Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (3/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (5/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (11/10/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-8   Win (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (12/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-10   Win (8/11/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD CRUSHER May01 Apr11 Mar14 Jan26 Dec13 (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
TIGER DAD Apr03 Mar11 Jan28 Jan10 Nov26 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
CHASING FAME Mar27 Jan30 Dec13 Jul30 Jul09 (ortiz ma)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00    
TACTICAL ATTACK Apr22 Mar18 Mar07 Feb25 Jan28 (sepich f)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
TRUTH SEEKER Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 Jan10 (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 1.80 24% 3.10    
MINISTER OF SOUL Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 Jan29 Jan01 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-2   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANNYBOB Apr25 Mar18 Apr16     (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
SCR  LARIMAR Apr24 Apr01 Mar19 Feb22 Jan14 (gutierre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 10.00    
DANCE SHOES Jan23 Jan12 Oct29 Sep24 Sep10 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
OUTSIDE THE LAW Apr22 Feb25 Jan26 Jan08 Dec21 (campo stacy)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
MY FIRST PEARL Mar05 Feb04 Dec21 Nov05 Oct04 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
MISSCZECH Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Mar01 Feb07 (brow)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
LA CASTIGLIONE Mar11 Jan23 Nov26 Nov05 Sep05 (gutierrez qu)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
SIERRA SUMMER Feb04 Jan14       (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-3   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR JOCK Apr25 Mar06 Feb14 Jan05   (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 116 10.00 52% 0.90    
I'M NOBLE Apr17 Mar07 Feb16 Feb07 Jan05 (person a)LOPEZ KARLO 116 6.00 15% 5.80    
OUR VALLEY Apr12 Mar15 Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 (mcca)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
INESPERADO (FR) Apr17 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 3.00    
MOOGIE SON Apr10 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 Jan11 (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 6% 16.00    
GLENDALE Apr18 Mar29 Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 4.50 6% 14.50    
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Apr26 Apr11 Mar05 Feb15 Jan12 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
MY MAN BIGGIE Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Dec20 (simpson shannon)LARA EZEQUIEL 116 8.00    
 
TUP-4   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE WHEN READY Mar18 Feb13 Jan25 Jan09 Dec14 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
MANY ROSES Apr11 Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Feb01 (axmaker cod)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
DESCENT Apr24 Mar21 Feb08 Jan10 Dec14 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
ACE AND KINGS Apr12 Mar28       (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
TAP THE BRAKES Apr18 Apr01 Mar20 Dec10 Dec01 (gleason )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 10.00    
FRISCO KID Apr18 Mar15 Feb28 Feb19 Feb04 (vill)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
CROSS EXAMINE Apr21 Apr09 Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 124 4.00    
PAUL VINCENTS POEM Apr17 Mar07 Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
ROCKY JACK Apr25 Apr02 Feb19 Feb13 Jan12 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Apr08 Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Mar29 Mar06 Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 (woolley )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
TRULY A MESS Apr01 Mar13 Mar01 Feb15 Jan30 (whit)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00    
METAROSE Apr19 Mar29 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
RED PANTY NIGHT Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 Feb26 Jan26 (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
REALREALGOOD Mar14 Feb01 Jan04 Sep12 Aug29 (perkins frances)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
EVEN PANDURA Apr03 Mar19 Feb22 Jan31 Jan14 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  FLASH FLOOD Apr01 Mar13 Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 Mar14 Mar04 (asprino alfre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
SEMI SWEET Mar25 Mar04 Nov23 Sep12 Aug15 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00    
 
TUP-6   05/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED HEATWAVE Apr04 Mar12 Feb20 Feb06 Jun05 (barraza rafae)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
BARON'S SONG Apr18 Mar21 Mar06 Feb20 Feb02 (zimmerman j)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
UNUSUAL DANCER Apr04 Mar19 Feb25 Jan09 Dec14 (dillenbe)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00    
ARTABKEEN Jan01         (warren kayla)HARVEY B 124 8.00    
FOREIGN INFLUENCE Mar26 Mar04       (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
PANZER PRIDE Apr22 Mar20 Feb20 Dec10 Nov12 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 10.00    
CAPIAT Apr18 Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 Jan05 (ortiz sr)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00    
DISRUPTOR MAN Apr22 Apr11       (camp)MARTINEZ NAHERD 118 20.00    
ARIZONA MADE         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAMALONA Apr18 Apr01 Mar20 Feb16 Feb04 (soto antonio)AGUILAR DANIEL 119 20.00    
11  KNOCKOUT GUY Apr26 Mar29 Mar06 Feb16 Jan31 (fearon johnathon)DEONAUTH P 118 20.00    
12  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Apr17 Apr05 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 (wool)DA FAUSTO 118 12.00    
 
