Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(6/8/4/5)-(4/1/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/5)-(4/1/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/5)-(4/1/9/2)-(5/3/7/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2)-(4/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/9/2)-(5/3/7/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/2)-(5/3/7/1/2)-(5/4/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/3/7/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1/2)-(5/3/7/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1/2)-(5/3/7/1/2)-(5/3/7/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1/2)-(5/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/1/2)-(5/4/3/7)-(9/3/1/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-5   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(9/3/1/4/6)-(6/8/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (9/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/1/4/6)-(6/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/4/6)-(6/8/2/7)-(7/3/1/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/7)-(6/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/7)-(6/8/2/7)-(6/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/7)-(7/3/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/8/9)-(7/3/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/8/9)-(7/3/1/8/9)-(7/3/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/07/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER CAUSE Sep15 Apr06 May13 Apr15 Feb26 (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50    
2  BARESE Oct13 Oct03 Sep19 Aug25 Aug01 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARMY TIMES Sep23 Nov03 Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
4  MOORE'S LAW Jul21 May04 Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
SCR  MAGIC MICHAEL Oct19 Sep21 Aug27 Jul26 Jul07 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 125 3.00    
6  COSTA TERRA Oct19 Sep15 Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-2   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA'S NICO BOY Oct03 Sep15 Aug29     (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
2  SOCIAL HOUR Oct13 Aug17 Jul20     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50    
3  MY MITOLE Jun15 May27       (martin car)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
4  BRAVE BEAR Oct24         (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 8% 11.10    
5  BRODERICK Oct24         (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMERICA'S HONOR Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug22 Jun21 (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Oct18 Sep18       (antonucci jena)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
8  SALVATION Oct03 Aug21       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 27% 2.60    
 
AQU-3   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGY'S PALACE Oct20 Aug25 Aug07 Jun30 Jun15 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  MAGGIE T Oct20 Sep13 Aug02 Jul07 May02 (giangiul)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALU Oct24 Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
4  BUSTIN BAY Aug07 Jul11 Jun09 Mar30 Mar24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 45% 1.20    
5  ECHO IN ETERNITY Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun23 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00    
6  BROWN SUGA BABE Oct10 Sep27 Sep02 Aug22 Jul24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
7  MISS LAO Oct17 Aug30 Aug01 Jun28 May04 (lalman dennis)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
8  LAVON Oct09 Sep16 Jul18 Apr25 Apr07 (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
9  MOSIENKO Oct06 Sep26 Jul14 May12 Apr18 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 13% 6.40    
 
AQU-4   11/07/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTISTIC SUCCESS Aug28         (sharp joe)RIVERA R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHE'S A NATURAL Sep21 Jul05 Jun14 Apr21 Apr14 (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAJULU Aug28 Jul26 Jun27     (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOOD MISSION Aug28 Aug01       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
5  NAUGHTY DESTINY Sep15 Aug17 Jun14 May25 Nov02 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Sep15 Aug17 Jun28 Sep15 Jul26 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
7  CERRETTA Sep15 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Apr25 (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
8  LIL' HAYADOIN Sep15 Aug18 Jul19 Mar29 Oct29 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
9  REALTA Sep14 Jul26 Jun27 May19 Aug10 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00    
10  ESSENTIAL LIFE Dec15         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
11  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Oct12 Aug28 Nov17 Nov10 Oct20 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
SCR  FREUD'S FANCY Oct12         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS UPROAR Oct12 Apr07 Feb08 Jan18 May21 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
SCR  CHILI BEAN Oct12         (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Oct13 Sep14 Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
SCR  FUNNY FORECAST Oct20 Jul07       (quile)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
 
AQU-5   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Oct16 Sep12 Jun28 May18 Apr24 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
2  LCGOLUCKY Sep28 Sep19 Sep01 Jun21 Jun06 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
3  TRUE CONNECTION Jul06 Jun15 May29 May10 Apr05 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALWAYS BE SMART Jul31 Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 Mar09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  WAJDA Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 Nov17 Oct01 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  BAD BOY BUTCH Oct17 Aug04       (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 12.00    
7  MANO E MANO Sep14 May19 Apr20     (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CONFABULATION Oct17 Aug31 Jul31     (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50    
9  JUST BE HONEST Sep25 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jun30 (ryerson ja)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
 
AQU-6   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Aug29 Jul17 Oct22 Aug25 Jul29 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 13% 6.40    
2  TRY IT AGAIN Sep10 Sep02 Jul28 Jun30 May24 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 122 12.00    
3  LATEST EDITION Oct10 Sep13 Aug08 Jun15 Jun05 (morley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  CONDIMENT GIRL Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 Jul25 Jun22 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
5  VEGAS WEEKEND Jun29 Jun15 May12 Apr04 Mar22 (arriaga )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 6.00    
6  BOSS LADY KIM Oct11 Nov18 Oct26 Sep22 Aug05 (frangella james)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BANK ON ANNA Oct20 Sep13 Aug28 Aug08 Aug02 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
8  MON PETIT CHOU Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
9  JACKSON'S DIXIE Oct20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jun15 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
10  EVERLYS GIRL Oct20 Oct10 Sep15 Aug14 Aug03 (chatterpaul n)OLVER MADISON 122 20.00    
11  CARBON Oct10 Sep29 Jul20 Feb19 Jan28 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST MUSIC Oct19 Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA Sep19 Aug11 May30 Mar13 Feb14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
2  ROSWELL Oct04 Aug23 Jul19 Jun07 May01 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  PUBLIC DEFENDER Sep04 Dec10 Nov16     (cibelli jane)LEZCANO JOSE 120 30.00    
4  CAN'T FOOL ME Sep26 Aug22 Jul24 Jun23 May25 (de h)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
5  ANILEATE Oct17 Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Jul19 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 121 30.00    
6  REVALITA (FR) Aug14 Jun20 Jul21 Jun11 May05 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  SPINNING COLORS Aug25 Jul24 Sep14 Aug12 Jul03 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  RHIANNON Nov11 Sep16 Aug18     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.80 20% 4.00    
9  VINO ROUGE Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 May19 (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
10  AWESOME CZECH Oct10 Sep07 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  BELLS BEACH Jul12 Jun01 Apr05     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
SCR  BEST IMPRESSION Aug31 Mar10 Jan27     (bartkowski lisa)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  WHISTLER'S STYLE Oct19 Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 Jun15 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 121 12.00    
 
AQU-8   11/07/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND DANCER Sep13 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 Jun06 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 15% 5.80    
2  SCHERZANDO Oct17 Apr27 Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
3  HARD PAR Aug30 Jul26 Jun14 Apr26 Nov03 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  CAN'T STAND DISCO Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 (paraga)GRISALES DANILO 122 50.00    
5  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Apr26         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
6  VITALIZE Oct27 Sep26 Jan07     (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00    
7  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Oct17 Sep13 Jun29 May17 Apr19 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
8  PRICE IS TRUTH Sep19 Jun29 Jun22 Apr04 Nov04 (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
9  SWEET TONE Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun22 May25 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOL THE FRANK         (legall )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 50.00    
SCR  ISOMARSHALL Oct24 Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 122 20.00    
SCR  JUDGE RULES Oct24 Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.