Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(2/6)-(2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/3/5)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/4/3)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/5/4)-(1/10/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/10/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/10/5/8)-(3/4/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/5/8)-(1/10/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/5/8)-(1/10/5/7/8)-(1/10/5/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/5/8)-(3/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/10/5/8)-(3/4/6/7)-(5/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/8/7)-(3/4/6/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/6/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(5/2/6)-(3/4/8/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(3/4/8/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (3/4/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7/9)-(3/4/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7/9)-(3/4/8/7/9)-(3/4/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   06/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOURS IN A DAY Jun06 May25 Apr28     (goberdhan)BOCACHICA J 113 3.50    
SHAKIN THE BELLE May25 Apr21 Mar30 Jul30 Jul02 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
BATTLE OF BRITAIN Jun02 Apr21 Feb13 Jan29   (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
DISCREET BNB Jun06 Apr20       (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
NO SURRENDER May27 Mar28 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
UNAFFECTED Jun04 Apr13 Sep04 Aug06 Jun23 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50    
WHITBY May25 Apr05 Feb29 Jan31 Dec02 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-2   06/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLO CONTESTO Jun09 May19 Mar03 Dec09 Nov17 (abreu ferna)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
1A  FIRST GLIMPSE May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar29 Mar07 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Apr20 Mar07 Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  NIMITZ CLASS May03 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Oct17 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
ST ANDREWS May05 Mar17 Jan28 Dec29 Dec09 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00    
SCR  MASON MANIA May26 Apr26 Mar16 Jan26 Jan01 (quick )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
OPTIC WAY Mar30 Mar16 Feb03 Jan04 Nov26 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 118 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
BAQ-3   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBOT'S VALENTINE May24 Mar15 Feb04 Dec08 Oct19 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SNOWY EVENING May24 Apr25 Nov09 Oct27 Sep04 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
AUTUMN GLORY May24 Nov09 Oct26 Jul02 May14 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SOLIB May24 Apr04 Jan05 Dec14 Nov14 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80    
DETERMINED LILLY May25 Nov03 Oct19 Sep21 Aug16 (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7% 14.40    
SPOOKY LADY May24 Apr25 Nov19 Oct06 Sep04 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 122 2.50    
SCR  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Jun20 May12 Apr18 Apr04 Feb24 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20    
SCR  SARATOGA KISSES May12 Mar28 Jan07 Dec14 Nov19 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-4   06/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTING BACK May09 Apr13 Sep24 Jul09 Jun10 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00    
ANDY CANT May18 Apr25 Mar28 Feb09 Jun02 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50    
ENDOWED May27 May09 Apr05 Jul26 Jun09 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
BARNSTORMING May27 May09 Apr25 Mar16 Feb24 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
ICE ROAD Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb03 Dec28 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 31% 2.30    
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE May17 Apr20 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
BOBBY THE TANK May09 Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 Jan01 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
SCR  CHALKY CAT Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   06/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO'S FURY Dec16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep04   (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
APOLLO CODE Jun09 May12 Apr13 Dec31 Aug12 (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00    
BIG PRANKSTER May25 Apr21 Dec02 Nov18 Oct04 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
ON THE HILL May12 Jul15 Dec11 Nov13 Aug27 (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 6% 16.50    
AGGELOS THE GREAT Dec15 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 Sep14 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
ROCK THE WEEKEND May12 Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   06/28/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMORNA Oct13 Aug20 Jul20     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREUDIE ANNE by FREUD)
ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Nov05 Sep02       (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by CABLE BAY out of ART INSTITUTE by ARCH)
AUNT NONA         (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BLUE BAHIA by WILDCAT HEIR)
BAM BAM (BRZ)         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of EMPRESSIVE LADY by EMPIRE MAKER)
RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Apr21 Feb23       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by DUBAWI out of PRICELESS by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
OUT TOO LATE (GB) Aug13         (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
  (by EXPERT EYE out of MISS ATOMIC BOMB by INTIKHAB)
PARADE RING (IRE) May02 Mar15 Feb11 Jul20   (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of OASIS SUNSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
CHARDAN Apr28 Mar31       (moubarak na)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOREALE by MAKFI (GB))
SCARLET POPPY (IRE) Apr13         (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of BULRUSHES by BYRON)
10  STAGE PRESENCE May25         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
SCR  MAC TO MOORE Mar08 Feb09       (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SHOT GUN PENNIE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  TIPPLE         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
SCR  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 Dec06   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of HIDDEN ROSIE by SIGNATURE RED)
 
BAQ-7   06/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIA NIPOTINA May26 Apr29 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
DELL ARTE May11 Mar15 Feb19 Jan06   (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
STARTS NOW Jun09 Nov17 Nov05 Oct05 Jul29 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
MISS LAO May04 Apr06 Jan28 Dec16 Oct22 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 17% 4.90    
OUR REWARD May19 Apr18 Mar29 Feb17 Jan07 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 20.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Jun09 Mar15       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
SPIRIT OF ESTHER Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02   (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
DETONATE Feb09         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
SCR  GENEROUS LUVA May25 Apr26       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
10  HIDDEN WAR DANCE May13 Apr13 Apr04     (winne)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 30.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATRIX Jun14 Jun09 Mar28 Mar01   (contessa ga)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
12  ADULT ENTERTAINER Jun14 Apr26 Mar22     (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  STRONG PLAY Jun27         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK HAMMER May18 Apr18 Mar29 Feb16 Feb10 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00    
1A  MAGNIFICENT MILE May19 Apr05 Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.00    
UNION LIGHTS May18 May12 Apr20 Apr07 Mar21 (toscano john )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Apr13 Mar09 Mar01 Feb17 Feb03 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 125 5.00    
RIDER'S SPECIAL Nov05 Sep14 Jul31 Jun29 Jun10 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
TWELTH MAN May05 Apr13 Oct07 Sep28 Aug05 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 38% 1.70    
MUDVILLE NINE Apr28 Mar21 Jan14 Jan11 Dec28 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIGHT FIERCELY May11 Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 Mar15 (arenas ma)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00    
KENTUCKY JOKER May20 Apr30 Mar24 Mar09 Feb04 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING JIM Jun09 May12 Mar09 Jan26 Nov19 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50    
FELINE TREASURE May12 Apr26 Feb17     (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
WO HOP Jun09 May10 Apr12     (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
FROZEN FOUR May25 Nov03 Sep17 Aug18 Aug03 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
SOLO EMPIRE May25 May17 Mar07 Feb11 Jan18 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 4.00    
PODERE May12 Nov17 Oct20     (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
KID KREESA Jun09 May10 Nov19 Oct27 Sep04 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
JUDGE RULES May25 May11 Apr13 Mar14 Feb18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 5% 18.80    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Jun09 May17 Mar29 Mar06 Feb17 (paragallo jenni)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  FOUR EYES Jun09 May17 Feb03 Jan18 Feb25 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 125 30.00    
SCR  IRISH TIDES         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 30.00    
SCR  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jun01 May25 Nov19 Sep22 Aug19 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 125 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.