Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/7)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/7)-(3/2)-(5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/7/3/9/12) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2/6/4)-(5/1/2/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/7/3/9/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/7/3/9/12)-(7/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/7/3/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/9/12)-(1/7/3/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/9/12)-(1/7/3/9/12)-(1/7/3/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/3/9/12)-(7/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/9/12)-(7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/4)-(6/1/4/8)-(7/8/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8)-(6/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/8)-(7/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/8)-(7/8/1/6)-(9/10/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/6)-(9/10/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/6)-(9/10/4/6)-(6/9/1/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/10/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/4/6)-(9/10/4/6/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/4/6)-(9/10/4/6/12)-(9/10/4/6/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/4/6)-(6/9/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (6/9/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/8/3)-(6/9/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/8/3)-(6/9/1/8/3)-(6/9/1/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR'S DREAM Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 Jul02 (hargrave kenneth)NAVAS YOEL 116 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  FLASHYBOY'S LILSIS Feb01 Jan05 Oct27 Aug28 Jul06 (senegal dalton )MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
3  HOT PATOOTIE Jan25 Jan05 Dec17 Dec01 Sep09 (ney john)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 35% 1.90    
4  TRINITY HOPE Jan25 Jan07 Jun12 May15 Apr22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
5  DEBS PRAYER Feb02 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Dec01 (ladner herman)CURTIS BEN 124 5.00 11% 7.90    
6  I DONT KNOW EITHER Jan25 Dec10 Nov24 Sep09 Aug20 (gomez jorge)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 12.00    
7  MRS. NECAISE Dec01 Aug11 May25 Apr12 Mar15 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO SMOKING Jan25 Jan07 Dec10 Oct12 Sep13 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 121 1.20    
 
FG-2   02/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCASTA Jan19 Dec31 Dec03 Nov02 Sep02 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 ★    
2  LOVE TO EAT Dec31 Dec03 Nov04 Oct08 Sep03 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 7% 13.10    
3  BERLAINE Feb02 Dec29 Nov25 Oct06   (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
4  DANCING NANCY Dec31 Nov15 Oct21 Aug20 Jul20 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
5  DOESN'THURTTOFLIRT Feb01 Jan04 Nov09 Nov02 Sep22 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
6  GUEST OF HONOR Jan19 Nov24 Oct26     (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
7  SCOOP Jan19 Dec31 Nov30     (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 119 6.00    
 
FG-3   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO BUENO Jan11 Dec07 Aug14     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  COUNTRY GUY Feb02 Jan04 Nov30 Aug29   (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 109 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  WESTERN STAR Jan18 Jan04 Sep04 Jul22 Jul10 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
4  SHAWN'S SOLVING Feb02 Jan18 Dec01 Oct21 Sep12 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 ★    
5  FAMILY CREED Jan28 Dec30 Dec07     (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 70% 0.40    
6  HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Feb02 Dec14 Jun24 May18   (zenon shelton)GREEN AUBRIE 125 8.00 ★    
7  PALANTE Feb02 Oct27 Aug11 Jul29 Jul07 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 122 20.00    
8  CHAOTIC JACK Dec21 Dec02 Oct28     (klanfer al)WELLINGTON KYLIE 109 15.00    
9  PERFECT STRIKE Jan18 Dec16 Nov30 Aug19 Jul29 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
10  Z'S GUITAR Jan18 Dec14 Oct14 Aug11 Jun30 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
 
FG-4   02/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTLEIGH Jan01 Apr28 Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
2  CAHUILLA Jan04 Oct26 Mar10 Feb15 Nov19 (romero gerald )GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
3  MISS TAPPY TONE Jan25 Jan04 Nov04 Oct12 Apr14 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
4  BLAME NELLIE Jan04 Aug05 Jun29 May25 Feb19 (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
5  IM SINGLED UP Jan25 Jan06 Dec14 Jun09 Dec22 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
6  IT WASN'T ME Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Aug06 Jul05 (handal raymo)TORRES A 122 8.00    
7  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Jan04 Dec21 Nov23 Nov04 Oct11 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
8  CATHERINE BLAZE Jan21 Jan04 Dec21 Oct18 Sep28 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 20.00    
9  CLEVER JOKE Dec21 Nov23 Oct11 Jul23 May12 (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 7% 12.80    
10  LASSAROCK Feb02 Jan12 Jan14 Dec26 Dec04 (hirdes joh)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 50.00    
11  PRIZE DEBATE Jan21 Jan04 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00    
12  CALY BALI Dec30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA VILLANA Oct26 Oct07 Sep12 Jun09 May11 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 122 15.00    
SCR  LANETTA Jan28 Feb15 Jan01     (kenneally)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
 
