Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (8/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/10/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (5/4/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (4/2/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (10/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (12/9/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (1/2/6/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-12   Win (1/2/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S PROMISE Jun23         (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
GENE AND JUDE         (sisterson jack)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  TIZ DASHING         (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
NOD TO TRAN         (diprima )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
LOUGH CURRANE Aug03         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
MAUI STRONG         (romans dal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
INCANTO (IRE) May11         (sisterson jack)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
GATE TO WIRE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
CODE OF JUSTICE         (lukas wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SCR  I GOT GAME Aug03 Jun20 May30     (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 1.80    
 
SAR-2   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCYTHIAN Aug04         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
IRON MAX Aug01 Jul24       (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
MOSSAD         (mott riley)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
SHOOT THE WAVES Jul07         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
RICHARD AVE Aug01 Jul07 May10     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
POWERED BY COAL         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SHAKEITFORTHEBIRD Jul25         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
REAL SAVVY Aug01         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
10  MAN OF MISCHIEF Aug15 Jul25       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
11  TWELVE NELSON Aug03         (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SCR  JUST LICORICE         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
SCR  I'M DUE         (sweezey kent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  JACK AND JIM         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Aug04 Jul11 Apr26 Mar30 Feb29 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50    
WILD BANKER Aug15 Jul24 Jun27 May02 Apr06 (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
NEURAL NETWORK Jul21 Apr22 Feb25 Jan07 Nov13 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
MIGHTY ATLAS Jun27 May27 May04 Apr13 Mar15 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
LEFTEMBEHIND Jul31 Jul12 Jun07 May03 Dec16 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 5.00    
CUT THE CORD Aug01 Jun27 May26 Nov08 Oct15 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
SAR-4   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAMITO Jul24 Apr12 Sep24 Aug20 Jul02 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
1A  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Aug18 Jul18 Jun08 Apr28 Mar31 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Aug07 Jun29 Jan27 Jan01 Nov26 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE Aug22 Jul14 Jun28 May19 Apr05 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00    
DILLINGER Aug07 Jul12 May23 Apr21 Jun25 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00    
TURN UP THE TREES Aug09 Mar28 Feb10 Jan13   (margotta anth)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
SCR  VERY STORMY Aug15 Jul18 Jun27     (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHOW TIME Jun23 May11 May27 Apr09 Mar17 (sisterson jack)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
SAR-5   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Aug07 Jul19 Jun05 May03 Dec30 (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 120 2.50    
SCR  PITCH CLOCK Jun30 May11 Apr14 Jun23 May05 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.40    
SCR  DEVIL BLUE DRESS Aug10 Jun05 Jan18 Nov26 Nov03 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00    
MISS LAO Aug01 Jun28 May04 Apr06 Jan28 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
PAM PAM Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 Apr07 Feb16 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  TEN TEN Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May18 Apr18 (noda orlan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Jul19 Jun15 May17 Apr18 Apr07 (ferraro j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Saranac Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST HOLLYWOOD Jul27 Jun20 May10     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
VILLAIN Aug11 Jul08 Jun02 Apr14 Mar08 (schultz linds)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE)         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50    
YO DADDY Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 Apr14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE BIG TORPEDO Jul18 Jun16 Apr27 Mar24 Feb25 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
THE PROCESS Jul27 Jun13 Mar09 Jan13 Nov25 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
SCR  PROPRIETARY TRADE Aug11 Jul19 Jun02 May05 Apr06 (maker j)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
 
SAR-7   08/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHER CLEESHAY         (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
CHICAZTECA Jul30         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
BOURBON BLANKET         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
VERY COSMOPOLITAN         (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
BLUE EYED SCOUT         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
BOUVIER         (sisterson jack)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
CENTRAL CASTING         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GAGA'S HAMSOME         (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE WORKS         (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
10  CAMPAIGN CHAMPAGNE         (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 119 15.00    
SCR  MELLE MEL Jul31         (giddings melani)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  CANTAFIO Aug03         (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
 
