Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (11) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (11)-(11/7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (11)-(11/7/2)-(11/7/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (11)-(1/7/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (11)-(1/7/3/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5)-(1/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/5)-(5/6/3)-(5/11/12/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/11/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(5/11/12/2)-(2/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/11/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/12/2)-(5/11/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/12/2)-(5/11/12/2)-(5/11/12/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/11/12/2)-(2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/11/12/2)-(2/8/4)-(5/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/4/6)-(2/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/4)-(5/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4)-(5/4/9)-(9/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/9)-(5/4/9)-(5/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/9)-(9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9)-(9/8)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/8)-(9/8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/8)-(9/8/3)-(9/8/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (9/8)-(3/1/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/8)-(3/1/7/2)-(4/1/9/8/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/2)-(4/1/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/1/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL FIRST Dec02 Oct23 Aug18     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
2  SPOILS OF WAR Sep23 Sep05       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.50 ★    
3  DANCE WITH ME BABE Sep30         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
4  SPOOKY LADY Mar12 Feb02 Jan22 Dec16 Nov17 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00    
5  WAR MUSEUM Mar24 Feb17       (levine bruce)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
SCR  NUANCE (IRE)         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
7  PIMENOVA Mar12 Jan14 Oct29 Feb27 Jan02 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 ★    
8  BANDULU QUEEN Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Dec03   (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 118 50.00    
9  PAUCILOQUENT Mar12 Jan12       (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
10  REIGN OF THUNDER Feb26 Jan27 Oct23 Oct01 Sep05 (goberdhan chan)RICHARDS G 118 50.00    
11  MARY KATHERINE         (lynch nat)VARGAS A 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
12  MADDIE'S GRACE Nov19 Aug24 Jul15     (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  MY GORGEOUS Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Jan12 (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
14  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 Jan22 Dec16 (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 50.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FED Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Mar31 Jan20       (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
AQU-2   04/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST MONEY Mar25         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 118 1.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BRILLIANT JEWEL by AMERI VALAY)
1A  KAON Mar10 Jan25 Dec01 Oct02 Sep03 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of TAGLIA by UNION RAGS)
2  HUNTINGTON Mar25         (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  BALANTYNE Feb21 Jun04       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.50 16% 5.30    
  (by TAPIT out of GRAEME SIX by GRAEME HALL)
4  SHREVEPORT Mar26 Jun10 May05     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  PIONEERING SPIRIT Apr02 Mar24 Jun24 May28 May03 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 121 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FOUNDATION SPIRIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CORTON CHARLEMAGNE Mar10 Feb02 Apr09     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
7  RIDE UP Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-3   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Woodhaven Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL KINGDOM Mar26 Feb23 Jan28 Dec04 Oct14 (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of STARINTHEMEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
2  WINTERS LION Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 Nov16 Nov03 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of THIS GIRL ROCKS by TACTICAL CAT)
3  HIGH STRIKE Mar17 Feb10 Jan25 Dec02 Nov09 (englehar)DAVIS A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of IMA SOUL MISS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
4  BELOUNI (FR) Mar04         (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
  (by FAST COMPANY out of VIENNA VIEW by DALAKHANI (IRE))
5  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Nov05 Oct09 Sep01 Jul22   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of URBAN BALL by GALILEO)
6  NEURAL NETWORK Feb25 Jan07 Nov13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LAPINSKI by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
AQU-4   04/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTEROF THE TUNES Nov19 Oct20 Sep25 Aug12 Jul17 (lee jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 127 15.00    
2  U SHOULD B DANCING Jul08 Jun12 May14 Apr22 Mar06 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 127 10.00 9% 9.60    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Mar17 Feb20       (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 30.00    
4  FLEETFOOTED Oct08 Sep17 Jul28     (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
5  TIS A PITY Nov19 Oct23 Jul29 Jun12 May22 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 34% 2.00    
6  THREE UNIONS Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Aug12   (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
7  BERN ROSEY BERN Feb25 Jan13 Dec29 Nov12 Oct13 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 125 30.00    
8  IM JUST KIDDIN Oct30 Oct01 Aug12 Jul15   (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
9  SARATOGA GAZE Mar26 Oct23 Sep23 Jun26   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 127 12.00    
