Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (7/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/3)-(3/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/3)-(3/6/1/5)-(1/4/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(1/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(8/5/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(8/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(8/5/1/2)-(2/6/9/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2)-(8/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/2)-(2/6/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/2)-(2/6/9/1)-(1/8/7/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/1)-(2/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/1)-(2/6/9/1)-(2/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/9/1)-(1/8/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/1)-(1/8/7/9/4)-(2/7/5/1/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-6   WIN (1/8/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/9/4)-(1/8/7/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/9/4)-(1/8/7/9/4)-(1/8/7/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/7/9/4)-(2/7/5/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7/9/4)-(2/7/5/1/8)-(6/2/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-7   WIN (2/7/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/1/8)-(2/7/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/1/8)-(2/7/5/1/8)-(2/7/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/5/1/8)-(6/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/1/8)-(6/2/7/4)-(7/1/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/1/7/4)-(6/2/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(7/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(7/1/5/3)-(5/4/7/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/3)-(5/4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-10   WIN (5/4/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1/6)-(5/4/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1/6)-(5/4/7/1/6)-(5/4/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-11:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERMAN'S MARLIN Nov09 Oct20       (giddings mela)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
2  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Nov10 Oct24 Sep28 Aug11 Jun23 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00    
3  EDDIES ROCKET Nov10 Oct20 Sep16 Aug19 Aug06 (fernandez jose )RUIZ ELISEO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  POLITICAL SPIN Oct17 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00    
5  MY ANGEL Mar18 Feb11 Jan14     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  WICKED REYA Aug01         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
7  MILLIE JEAN Nov10 Oct24 Nov05 Sep21 Aug25 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  LOOKS FIRST Nov16 Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 15% 5.90    
9  EXOTIC CAT Nov14 Oct19 Sep20 Aug02 Nov10 (pregman j)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
 
AQU-2   12/13/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND BLUES Nov23 Nov16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep14 (quick patrick )LUZZI J 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
2  MODERN ERA (AUS) Nov19 Sep21 Aug27 Jul06 May22 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
3  STRIKING SPARKS Nov30 Nov13 Oct16 Sep23 Aug07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  FRIZZANTE Sep29 Aug16 Jul04 Jun23 May22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
5  LIFE AND LIGHT Nov30 Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 Aug04 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCIPE D'ORO Nov15 Oct19 Aug30 Aug07 Jul18 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  J J'S JOKER Dec06 Nov24 Oct31 Oct13 Sep21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
 
AQU-3   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  IRISH EXIT Nov20 Oct18 Sep15 Aug11 Jul26 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  GET SET Nov19 Oct22 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
2  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Oct18 Sep28 Aug18 Jul22 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.20    
3  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Oct18 Aug21 Jul20 May26 Apr04 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
4  RUNNIN' RAY Nov24 Oct17 Sep29 Aug21 Jun28 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Nov23 Nov08 Aug21 Jul25 Jun30 (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BREW PUB Nov22 Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 Aug01 (englehart )RIVERA R 123 15.00    
7  GIROOVIN Nov14 Sep27 Aug28 Dec29 Dec03 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 9% 9.80    
 
