Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (7/2/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (1/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (11/2/10/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (8/10/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (5/4/6/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (10/2/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY'S DREAMING         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  SOLO IN PARIS         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
3  APOLLO CODE Jul16         (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
4  STRAWBERRY KWIK         (torelli stacy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TALL PAUL Jul23         (baffert bob)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 56% 0.80    
6  MAMA'S MIDDIE Jul16         (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
7  GUCCI MAN         (rivelli larry)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUIET WISDOM         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 
SAR-2   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT TONITE         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 6% 15.20    
1A  BETTER LUCK         (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
2  REVELATORY         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  REVEREND MOON         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
4  GOOD LORD LORRIE         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
5  FAST STRIDE         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SMOKEY SMOKEY         (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
7  OCEAN MERMAID (GB) May13         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 111 1.60 50% 1.00    
SCR  GLACIAL POWER Jul08         (camejo m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
9  KING JULIEN         (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GYPSY MISCHIEF         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN         (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  WORLD FAIR Jul22         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-3   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY MISS JILL Jul16 Jun16 Apr29 Apr14 Feb23 (giangiulio mic)TORRES A 115 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  SA FORADADA Jul13 Jun01 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  FREUDIAN Jun17 Jun11 May12 Apr23 Mar19 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  ICY REPLY Jul30 Jun16 May20 May04 Apr20 (ferraro w)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
6  MURSAL Jul13 Jun04 May19 Mar24 Feb22 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
7  YOGI Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 Nov26 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANGEROUS RIDE Jul28 Jun05 May06 Mar26 Mar04 (david a)TORRES A 115 6.00    
2  THUNDERIAN Jul13 Jun25 Jun09 May27 Apr27 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
3  COMMERCE COMET Jun06 Apr28 Apr14 Mar18 Jan28 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 8% 10.90    
4  GABE Jul16 Apr29 Mar19 Jan22 Jan11 (arriaga antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
5  KUPP Jul14 Jun16 May18 Mar12 Feb18 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP Apr26 Mar15 Oct28     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.00 61% 0.60    
7  TEN CENT TOWN Jul10 Jun18 Apr22 Mar17 Jul29 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIMINATE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  CHAPERONE         (moquett e)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
3  REYNOLDS CHANNEL         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
4  HURRICANE NELSON         (delgado gustav)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
5  DETERMINISTIC         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
6  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Jul09         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  NULLIFY         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  INFORMED PATRIOT         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON CARA Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 Apr06 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
1A  FOXY CARA Jul15 Jun25 May21 Apr29 Apr06 (friedman m)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 6% 14.50    
2  NOLITA Jun16         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  BE BEST Jul02 May05 Mar11     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
4  SWEET LIBERTY Jul15 Jan27 Jan14 Dec17 Dec03 (quick patr)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEIGH JUDE         (breen j)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
6  BETTER HUMOR ME         (baker charlton)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
7  IRISH CRYSTAL         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  ISLAND ROSE Jul15         (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
9  MIM Jul15 Jun16 Oct08 Sep02   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
10  SOUFFLE (GB) Jul02 Jun03 Sep17 Jul28   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
11  RICHIES PRINCESS         (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
SAR-7   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Galway Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM CONCERT Jul15 Jun03 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 (o'connell kat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00    
2  BEAUTY OF THE SEA Jul15 Jun03 May05 Apr07 Oct21 (orseno joseph )ZAYAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ISABEL ALEXANDRA (IRE) Jun24 May14 Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
4  LOVE APPEALS Jul15 Apr27 Apr01 Feb16   (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANNA'S ARABESQUE Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May03 Mar08 (bauer a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
6  REDIFINED Jun03 Mar29 Nov05 Oct08 Aug21 (lovell michelle)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 11% 7.90    
7  L J'S EMMA Jul16 Jun02 Apr23 Mar01 Jan21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
8  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) Apr14 Nov04 Aug21 Apr29   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
9  STONE SILENT Jul13 Jun24 Apr14 Feb11 Jun18 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
10  MY SWEET AFFAIR Jul15 Jun18 May03 Apr14 Mar05 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
11  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) May12 Aug25       (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
SCR  WEEKEND RAGS Jul08 Jun10 Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 (abreu r)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  UNIFIED ALLIANCE Jul14 Jun11 Apr29 Apr03 Mar03 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  OBRIGADA Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  CUZ UR PRETTY Jun27 May17 Apr24 Aug10 Jul18 (progno christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
 
SAR-8   08/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Herb Moelis Memorial Saratoga Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASSO Jun03         (alvarado juan)ZAYAS J 120 15.00    
2  MARKET STREET Jul15 Jun29       (lukas wayne)TORRES A 120 10.00    
3  WOODCOURT Jun17 Apr20       (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
4  HAUL Jul09         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 8% 11.40    
5  EDIFIED Jul01         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  RHYME SCHEMES Jun15 May18       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 0.80 34% 1.90    
 
SAR-9   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC14 GOOD Fourstardave Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMANUEL Jun10 May20 Apr14 Mar04 Feb04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  FULL SCREEN Jul20 Jun04 May07 Nov18 Oct21 (casse mark)FRANCO MANUEL 115 30.00    
3  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Jul13 Jun24 May11 Mar17 Jan29 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 114 30.00    
4  ANNAPOLIS Jul15 May04 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 17% 4.70    
5  SO HIGH (GB) Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 Apr07 Mar05 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 116 20.00    
6  CASA CREED Jul15 Jun10 Nov05 Oct08 Aug13 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 38% 1.60    
7  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) Jul15 Jun10 May14 Apr22 Feb18 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT FEELING Apr01 Jan28 Dec18 Sep25 Aug24 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 10% 8.90    
2  FORREST CITY Jun27 Jun10 May08 Apr18 Mar16 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
3  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Jul21 Jun18 May27 May04 Mar26 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 125 8.00    
4  WHAT'S UP DOC Jul22 Jun29 Jun18 Jun04 Jul16 (ginter raymond)TORRES A 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  MISTICAL CURLIN Jul04 May20 Apr08 Feb02 Dec15 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  CICCIOBELLO Jul03 Jun09 May14 Dec15 Nov11 (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 13% 6.60    
7  CHILENO Jul13 May28 Apr19 Mar11 Feb10 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER Jul03 Jun09 May11 Apr13 Jan28 (trites lands)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
9  MEMPHIS Jul19 Jul01       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
10  ICE ROAD Jul03 Jun09 Feb25 Dec02 Nov13 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-11   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPINNING COLORS Jul03 May27 Nov27 Oct06 Sep02 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
2  WATERVILLE Jul15 May29 Apr08 Nov06 Sep05 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  GALLEY HEAD Jul15 Jun10 Mar24 Feb19 Jan29 (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
4  STELLA MARS Jul09 Jun18 Apr28 Nov17 Oct20 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 9% 9.90    
5  LADY JASMINE Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 May29 May04 (donk david)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00    
6  SOLIB Jul15 Jun10 May18 Oct20 Oct15 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  LATEST EDITION Sep30 Aug12 Jun26 May30   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
8  ROBYN AND ELI Jul08 Jun15 May05 Oct09 Aug18 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 118 20.00    
9  PHOTON Jun17 May27 Apr29 Dec16 Nov26 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 10% 9.00    
10  RHEAUME Jun25 Jun01 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  LUNA LOCA Jul02 May20 Apr28 Mar17 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  CHARGE NURSE Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.