Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/2/5/6)-(6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(6/1/7)-(2/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(2/4/3/1)-(1/7/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(1/7/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(1/7/10/9)-(5/8/7/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/9)-(1/7/10/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/9)-(1/7/10/8/9)-(1/7/10/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/10/9)-(5/8/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/10/9)-(5/8/7/9/3)-(1/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/8/7/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/9/3)-(5/8/7/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/9/3)-(5/8/7/9/3)-(5/8/7/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/7/9/3)-(1/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/9/3)-(1/4/3)-(6/7/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3/11)-(6/7/1/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY GORGEOUS Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 (reynolds patr)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00    
SCR  TERESA Jan13 Dec08 Oct12 Aug10   (barrera osc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 5.00    
3  PRACTICAL MISS Jan07 Nov26 Nov10 Aug25 Aug03 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Sep14 Sep17 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
5  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Jan13 Dec15 Nov26 Oct26 Sep15 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 9% 10.30    
6  MAXING THE BANK Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 Jun24 (parker j)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
7  DREAM ON CARA Jan07 Aug12 Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  PUREST PERFORMANCE Dec30 Nov25 Nov05 Oct15 Jun24 (pregman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
 
AQU-2   02/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CINCO Jan05 Dec31 Nov26 Oct27 Apr06 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 ★    
1A  FANCY AZTECA Dec17 Nov25 Oct05 Aug09 Jul02 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.00 35% 1.80    
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS Dec31 Dec10 Nov16 Oct13 Oct01 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  RISK FREE Jan11 Dec07 Oct14 Sep15 Aug25 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
4  TO A T Dec31 Dec14 Oct27 Aug24 Jul22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
5  GOLDEN ROCKET Dec31 Dec07 Nov09 Oct13 Sep14 (farro patricia)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
6  FRAU DIABLO Jan05 Dec07 Aug25 Jul30   (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Dec02 Nov10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  HARVARD Jul02 Apr30 Mar18 Feb19   (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00    
2  NECROMANCER Jan04 Apr15 Mar10 Dec29 Nov04 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
4  STREET SWAGG Jan04 Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 Oct08 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
5  BAD LARRY Jan06 Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 Aug31 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 10.00    
6  TALKIN PHAROAH Aug26 Jul15 May27 Apr14 Aug07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  LITTLE LUCA Jan05 Jun11 May14 Mar31 Mar11 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-4   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLYPRINCE Dec17 Nov16 Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6% 16.90    
2  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep03 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  AMEDEUS MUSIC Jan11 Dec16 Oct20 Sep24 Aug01 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 12% 7.40    
4  RUNGIUS Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 Sep14 Aug18 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  KHAFRE Dec31 Nov16 Sep14 Jun02 Apr21 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
6  JOKING WAY Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Aug25 Jun15 (romero jes)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
7  LIFE AND LIGHT Jan04 Dec07 Oct28 Oct14 Oct05 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 20.00    
 
AQU-5   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE EDDIE Dec29 Sep03 Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 (contessa g)RIVERA R 115 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  NOBLE ONE Dec10 Nov30 Aug11     (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
3  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Nov02 Sep22 Aug26     (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  BROWN AS A BISCUIT Nov01         (rice linda)LUZZI J 115 12.00    
5  RUDY RUDY RUDY Dec10 Nov02 Oct07 Sep14 Aug04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
6  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Dec10 Nov02       (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
7  CROWN THAT SAINT Dec29 Nov30 Oct07 Aug04 Jul20 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  MY MAN WOODY Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Nov02 Sep22 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
9  SCOOP THE POT Dec02 Nov03 Aug03     (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ALL THE RAGE Nov18         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
AQU-6   02/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERAVIGLIOSO Jan11 Dec08 Nov18 Oct20 Sep02 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
2  JUST A NYQUIST Jan01 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00    
3  GRINGOTTS Jan07 Nov24 Nov09 Oct15 Aug16 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  VEGAS WEEKEND Jan04 Dec07 Nov09 Oct15 Aug16 (baker char)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
5  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jan14 Jan07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct15 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 35% 1.80    
6  SISTER LINDA Jan14 Dec07 Nov30 Oct15 Jun01 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
7  HALO CITY Jan04 Nov25 Nov02 Aug30 Jul20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  VINTAGE Dec31 Nov30 Aug28 Jul30 Jun04 (reynolds p)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 6.00 18% 4.50    
9  HOLIDAY JAZZ Nov15 Oct23 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
AQU-7   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD CAPTAIN Aug02 Jul23 May13 Feb23 Feb03 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80    
1A  POWER SEEKER Dec29 Dec02 Oct26 Oct29   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 67% 0.50    
2  MIDLANER Jan08 May23 May02 Apr11 Feb27 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 12.00    
3  JAKE ROCKS Oct14 Sep16 Jul26 Apr27 Apr01 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIFE CHANGER Dec29 Nov30 Jun10 Apr01 Jan27 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  FULL MOON MADNESS Jan01 Nov24 Oct07 Dec30 Nov06 (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60    
6  LISTENTOYOURHEART Dec31 Jun09 May06 Apr07 Feb17 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-8   02/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO TONIGHT Dec29 Dec08       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 7% 14.20    
SCR  BRACA Jan06 Dec08 Nov11     (giglio)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
3  WITHIN VIEW         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FINANCIER         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
5  MAMA'S DREAM Nov12 Sep21       (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
6  COMPUTE IT Jan06         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 64% 0.60    
7  PROFITABILITY Jan07 Dec16 Nov20 Oct18   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 8% 12.10    
8  IRIE MAN Dec29         (baker char)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SCR  COLLECTED SPECIAL Nov04 Oct20 Jul16     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00    
10  MANNY PENNY Jan13 Dec17       (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
11  I GOT BUSTED         (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.