Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(5/4)-(1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/7/6)-(2/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/4/6)-(1/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(2/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(2/11)-(7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/11)-(2/3/10/11/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/11)-(2/3/10/11/7)-(2/3/10/11/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/11)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/11)-(7/1/2)-(10/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(10/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(10/5/7)-(2/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (10/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/5/7)-(10/5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/7)-(10/5/2/6/7)-(10/5/2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/5/7)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7)-(2/6/1)-(6/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(6/4/1)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DANIELA         (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  MAC'S CAILIN Nov14 Oct10       (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 122 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
3  WINGS OF HEAVEN         (tumblin andr)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 10.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
4  QUICK RENDEZVOUS         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  MERRIEMELOUIE         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.50 7% 12.50    
  (by TENKOZ out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
6  THIRTY SOMETHING Nov13         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
7  OH GLORIOUS DAY Nov13 Oct28 Oct12 Sep25 Sep04 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
SCR  LUCKY STUFF Nov13 Oct28 Sep25 Sep04   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
 
MVR-2   11/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTER HALF Oct06 Sep22 Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 8.00    
2  MIZZEN THE POINT Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 Aug09 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 4.50    
3  CHICA CHULA Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 Sep18 Aug26 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 122 6.00    
4  ONE RICH KITTEN Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 Aug29 Aug09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
5  LADY JASPER Oct25 Aug26 Jul17 Jun05 May24 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CHANEL SPIRIT Oct25 Aug26 Aug14 Jul22 Mar23 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-3   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B SASSI Oct28         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by BIONDETTI out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
2  COWGIRLS HUMOR Nov13 Oct28       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
3  SOMETHING LUCKY Nov13         (doering mark)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  HISTORYINTHEMAKING Nov13 Oct28 Sep21     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MAKING HISTORY by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Nov13 Oct28 Oct12 Sep04 Aug14 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 122 10.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  MOBIL DREAM STAR Oct28 Sep22       (wilson david )BRACHO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
7  DEBBIE'S DREAM         (greenhill)CORREA L 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DANZA out of MS. G Q by MERCER MILL)
8  IMA MOM         (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 122 6.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
 
MVR-4   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LIMA Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep13 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
2  J P'S GLADYS Nov09 Aug01 Jul09 Sep27 Aug30 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 75% 0.30    
3  SABELLE Sep27 Jul26 Jun26 May22 May02 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
4  CITY SIGNS Nov20 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
5  FLYING BUSINESS Nov09 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Jun14 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
6  CAGUA Oct11 Sep11 Sep04 Aug21 Aug09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
7  HIGH HEAVEN Oct09 Sep11 Sep03 Jul17 Jun05 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  MOON PARTY Nov13 Sep28 Sep13 Aug12 Aug03 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
9  SWEET BELEN Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 Jul26 Jun20 (romero oscar)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
10  GRAND PRIZE Jul10 Jun12 May22 May09 Mar07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 ★    
11  ADULTING Nov09 Oct11 Sep11 Aug20 May02 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A RUSH Oct09 Sep20 Jul29 Sep06 Jul22 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  RUN BUBBA RUN Sep08 Jan30 Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Oct04 Sep06 Aug03 Jul22 Jul05 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
4  KID RUSSELL Oct10 Sep19 Aug14 Jul27 Jul13 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
SCR  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Nov06 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 124 15.00    
6  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Oct13 Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 Jun07 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00    
7  GARRETT Sep13 Aug23 Apr12 Mar13 Feb22 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
8  KEEPING SCORE Nov06 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 Aug12 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUE THE BAND Jul13 Jun24 May24 Apr24 Dec27 (shanyfe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
2  CROSSED UP Nov02 Oct10 Aug14 Jul17 Jun12 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00 ★    
3  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Nov02 Oct12 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 (szczepanski )BERRIOS HECTOR 122 20.00    
4  MOBIL MEISTER Aug01 Jun06 May22 May03 Dec13 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
5  CAT'S RHYTHM Nov14 Nov01 Oct06 Aug21 Jul17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 26% 2.90    
6  TWERK Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 Aug03 Jul13 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 ★    
7  DANZA MAGIC Nov02 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  JETTIN PEGASUS Nov14 Nov01 Oct06 Sep26 Sep13 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
9  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Nov14 Oct28 Oct10 Oct02 Sep11 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 4.00    
10  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Nov14 Oct28 Sep26 Aug31 Feb23 (urieta johanna)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
11  FABULOUS CLOWN Nov02 Oct09 Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 (fau)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE BISCUIT Nov13 Nov01 Oct07 Sep19 Aug31 (salas felipe)BRACHO A 122 12.00 13% 6.80    
2  HARTFUL HOPE Nov06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  KITTEN CALLS Oct25 Sep12 Jul18 May29 Mar11 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50    
4  LEWD Nov06 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
5  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Nov15 Oct11 Sep04 Aug10 Jul13 (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00    
6  GORMLEYESQUE Nov01 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12 Jul26 (delong ben)RIVERA R 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  SCENIC VIEW Oct29 Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 May20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCK WOOD Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 Sep19 Aug28 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 17% 4.90    
2  THE PINK Z Nov06 Oct23 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 (silva fernando)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
3  TEAM LEYENDECKER Aug09 Jul12 Jun24 Jan28 Jan05 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
4  PAINT THE TOWN Oct23 Jun24 Jun02 May05 Apr24 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
5  HITE Nov09 Oct23 Sep25 Jun24 Dec03 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
6  BUCKEYE SKY Nov14 Oct12 Sep26 Dec30 Oct29 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.80 36% 1.70    
7  OUR BUCKWHEAT Oct04 Aug10 Jul22 Jul04 May25 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.00    
 
MVR-9   11/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE ICE Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Aug14 Jul05 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 6.00 ★    
2  BODIL Nov09 Oct04 Aug19 Jul11 Jun18 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.00    
3  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Nov09 Oct25 Sep11 Jul24 Mar30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  THE MIRACLE KIUT Nov09 Mar21 Nov15 Oct31   (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  YOU NAME IT Nov13 Oct23 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 (gorham ro)CORREA L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GO GIRL Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Jun30 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00    
7  WEEKENDING Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun05 Apr06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 15.00    
8  WHYNAUGHTY Oct25 Oct06 Aug10 Jun24 May24 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
9  SWEET OUTLOOK Nov13 Oct31 Oct04 Oct12 Sep12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.