Nov28 Oct20 Sep17 Jul30 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.