Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNAWAY MOM Dec11 Dec03 Oct21 Aug28 Jul22 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  SHES A THREAT Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 (beck rowe)BERMUDEZ E 121 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  WAITING ON WILLIAM Dec02 Nov01 Oct11 Aug30 Aug18 (helmbrecht )CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 5.00 ★    
4  ETELKA Dec11 Oct20 Sep20 Sep06 Jul26 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 10.00 14% 5.90    
5  YES I'S A MILLER Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 May31 May20 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 121 12.00    
6  LIEUTENANT KITTY Nov22 Nov15 Oct31 Oct19 Sep29 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  ZAWADI Oct06 Aug19 Jul26     (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
8  MY ANGELICA Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 Oct06 Apr19 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00    
9  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Dec11 Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 (kahles )DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
 
TP-2   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU TIME Nov11 Oct12 Sep28 Aug07 Jul03 (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  EYEOFTHEBEHOLDER Dec07 Nov10 Sep22 Sep09 Aug09 (jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG Dec24 Nov12 Oct26 Oct08 Sep23 (brooks )DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
SCR  PRESTONSBIRD Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Sep06 Aug20 (richardson )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
6  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep08 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 20.00    
7  LAND REMEMBERED Dec07 Sep12 Aug22 Jul29   (cannon steve)OUZTS W 118 8.00 13% 6.60    
8  BRONZE BEAST Dec07 Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 Jun11 (rouck l)LEZCANO ABEL 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
9  DASTARDLY DEEDS Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 Oct02 Aug25 (candelas bl)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 20.00    
10  FOMO Dec07 Oct21 Sep18 Aug25 Aug07 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00    
11  LIBERTY BLUE Dec07 Oct25 Oct07 Sep21 Sep07 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TP-3   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT NOW Nov24 Oct13 Sep17 Aug26   (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
2  ELLIE DELI Dec07 Oct06 Sep14 Jun22   (baez se)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  PINK ROBE Dec07 Nov02       (short ricky )RAMOS D 122 20.00    
4  REINA BELLA Sep29 Aug26       (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORIARTY Dec07 Nov20 Oct21 Sep27 Aug23 (bogle fergus)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
6  CEE MINUS Dec03 Sep26 Sep07     (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  QUEEN OF CHILL Nov11 Sep30       (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  ONTOTHENEXT Dec11 Sep23       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 15.00    
9  GAMBI Dec03 Nov06 Oct11     (alessi j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 50.00    
SCR  JEFF'S JOY Dec07 Oct21 Sep27 Aug26 Jul31 (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
SCR  CHROME DESSERT Oct04         (ward a)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
12  SPUNK Dec17 Nov20 Nov06 Aug14 Jul24 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 122 20.00    
SCR  DOOIT Nov11 Oct22 Sep24     (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
TP-4   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETTORI KIN (BRZ) Dec01 Jun12 May28 May08 Apr17 (d'angelo jo)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  MASON A. P. Nov30 Nov12 Oct27 Oct05 Sep08 (hill f)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00    
3  DRAFT CAPITAL Nov30 Oct24 Sep05 Jun25   (taylor bre)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
4  J W RUCKUS Dec14 Dec01 Nov09 Sep28 Sep12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 12.00 ★    
5  EL CHEAPO Jul15 Jun01 May24 May10 Mar19 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 121 30.00    
6  UNBRIDLED BEAST Dec14 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 Jul21 (hammond k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  MARKITOFF Dec16 Dec03 Sep28 Aug19 Jul15 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 ★    
8  AWESOME D J Aug24 Aug05 Jul19 Jul08 Jun10 (cannon steve)FELIX E 121 10.00 21% 3.70    
9  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Dec16 Nov22 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 (howard d)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
10  BLANKET OF ROSES Dec11 Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 Jul09 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 121 2.00 ★    
 
TP-5   12/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. ELMO         (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 ★    
2  BRAZEN BOY Nov24 Oct30       (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 ★    
3  DONEGAL DANNY         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 11% 7.90    
4  TEAM LEADER Oct15 Sep22 Jul30     (walsh brendan )LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00    
5  EL MUZN         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
6  AERATOR Nov24 Nov05 Oct09     (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
7  QUIET RIDE         (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
8  STONEMONT REUNION         (rider dav)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00    
9  IM A MODEST MAN         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00    
10  PEEK         (arnold r)FELIX E 119 15.00    
11  ITZOS Nov26         (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
12  MISLEAD         (ennis john)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 10.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS Sep23         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 61% 0.70    
SCR  SHORTSTOP         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
TP-6   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHA KON O HEY Nov17 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26   (mcbride)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 12% 7.30    
2  PAID TWICE Dec07 Nov13 Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
3  SEVEN AND SEVEN Nov02         (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  RARE N READY Nov30 Oct11 Sep07 Jul28 Jun21 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
5  TEXAS RED PEPPER         (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 12.00    
6  STEADY EDDIE Dec10 Nov20 Sep14 Sep05 Aug14 (buckley ri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  J BOONE Nov30 Oct11 Sep09 Aug31 Aug19 (sand)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 10.00    
8  SPUNS SON Nov30 Nov19 Oct12 Sep05 Aug12 (taylor brent)FELIX E 121 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN SILVER Dec16 Dec07 Nov13 Oct11 Sep20 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00    
10  FROSTY DREAMS Dec07 Jul28 May04 Mar31 Mar12 (spicer j)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 20.00 ★    
 