10  SIKUM Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 Dec08 Jun14 (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 15.00    
11  LISA'S VISION Oct23 Sep23 Aug26 Jul20 Jun04 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 127 4.50 17% 5.00    
12  ROYAL DANCER Oct23 Sep17 Aug18 Jul23 Jun19 (nevin miche)ALVARADO JUNIOR 127 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BUSTIN BULLET Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00    
SCR  LITA Jan05 Sep17       (klesaris st)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASH A. J. Apr01 Mar24 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
2  TWO FOR CHARGING Jul28 May29 Apr30     (abreu jor)VARGAS A 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  BRACIOLE Mar24 Mar04 Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
4  DEE BO Mar03 Jan08 Dec10 Nov22 Oct24 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
5  CENTRAL PRIDE Apr01 Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 Dec03 (persaud randi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
6  AGILITY Mar24 Feb05 Dec29 Nov26 Oct30 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 ★    
7  JUGGLER Apr01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
8  LOHENGRIN TWO Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Jan12 Nov02 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-6   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO REGARD Nov27 Oct21       (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
2  METAMORPHOSES Mar11 Jan05 Nov27 Oct16   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
3  FORWARD CAST Mar10         (dunham g)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
4  ADDICTED TO YOU Dec02 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 Aug11 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  OVER THE CAP         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 29% 2.50    
6  AULA Oct27         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
7  VOLCKER RULES Mar18 Feb26 Jan27     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
8  IN MY SHADOW Feb26 Feb09 Jan06 Dec11   (fisher linda)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
9  MYLES Mar30         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00 6% 15.40    
10  OCTOBER BLISS Mar18 Feb09 Dec30 Nov26 Nov13 (brown bruce)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00    
11  MAYTHISBETHEONE Dec01 Nov13 Apr22 Mar19   (hennig ma)VARGAS A 126 10.00    
12  CAMPBELITO Mar30 Jan08 Dec10     (quick pa)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  FAST STUDY Jan29 Dec30 Oct22 Sep22   (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  SILENT RUNNING Jan01 Nov20 Sep24 Aug17 Jun30 (bond ja)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 7% 13.50    
SCR  ETERNAL GLORY Mar31 Mar11 Feb25 Jan06   (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER Nov11 Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 Jul17 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO REWARDS Apr16 Feb11 Jan27 Dec18 Nov13 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
2  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Dec31 Dec04 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
3  SPLENDID SUMMER Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr23 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50 ★    
4  TOGA DANCER Nov05 Oct06 Aug18 Jun23 Apr22 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 127 20.00    
5  FIRE KING Mar19 Feb09 Jan08 Dec11 Nov02 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
6  MAURITIUS Mar10 Jan26 Dec17 Oct30 Mar27 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00    
7  STRONG LIGHT Apr16 Mar30 Jan27 Jan08 Dec15 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 127 30.00    
8  BORN A GAMBLER Jul15 Jun18 Apr03 Mar06 Feb06 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 10% 9.30    
9  MORE THAN WORK Feb03 Dec31 Dec03 Feb19 Jan22 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.40 53% 0.90    
SCR  NORTH POLE Mar22 Feb12 Feb02 Dec29 Dec17 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 20.00    
11  LEGENDARY LORE Mar17 Dec18 Nov25 Apr23 Mar05 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDE Mar11 Feb09 Dec30 Nov11   (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 5.00 5% 17.60    
 
AQU-8   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Stallion Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAST COAST GIRL Mar05 Jan27 Jan06 Nov26   (breen j)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by LAOBAN out of MYAKKA CITY by CITY PLACE)
2  KERNESS Mar31 Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 18.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of MYSTERY MIX by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  LIFETIME OF CHANCE Mar18 Feb09 Jan06 Dec17 Nov12 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
4  GENERAL BANKER Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
5  BANK FRENZY Mar16 Jan29 Dec24 Nov12   (lewis l)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
6  DR. KRAFT Mar31 Feb25 Jan26 Dec31 Nov26 (englehar)DAVIS A 118 10.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
7  TEN CENT TOWN Mar17 Jul29 Jun24     (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
  (by REDESDALE out of HELEONOR RUGBY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  COACH PITINO         (delgado jorge)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LEMME by LEMON DROP KID)
 
AQU-9   04/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STERLING SILVER Mar11 Nov05 Sep25 Sep02 Aug06 (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  ARGENTINA GIRL Mar27 Feb21 Dec20 Nov28 Oct25 (rome)HUAYAS (JASON) 121 30.00    
3  MASHNEE GIRL Jan28 Dec17 Oct30 Sep05 Aug12 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ASSET PURCHASE Mar04 Jan29       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
5  CHAMPAGNE POETRY Feb24 Jan29 May28 Apr02 Feb06 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 126 20.00    
6  AWILLAWAY Mar25 Feb25 Jun10 May07 Apr09 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 126 20.00    
7  CHASING CARA Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 Nov13 (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 15.00    
8  CUPIDS GIRL Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 Jan28 Dec02 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
9  TO A T Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 Dec09 Nov27 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.