Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - November 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (8/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (12/5/10/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-7   Win (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-10   Win (2/4/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Sep28 Aug31 Aug06 Jul09 Jun16 (mcpeek kennet)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  RYE TIGRESS         (atras rob)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
WAKE UP LAUREN Sep17         (dutrow richard)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  PUBLIC DEFENDER         (cibelli jane)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00    
PARADISE LANE Oct01 Aug31       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 10% 8.90    
PHILANTHROPY Sep03 Aug06       (mcgaughey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET DISTRACTION Jul29         (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 30.00    
CATHERINE WHEEL Sep17 Aug20       (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  EXTRA DIRTY Oct14 Aug13       (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
10  HELCIA Sep28 Aug06       (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00    
 
AQU-2   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Oct19 Aug24 Aug02 Jun04 Mar10 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.20 30% 2.40    
SCR  HORN OF PLENTY Oct17 Sep21 Sep01 Jul31 May21 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 122 1.20    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE Oct12 Aug23 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE Sep16 Jul13 Jun17 Jan07 Nov18 (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.20    
KING JAMES (IRE) Oct05 Aug17 Jul20 Jun24 May21 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
HANDSOME CAT Sep21 Aug26 Aug19 Apr01 Mar19 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE EMOTION Aug24 Jul01 May20 Apr08 Oct27 (de hora)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
SCR  RANGER FOX Aug27 Jul04       (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
SCR  BATTLE SCARS Aug17 Jun23 May28 May14 Apr08 (atras rob)VARGAS A 122 8.00    
BRONX BOMBER Sep28 Aug23 Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
PRINTRACK Oct04 Aug30 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
10  POPPY'S PRIDE Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul23 May26 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80    
 
AQU-3   11/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turnback Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAMORE Oct08 Jul01 May29 Apr29 Mar25 (santamaria carlo)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 8% 10.80    
TIZZY IN THE SKY Oct04 Aug30 Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00    
INTERSTATEDAYDREAM Sep30 Aug13 Jun24 May19 Apr21 (cox h)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
MORNING MATCHA Sep23 Aug21 Jul08 May27 Apr24 (reid robert )SANCHEZ J 121 4.50    
FIRELINE Oct04 Aug19 Jul01 May18 Nov04 (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 8.00    
 
AQU-4   11/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERINA Aug24 Jun15       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
ALICE KRAMDEN Oct08 Jul16 Jun16 May12 Jul27 (englehar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
MY GIRL JAL Sep14 Aug31 Jul13 Jun16 May26 (legall e)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
BEST COAST Oct13 Oct06 Jul29 Jun11   (sharp joe)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
KAREN'S HONOR Jul29 Jun23 May26 Apr08 Mar08 (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
NOW SHOWING Aug16 Jul19 Jun02 Apr19 Mar18 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SHASI Oct08 Sep24 Apr08 Mar12 Feb02 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
BUSTIN HOT Feb02 Jan28 Nov27 Oct30   (rodriguez r)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
BABY SOX Oct08 Sep15 Sep04 Aug02 Jul02 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WILL BE FAMOUS Sep22 Aug16 Apr02 Mar03 Feb09 (toscano john)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
 
AQU-5   11/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICED MOCHA Oct10         (stidham michael)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00 5% 18.30    
BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Oct08 Sep02 Aug11 Mar11 Feb09 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SOLIB Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
CLOVER STREET Oct08 Jul19 Jun15 May21 Apr23 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
DASHING DELLA Oct19 Oct01 Sep14 Jul30 Jun23 (arenas marcelo)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
FANCYPANTS JULIANA Oct08 Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MAGGIE T Jun18 May04 Apr28 Mar12 Feb02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
REIGNING CHICK Jul27 Jul03 Jun15 May21 Apr13 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
DUCKPHAT Aug18 Jul26 Jul03 May28 Apr13 (davis g)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TONE Oct14         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 30.00    
BROWN DON'T STOP Oct14         (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROB THE BANK Oct22 Oct04 Aug24     (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 8.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Oct22 Sep17       (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
THE PADDOCK PASTOR         (clement chr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
DILLON Sep17 Aug03       (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
HARD PAR Oct14 Sep01 Jul27     (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SOLO RYE'D Oct14 Sep04       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  JEFFERSONS OCEAN Oct20 Oct05       (friedman mitchell)RUIZ ELISEO 114 50.00    
10  FROZEN FOUR Sep17 Aug18 Aug03     (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 10% 9.50    
11  CHARGING FAST Sep17         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 5.00 6% 14.70    
12  INSTAMATIC Aug24 Jul27       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  AZ U CHASE ME Oct04 Sep04       (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
SCR  HOYA Oct11 Sep08 Aug16     (lynch cathal)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Oct19 Oct04 Aug18     (goberdhan chan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 50.00    
 