TUP-7   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIKE OPERATOR Mar11 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan05 (warren kayla)HARVEY B 122 15.00    
CANNONBALL COMIN Mar20 Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00    
WRONG SPOT Apr05 Feb16       (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 116 20.00    
PURE ROCKET Apr11 Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 (mcfarlane l)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00    
GRAN MARTILLO         (martinez esteban)TOHILL S 122 15.00 8% 11.80    
CREME DE LA CHROME Apr01 Mar06 Mar11 Feb18 Jan30 (hone)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 11% 7.80    
XTREME MAYHEM Apr11 Mar14 Feb25 Jan19 Jan03 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
ITALIANO Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan02 Nov13 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
SCR  SAVILE ROW Apr09 Feb17 Jan22 Dec17 Nov26 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
10  MISTER MCLEAN Apr04 Mar08 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
11  FURY KAP Apr15 Apr01 Mar21 Mar07 Jan15 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
12  FURLOUGH FIT         (mart)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 20.00    
 
TUP-8   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Open Spring Futu Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER COUSIN Apr15         (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 5.00 6% 14.60    
ACES OVER DEUCES Apr15         (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 118 15.00    
BIG MOONIE Apr15         (villamar candelari)ZUNINO L 121 12.00    
PERFECT MISCHIEF Apr15         (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 15.00    
DON JUAN BUBBA Apr15         (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
GENERAL CROOK Apr15         (kereluk edwar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
CALEBS LADY Apr15         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
X RAY VISION Apr15         (rollins scott)DEONAUTH P 118 6.00    
ITS A CHEAP DATE Apr15         (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
10  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Apr15         (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 118 15.00    
 
TUP-9   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY TUTTA BELLA Apr24 Apr10 Mar18 Jan25 Jan12 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
HER PERFECT VISION Apr18 Mar26 Dec20 Nov18 Aug07 (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
SCR  TIZ THE PROSPECT Apr22 Mar12 Jan23 Dec20   (ortiz sr)LOPEZ KARLO 116 20.00    
IN THE VAULT Apr17 Mar14 Feb07 Jan11 Aug19 (peacock shane)TOHILL S 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
TWITTERATI Apr05 Mar13 Feb16 Jan31 Jan17 (camp)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 15.00    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Apr05 Mar18 Mar06 Aug08 Jul11 (gutierre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 15.00    
QUEENS RANSOM Apr19 Mar25 Mar14 Feb25 Feb11 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 122 20.00    
DAZZLING MIST Apr24 Apr01 Feb01 Jan11 Dec17 (brown r)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 12% 7.40    
LUCY TREASURE Apr17 Oct01 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 (morgan dan)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
10  CHARMANT E Mar04 Feb12 Feb07 Jan24 Feb11 (mccartney jack)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
11  LOVELY LOLA Apr18 Apr02 Feb27 Feb12 Feb08 (simpson shannon)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
12  EMILY SMILES Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec11 (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-10   05/06/2023 9900ft TURF RC11 FIRM Hasta La Vista Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARTINI Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan23 Jan03 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
BAROSSA Apr17 Mar25 Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
NO SLO MO Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Jan07 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 120 6.00    
SONNY SMACK Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 (lund valori)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
SWEET SAVANT Apr25 Mar27 Feb28 Jan30 Jan07 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 15.00    
UNMACHABLE Apr17 Mar25 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 (mccartney jack)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
SCR  CASHANOVA Apr29 Apr17 Apr05 Mar29 Feb08 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 6.00    
LUVLUV Apr15 Feb05 Jan07 Nov13 Oct23 (kitchingman adam)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MR. WHO Apr25 Mar28 Feb25 Feb09 Jan23 (silv)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00    
10  FALSELY ACCUSED Apr17 Mar28 Jan23 Dec27 Dec01 (peacock shane)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 15.00    
11  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Apr15 Mar28 Jan25 Dec27 Oct29 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.