SAR-8   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALVIN'S RIDE         (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
NATIONAL ARCHIVE         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 116 3.50 28% 2.60    
DIGNIFIED RESPONSE         (weaver geo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORIE Jul07         (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 39% 1.50    
TRINITY RIVER         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SMOOTH BREEZE         (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
BIG BROWN DELIVERS Jul25         (noda orlando)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
DARK MAGIC         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
HIGH WATER MARK Aug01         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
10  DEEMER         (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  LEON BLUE Jul24         (giddings melanie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
SCR  NONNO JOE Jul24         (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  DOMINICAN PIRATE         (jimenez l)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00    
SCR  BRUNCH (GB)         (lewis l)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
SAR-9   08/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIGHT GAL         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB)         (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  BERNIEANDTHEROSE         (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
KAY CUP         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHTNING MAMA Jul17         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
VALTELLINA         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
BLAKELY'S WISH Aug08         (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
EARLY ON Aug04         (joseph a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
C C ROULETTE         (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 15.00    
OLIVIA'S WISH         (arriaga an)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
10  OFF SCRIPT Jul26         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  ENDLESS VOW Aug08         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
12  PRACTICALLY SUMMER Aug08 Jul17       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHILENO Mar29 Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20    
SCR  WATASHA Nov12 Sep27 Aug17 Jun25 May26 (brion keri)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00    
SCR  CATIRE VIZCAYA Jul19 Jun24 Apr27 Mar09 Feb16 (avila c)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
EMIRATES ROAD Aug02 Jun29 May27 Feb02 Jan05 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
WARRIOR RICHARD Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr20 Oct07 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  TWO FOR CHARGING Jul18 Jun14 Nov10 Oct01 Aug05 (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
COOL OPERATOR Jun22 May27 Apr12 Mar09 Jan27 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
HARVARD Aug02 Jun29 May12 Apr28 Apr04 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
THAT'S MONEY Aug11 Jun09 May05 Mar24 Feb17 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 27% 2.70    
10  PRINCIPE D'ORO Aug07 Jul18 Jun22 May18 Apr19 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 15.00    
11  EIRIK RIDGE Aug11 Jul16 Jun19 Jun03 Apr13 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Jun16 May27 Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
SAR-11   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U SHOULD B DANCING Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 Apr20 Nov19 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
HURRICANE DEBBIE Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 Dec13 Oct22 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Aug04 Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 Sep14 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME PENNY Jul18 May25 Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 (caramori edu)RIVERA R 124 30.00    
CANDI GIRL Jul23 Dec23 Dec08 Sep13 Aug28 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 6% 14.50    
LACONIA Jul13 Jun20 May25 Apr21 Mar01 (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
KAYMUS Jul13 Apr06 Jan18 Dec16   (levine bru)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  ANSWER THE CALL Aug11 Aug04 Jun08 May01 Mar13 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
TIPSY RUNNER Jul18 Jun15 May11 Mar20 Feb23 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
10  LINARITE Aug23 Aug04 Jul28 Jun20 May18 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS Jul18 Jun22 May24 May03 Mar07 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
 
SAR-12   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAYBRIGHT DELIGHTS Jun22 May26       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
NEW YORK SCRAPPY Aug15 Jul11 Jun22     (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  THE MANTICORE Jul26 Sep04 Jun19 Jun21   (meadow pat)DAVIS A 124 50.00    
ORENO Jun22         (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
CHARLES J Jun22 Jun06 Apr26 Feb11 Dec29 (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
KID KREESA Jul25 Jun28 Jun09 May10 Nov19 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 8.00    
HARD PAR Jul26 Jun14 Apr26 Nov03 Oct14 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 8% 12.30    
DILLON Apr27 Mar14 Jan13 Nov03 Sep17 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Jul26 Jul04 May26 Apr17 Aug24 (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
10  SIX FORTYFIVE Jul18 Jun30 Nov18 Oct05   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  CAN'T STAND DISCO Aug11 Jul24 Jun27     (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.