TP-7   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO DIVINE Dec03 Nov12 Oct16     (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
2  LUNA MOTH Nov26         (simms mark )CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 20.00    
SCR  SILENT STORY Oct27 Sep28 Aug27     (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
4  SPLASH MOUNTAIN Oct13         (walsh brenda)RAMOS D 119 10.00    
5  AUNT MISCHIEF Nov30 Jul04       (mcpeek g)OUZTS W 119 12.00    
6  DOGTOWN DIVA Nov30         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 112 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  CAPELLA         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
8  HAZANNE Nov24         (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 ★    
9  RUM RUNNER READY Nov30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jun10 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
SCR  GRAY FROST Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 Aug14   (reed r)MCKEE J 119 15.00    
11  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE Nov24 Oct30       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
12  MO BILLS Dec01 Oct12 Sep14     (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
13  QUEEN TAPITURE Dec03 Nov20 Nov06 Oct05 Sep02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 15.00 24% 3.30    
SCR  KING'S MISTRESS Dec03 Nov10       (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
 
TP-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATTIE M Nov30 Nov10 Sep30     (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 20.00    
2  TEN RINGS Aug07 Jul03       (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 ★    
3  SOCIAL MANDATE Nov27 Nov10 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 111 20.00    
4  STORY HOUR Nov24 Feb13 Jan09     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 ★    
5  LIGHTNING FIRE Nov30 Oct06 Sep22     (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
6  VERY WEALTHY Dec08 Nov21 Oct29 Sep30 Sep14 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00    
7  KEEN ICE SIGHT Nov21 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
8  NORTHERN DIAMOND Sep28 Sep02 Aug14 Jun29 May07 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
9  WOODBINE WAY Nov20 Oct30 Aug27 Aug04 May01 (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
10  AZUL TEQUILA         (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
11  QUARIA COMET Oct19 Sep14 Apr28 Apr02   (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
12  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 Aug27 Jul23 (d'angelo jo)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00 18% 4.60    
13  URSULINA Jun02 May05 Apr22 Apr08 Mar19 (huffman pat)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
 
TP-9   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMIRATES ROAD Oct12 Jul04 Jun04 May07 Apr09 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
2  JR'S GIFT Oct27 Oct12 Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
3  MAINTAINER Dec02 Apr09 Mar05 Feb12   (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
4  GRAPHIC DETAIL Dec02 Apr02 Feb05 Jan01   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 9% 9.60    
5  YONO Oct09 Sep18 Aug03 Apr14 Mar19 (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
6  PICASSO Jun24 May20 Apr20 Mar11 Feb05 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
7  MOMS MOON Oct12 Mar05 Jan15     (arnold r)FELIX E 118 6.00    
8  PERFECT PAINTING Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jun17 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 30.00    
SCR  MIDASWELLRUN Nov19 Oct19 Sep01 Apr28 Apr10 (blair jor)BERMUDEZ E 121 12.00    
10  MAJOR CONTENDER Jun08 May17 Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
11  GRAEL May28 Apr02 Mar05     (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
12  ENDLESS SUNSET Nov18 Oct27 Oct17 Sep17 Sep07 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 121 15.00    
13  WIN THE DAY Nov04 Oct02 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  WARBIRD Oct26 Apr03 Feb23     (mccarthy mich)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 6% 15.30    
 
TP-10   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RURAL Nov30         (preston ran)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 20.00    
2  AMBASSADOR MIKE Oct11 Sep28 Sep12 Sep01 Aug12 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
3  NICHOLAS JONES Nov19         (miller f)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
4  TRICOLOUR Dec09 Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (miller ke)BERMUDEZ E 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  HABITUS (GB) Dec09 Nov11 Sep12 Aug12 Jul24 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
6  MID ATLANTIC Dec07 Oct19 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 121 6.00 ★    
7  LUTE'S ANGEL Dec08 Sep28 Aug10 Aug03 Jul19 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  CLOSE KNIT Nov23 Jun03 Apr29 Feb16 Jan07 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 121 10.00    
9  GUS GUS Dec09 Nov09 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 121 20.00    
10  HESTON Dec07 Jun02 Apr22 Feb19   (engler jeff)MOJICA JR 121 10.00    
11  BRODY'S FLY Nov19 Apr13 Mar12     (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
12  TOLKIEN Oct26 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul23 (vaccarez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  KID SHELLEEN Dec09 Nov30       (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.