AQU-7   11/03/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAMINGO HAWK Oct04 Sep16 Aug19 Jul02 May19 (kantarmaci m)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
BIG ENGINE Sep21 Jul23 Jun22 May21 Apr28 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Oct14 Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
COUNTERFEITCURENCY Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun16 Jun03 (ryan s)SANCHEZ J 120 15.00    
CHARGING AERO Oct14 Sep01 May13 Apr21 Mar15 (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
AIR SHOW Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (rodriguez r)RENDON JAIRO 122 4.00    
POGI Sep04 Aug27 Aug12 Jun16 May21 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
F F ROCKET Oct14 Mar26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec08 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00    
BUSTIN SHOUT Sep16 Aug23 Jul14 Jun13 May14 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOURBON'S HOPE Oct22 Sep28 Aug04 May28 Apr02 (jones edua)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   11/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Sep04 May27 Oct09 Sep10 Aug06 (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 2.50    
1A  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Aug24 Jul30 Oct22 Sep06 Jun04 (brown chad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  ME AND MR. C Sep09 Aug06 Jul08 Jun11 May14 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.50    
MAIN EVENT Sep21 Aug24 Jul30 Aug06 Jul02 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
DREAMS OF TOMORROW Sep09 Jul23 Jun10 May11 Apr01 (mcgaughey claud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING VEGA (GB) Sep16 Aug03 Oct23 Sep18 Aug16 (motion graham)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
SCR  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Sep21 Aug19 Jul04 Jun22 Apr07 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.50    
CALL ME HARRY Sep21 Aug19 Jul20 Jul03 Apr30 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
SAFE CONDUCT Aug24 Aug13 Jul04 Apr02 Mar04 (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Sep21 Sep15 Jun15 Apr30 Mar04 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 121 1.40    
SCR  BABY YODA Sep21 Aug25 Jul16 May06 Oct29 (mott i)RIDER TBA 121 1.80    
 
AQU-9   11/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Discovery Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY TIMES Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 Mar26   (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 2.50    
CRUPI Sep23 Aug18 Jul07 Apr08 Feb18 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40    
WINTERS LION Oct06 Aug30 Jul01 May27 Apr22 (sharp joe)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
SCR  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul03 Dec08 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
DATS MR. MO Sep03 Aug11 Jul23 Jun15 May25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 15.00 27% 2.70    
TABEGUACHE Aug26 Jul19 Jun24 May25 Oct14 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-10   11/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ ROLL Sep17 Aug23 Jul28     (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
ENGLISH CASTLE         (clement chr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
VIN SANTO Sep17 Sep02       (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
ERIC FROM MIAMI Oct14 Sep17 Aug18 Jul28   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 35% 1.90    
ALBEDO Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 Jul16   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCOOP THE POT Aug03         (hennig mark)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
JHIRSCH Oct14         (motion graham)BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00    
UNAUDITED Oct14 Aug03 Jun23     (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
KING FREUD Oct14 Aug24       (rodriguez r)RENDON JAIRO 119 20.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE Aug24         (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
11  RABAJA         (bond harold )RIVERA R 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  OFFICER DERICK Sep21 Aug23       (albertrani tho)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
13  DIXIE PHARAOH Sep04 Aug23 Jul16     (handal raym)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SCR  CHARLES J         (lee joseph)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
SCR  MORQ Oct19         (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.