AQU-4   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK DEVIL Nov08 Oct03 Jul31 Jun15 May10 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of RARE BIT by ELTISH)
1A  ALWAYS BE SMART Nov07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 7% 12.50    
  (by TAPIT out of APOLOGIZE by JUMRON (GB))
2  IGNITE THE LIGHT Aug15 Feb25 Dec02 Nov04 Sep16 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
3  LUCA ON POINT Oct05         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Nov30 Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 Nov09 (pregman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
5  STRONSINO Nov08 Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of TEAM SPORT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
6  DIALBOLICO Nov03         (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FULL OF ZIP by CITY ZIP)
7  SARDIS Nov10 May18 Apr18 Feb25 Jan28 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
8  EXPLORATION Nov05 Jan20       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TANGERE by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-5   12/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  R SPECIAL Nov29         (persaud randi)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEAVENLY LIGHT Oct20 Sep13 Aug21 Jul25   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.60 49% 1.00    
3  VAGUE Nov18 Oct22 Sep21     (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00    
4  AERIALIST Nov29         (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  QUOIN Sep01 Aug04       (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
6  LINDA'S JEWEL Sep28 Aug28 Jul31     (abreu fernando)USKE S 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
7  LUCKFORYOU Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 May16   (romero jesus)LUZZI J 119 4.50    
8  PARAIBA BLUE Oct06 Sep15       (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00    
9  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Nov22 Oct25 Sep19     (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEARY FUNNY Dec01 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  KING MOONRACER Nov15 Oct25 Aug14 Jul13 Jun23 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00    
3  BADLANDS RULER Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Aug18 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
4  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 Jul13 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Nov08 Oct10 Sep14 Jul21 Jun16 (quick patr)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER Nov24 Nov08 Jun22 Apr07 Mar02 (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00    
7  DEVIL'S CAY Nov08 Oct10 Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50 11% 7.90    
8  THANK YOU JON Nov08 Oct10 Sep21 Aug18 Jul14 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.60 29% 2.40    
9  THAT'S MONEY Aug30 Aug11 Jun09 May05 Mar24 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD MISSION Nov17 Aug28 Aug01     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of QUEEN PAULINE by TAPIT)
2  CATCHPHRASE Nov22         (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MULKEY May11 Apr13       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROCKY POLICY by ROCK SLIDE)
4  MY GORGEOUS Mar02 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of GET GORGEOUS by FREUD)
5  SPLASHY Nov17 Oct12 Aug28 Jul19 Jun21 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
6  READY TO ROMANCE         (parke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SCREAMING PHANTASM by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Aug24 Apr21 Apr06 Mar07 Feb09 (barker r)OTERO AAROM 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
8  MONETARY MONARCH Nov22 Jan05 Nov19 Oct12   (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
9  SKY RUNNER         (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of MULA MULA by GONE WEST)
10  KHALI'S STORM Apr18 Mar03 Feb16 Jan11 Dec16 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of SMOKIN SUE by SMOKIN MEL)
 
AQU-8   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JAKE ROCKS Nov11 Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 Jul26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 ★    
SCR  HONORARY DEGREE Nov14 Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Sep01 (atras rob)VARGAS A 124 1.80    
2  UNCLE GEORGE Nov01 Sep24 Aug28 Jun10 May28 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
3  ALWAYS CHARMING Oct18 Sep21 Nov30 Oct01 Sep04 (klesaris robe)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
4  DREAMPOINT Nov23 Nov08 Oct10 Jul21 Jun16 (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  AIR SHOW Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 Jan12 Dec09 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
6  BANYAN BREEZE Nov11 Oct23 Oct10 Aug10 Jul01 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 124 4.00 59% 0.70    
7  JEMOGRAPHY Nov23 Nov02 Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 (rodriguez rud)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOLDEN ARM Nov16 Nov05 Oct28 Oct02 Sep25 (smith lawrence )OTERO AAROM 115 20.00    
9  UNION LIGHTS Nov14 Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVE US MELANIA Nov16 Sep19 Aug11 May30 Mar13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  ALL CLASS Oct26 Sep07 Jul20 Aug05 Jul09 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50    
2  MY GIRL JAL Jun30 May11 Apr18 Mar24 Feb23 (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
3  RELIABLE LADY Nov17 Aug31 Jul12 May19 Apr04 (abreu fernand)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  AWESOME CZECH Nov07 Oct10 Sep07 Aug14 Jul21 (de hor)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
5  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 Jun09 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
6  SHE'S A TEMPEST Nov17 Mar09 Feb10 Jan05 Nov26 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
7  STRIKER HAS DIAL Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 Aug03 Jul12 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-10   12/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY IN THE BANK Nov22 Oct06       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHAKE ON IT         (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 119 10.00    
3  PROFESSOR GRACE         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
4  FRANKIE HICCUPS Oct31 Sep28 Aug22     (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  BACKWATER Nov09         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  BROKEN ZIPPER         (giddings melani)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  POCKET QUEENS Nov02         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  PUTTIN IN THE WORK Nov23 Oct28       (barrera osc)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 20.00    
9  ENDLESS VOW Nov03 Oct05 Aug08     (de hor)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
SCR  LIGHT THOUGHTS Nov06         (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00    
11  TOXIC GIRL Nov21 Nov03       (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
12  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK Nov21 Oct10 Sep20     (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.