Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/1/3)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/6)-(8/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(8/7/6)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/6)-(8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/6)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/7/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(8/7/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(8/7/5/3)-(3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/3)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/3)-(3/5/4)-(1/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/9/5)-(1/7/6/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARD ON THESTREET         (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  FIRST TRUMPET Dec16 Oct15 Aug26 Aug10 Jul09 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
3  MY MAN WOODY Nov30 Nov10 Nov02 Sep22 Sep03 (brown r)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
4  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Nov30         (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
5  ROCK STAR BOY Jul20 Jun04       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  GAME MISCONDUCT Dec29 Dec14 Oct13 Aug10 Jul09 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGER Dec08 Nov16 Oct15 Sep22 Jul16 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 ★    
1A  MOVING PICTURES Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep17 Aug31 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  NORGAY Dec31 Dec01 Jul16 Jun18 May21 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
3  BIG SAVE Dec08 Nov16 Oct13 Sep15 Apr16 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  MACH ONE Dec17 Dec08 May21 May13 Apr16 (persaud ed)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 20.00    
5  COMMERCE COMET Nov16 Aug12 Jun06 Apr28 Apr14 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 38% 1.70    
6  MIDNIGHT WORKER Dec10 Jun18 May13 Apr29 Apr13 (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
7  UNION LIGHTS Jan01 Dec01 Oct15 Sep22 Aug24 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-3   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT CONCERTO Sep01         (mcpeek kennet)OLVER MADISON 115 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MIDNIGHT IN GIADA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  LUCKY SPIN Dec09         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  HOLDER CLOSE Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 20.00 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
4  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Dec17 Nov02 Oct12     (barker edw)RIVERA R 115 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
SCR  POSEIDON'S MIST Dec09 Nov16 Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
6  SENDERA         (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SEE YA SIGNE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
 
AQU-4   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERIAN Dec06 Nov10 Oct28 Oct21 Oct08 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
2  MYSTIC NIGHT Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 Jun02 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
SCR  DIGITAL Dec09 Nov10 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
4  ALTERNATE REALITY Dec16 Nov14 Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY Dec03 Nov11 Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
6  GENTLEMAN JOE Dec10 May04 Apr01 Feb25 Feb10 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
7  KEYSTONE FIELD Nov15 Oct14 Aug06 Jul08 May19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
8  BOURBON CALLING Dec29 Dec02 Nov02 Oct01 Aug18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
AQU-5   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING DELLA Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 Oct01 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
2  LAVON Dec15 Nov25 Oct19 Aug11 Jun15 (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00    
3  LITTLE LINZEE Dec29 Dec03 Aug27 Jul19 Jun18 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
4  YANKEE AGATE Dec29 Nov25 Jul12 Jun17 May28 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 12.00    
5  VOLEUSE Dec15 Nov17 Sep14 Sep04 Jul22 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
6  QUEENS OVER THREES Dec14 Nov25 Aug27 Jul19 Jun17 (gyarmati leah)ALPANDER B 120 8.00    
7  HARLAN'S BOND Dec29 Dec17 Dec03 Nov09 Oct08 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 8% 11.80    
8  TRUE EMPRESS Dec29 Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 50% 1.00    
 
AQU-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN CASANOVA Dec29 Nov18 Oct04 Aug16 Jul10 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
2  BRONX BOMBER Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 Aug23 Jun03 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
3  AIR SHOW Dec09 Nov03 Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 10% 9.50    
4  BRACIOLE Jun17 May06 Apr22 Mar24 Mar04 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
5  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 Aug24 Aug02 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  BOURBON'S HOPE Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Nov03 Oct22 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
7  IKIGAI Dec02 Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  BIG ENGINE Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 Nov03 Sep21 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-7   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN AND WON Dec29 Dec15 Nov01 Sep24 Sep03 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
1A  DIVINE ARMOR Dec29 Nov26 Nov11 Sep03 Jul30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
2  FACTOR IT IN Dec23 Nov10 Oct20 Apr15 Mar19 (mancilla ca)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
3  NOVA RAGS Dec15 Nov17 Jun22 Apr28 Feb10 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
4  FLUID SITUATION Oct27 Aug24 Jul28 May04 Feb18 (terranova )RIVERA R 115 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Dec09 Nov11 Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  SWIFTSURE Nov26 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
AQU-8   01/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTERWORK Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 Mar31 Mar19 (morley tho)RIVERA R 115 2.00    
1A  RUNGIUS Nov12 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 Dec10 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  WHAT A BLAST Nov02 Oct09 Aug04 Jul05 Feb24 (martin carlos )LUZZI J 123 15.00    
3  SEEKING UNITY Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Jun03 May06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
4  CLOUD FOREST Dec02 Oct20 Sep14 Jul19 Jun17 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
5  CENTAVO Jan01 Dec15 Aug02 Jul22 Jul04 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  STJAMES Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 Aug20 Jul28 (gyarmati leah)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  GUT FEELING Dec29 Nov11 Oct07 Sep14 Aug12 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
8  BLU GROTTO Jan01 Dec01 Oct13 Sep22 Jul03 (rodriguez ru)HARKIE K 123 12.00    
9  APOLLO RISING Dec07 Oct13 Jul21 Jul01 May28 (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.