FG-5   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT RUNNER Jan25 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Aug31 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET SHIRLEY MAE by BROKEN VOW)
2  REASON TO DREAM Jan05 Oct08       (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  AUTO DIAL Jan11 Dec17 Nov24 Aug18 Jul31 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 125 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of TAPICERA by TAPIT)
4  CRUEL ENDEAVOR         (johnston lan)MURRAY M 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of EBONY CAT by CAT'S CAREER)
5  MACKMAN Sep29         (romero dal)BOREL H 125 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SILVERPOCKETSFULL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  BEAUTIFUL LIFE Dec17         (stall albert)TORRES A 125 2.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of IM SO FINE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  MO RUM         (stall m)PARKER L 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COR COR by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
FG-6   02/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK N ROLL BOLT Jan13 Dec14 Nov18 Aug04 Jul02 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 9% 10.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  KISSTHEMOON Jan20 Dec23 Nov25     (pessin ne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of KISSIN KIM by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  SARPEDON Jan05         (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HILLABY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  NIGHT OUT Jan20 Nov23 Oct20 Aug24   (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  PURE POETRY Jul31         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DICKINSON by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  CABERNAYDO Jan21 Dec23 Nov18     (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 61% 0.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WIND SPUN by HARD SPUN)
7  DREAM CRUISE         (catalano m)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SING ONE SONG by KITALPHA)
8  MIGHT AS WELL         (beckman whitwo)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BUREAU DE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  BRILLIANT BERTI         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BELIEVE IN BERTIE by LANGFUHR)
SCR  ELKO COUNTY Jan13         (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 122 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
 
FG-7   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRENCH COMPOSER Jan12 Dec16 Oct25 Oct11 Apr12 (delany sar)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  UPHOLD THE LAW Jan07 Dec03 Feb11 Jan16 Aug17 (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
3  HE'S GOT THIS Jan13 Dec22 Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
4  EL ORIENTE (CHI) Jan13 Dec10 Nov02 Jul08 Jun11 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
5  UNIFIED DREAMS Dec10 Oct13 Jul22 Jun25 May29 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
6  RUNWAY MAGIC Jan13 Dec02 Oct28 Jan22 Dec11 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 5.00 8% 11.50    
7  RIGHTANDJUST Dec01 Sep22 Aug11 Jul10 May27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
8  KOUFAX Jan12 Oct22 Sep14 Jun30 Jun02 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  BEEALEA Jan15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep26 Sep04 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
 
FG-8   02/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FADED MEMORIES Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct11 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
2  DULCIA Feb04 Dec13 Sep10 Nov05 Oct07 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 12.00    
3  LADY MERCEDES Jan25 Jan01 Nov12 Oct19 Jun24 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
4  SAKE (FR) Dec21 Nov23 Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 (correas i)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 6% 14.40    
5  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Dec21 Oct20 Oct01 Aug13 Jul13 (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
6  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS Jul07 Jun11 Apr16 Mar11 Feb01 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISS RIVER RAT Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 Nov12   (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
8  COCOA ICING Sep03 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 Apr23 (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
9  HAY STACK Nov23 Oct27 Sep16 Jul07 May18 (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
10  PAINT ME PERFECT Dec21 Nov23 Oct11 Aug29 Jul20 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
11  SPARTAN QUEEN Jan25 Dec30 Nov09 Oct01 Jan21 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00    
12  HECKLED Jan01 Oct14 Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  BELLA PALOMA Jan01 Oct29 Oct04 Aug24 Aug10 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
SCR  NEUTRALIZE Jan07 Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 Nov23 (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
 
FG-9   02/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF REALITY         (sharp j)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 14% 6.10    
2  CUSTOM CADILLAC Apr27 Mar11 Feb10 Jan20 Dec26 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00    
3  GRAY DANE Dec30 Nov23 Nov09 Oct18 Sep03 (senegal dalton )MCMAHON J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BACK BAYOU Jan27 Dec30 Sep04 Jul22   (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 117 6.00    
5  CATALINA DAY Jan20 Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct12 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 5.00    
6  LOVELY SASSICAIA Jan27 Oct07 Aug10     (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 5.00 24% 3.10    
7  PUPPETEER (GB) Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Oct20 Jul20 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 117 4.50    
8  COUNTRY CHOICE         (pennino fr)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 12.00 8% 11.70    
9  CAJUN MISCHIEF Jan25 Dec21 Dec07 Sep09   (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.