Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-8   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.20 $9.20 153%
    DD (9/6/2/3)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-4 $13.10 $1.10 9%
AQU-9   DD (4/3/5)-(10/3/4/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-3 $24.70 $9.70 65%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA MAGIC 2 3 1nk 1nk   12 1 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 1.35  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NIGHTLIFE BABY by FLATTER)
GREY ACE 5 1 3 4   22 2 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 15% 5.60 17.30 P
  (by MITOLE out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1A  GRIFFIN'S WHARF 7 2 4 3   32 33 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 1.35  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
MUNDEN 1 6 5 68   58 4 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 9.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MATH TUTOR 3 4 2nk 2nk   43 5 (antonucci jena)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 5.70  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
SEEKER'S HOPE 6 5 6 7   7 6 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
  (by MCKINZIE out of SWEET TALKIN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
APPLE JAX 4 7 7 57   69 711 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 41% 1.40 1.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AUTHENTICITY by IN REALITY (GB))
SCR  CADA DIA MEJOR               (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 119 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of G. T. SONIA by BRETHREN)
 
AQU-2   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:124 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARONESS BOURBON 8 7 8 7 6 31 1hd (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 11% 8.40 1.15 W
ACCELERINA 3 1 21 2½ 1½ 11 2hd (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 16.90  
LEM ME DRINK 5 4 43 52 7 42 3 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 6.10 S
LADY LAOBAN 2 8 54 4 3 21 4 (duggan p)LUZZI J 123 3.50 22% 3.50 4.90  
BIG HAZEL 7 2 32 31 4 5 5 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 12.90  
DUCHESS OF DESTIN 1 3 11 1½ 2½ 6 6 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 4.50  
ALLEY'S SONG 6 5 64 6 5 74 710¾ (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 118 8.00 7% 12.80 9.10  
JAY'S LOVE 4 6 76 8 8 8 814¾ (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00 48.25  
 
AQU-3   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA PAULIE P 4 1 11 1nk   11 1nk (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 7% 13.30 2.45 W
ONE VISION 5 2 21 2nk   21 2nk (terranova )RIVERA R 119 2.50 43% 1.40 0.55 P
MONOMOY BEACH 3 4 32 33   36 3 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 29% 2.50 8.60 S
I'M SOLO N IN LOVE 2 3 7 713   712 4 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 119 30.00 52.50  
DAMAGE 1 5 5 5   510½ 510½ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 12.50  
BIG DOSSER 6 6 42 4   4 611¾ (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 27.50  
BURNING MUNNY 7 7 6 67   611½ 714¼ (breed ro)DAVIS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
SCR  WHISKEY FRENS               (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 119 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J D FACTOR 1 1 1½ 11   14 1 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 56% 0.80 0.95 W
ALPHA SONNY 5 2 53 4   24 2 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00 30.00  
SCAT TU TAP 2 5 31 31   3 3 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5.00  
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 3 4 4 5   56 410¾ (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 2.55  
VIOLENT SWING 6 3 2½ 21   45 511 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 8.00 9% 10.20 7.00  
YOUR MISSION 4 6 63 6   66 612¼ (bernardini juan)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 6% 15.60 11.10  
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20    
SCR  UNION EXPRESS               (toscano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
 
AQU-5   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :464 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL CASTING 4 4 11 11   12 1 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 1.60 W
GAGA'S HAMSOME 2 3 4 21   22 2 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 2.05  
MELANCIA 1 2 21 31   3 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 21% 3.80 2.90 S
R SPECIAL 5 6 7 67   511 413 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 9% 10.80 29.75  
YAYI NIKOLLE 3 7 6 5   4 513 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9% 10.20 7.70  
AERIALIST 7 5 3 45   612 617¾ (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 26.75  
ESTHER'S SALAD 6 1 5 7   713 720 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 19.10  
SCR  LADY OF MERCIA               (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
 
AQU-6   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOULTON 1 1 42 4 4 1 16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 41% 1.40 0.90 W
GLINT 5 5 5 6 3 3 26 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 17.50  
ACCIDENTAL BID 2 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 2 3 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.30 3.50 S
GOOD AS HE GETS 3 4 3 31 52 5 4 (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 16% 5.30 6.50  
TRUE CONNECTION 6 6 6 5 6 44 5 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00 11.00  
CREEK 4 7 713½ 711¾ 7 6 6 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
FIRST TRUMPET 7 3 1½ 1nk 2½ 7 717½ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 37.25  
SCR  ACTIVE DUTY (FR)               (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 124 12.00    
 
AQU-7   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fall Highweight Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:221 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT MISCHIEF 7 6 31 3½   1nk 1¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 128 1.80 29% 2.50 0.90 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERTICAL OAK by GIANT OAK)
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 5 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¾ (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 133 4.00 27% 2.70 4.00 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
TOP GUNNER 6 1 6 4   4 3 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 131 5.00 16.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTON MY LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SUPER CHOW 1 4 1nk 1nk   31 4 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 133 6.00 12% 7.10 10.50  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 3 4 5   53 5 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 128 20.00 31.75  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OH MAYBE BABY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BABY YODA 2 7 7 7   64 6 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 133 12.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
DEAN DELIVERS 4 2 52 6   7 710¼ (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 131 6.00 5.40  
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of SLICK AND TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN               (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 128 20.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TORCHWOOD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  WITTY               (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 131 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
 
AQU-8   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:222 :454 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRICIA ANN 4 3 2½ 2nk   12 1 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 32% 2.20 6.60 W
KILLY START 6 5 42 4   22 2 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 7.10  
GORGEOUS GIRL (ARG) 5 1 3 31   44 3 (sacco d)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 14.30 9.10 S
SARIR 3 2 1½ 1nk   3 49 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 3.45  
LADY MINE 2 6 6 5   5 5 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 24% 3.20 1.00  
PATTY BROWN EYES 1 4 5 6   68 612 (morley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 7.00  
SCR  GRIDLOCK               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
SCR  MY GIRL JAL               (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFABULATION 2 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 1 12 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 25% 3.00 1.25 W
REGISTER 5 4 6 6 42 3 22 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 3.95 P
TOMACON 3 5 4 31 3 43 33 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 20.00 14.00  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 6 8 8 7 6 54 4 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 18.20  
BERNING BEAUTY 1 7 5 4 5 6 58 (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 16.00  
VICTORY DASH 7 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 2 611½ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
AZ U CHASE ME 4 6 7 8 76 7 711¾ (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 11.80  
10  UNCORRELATED 8 2 31 5 812 821½ 8100 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 30% 2.40 2.85  
SCR  BARNSTORMING               (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  FRIZZANTE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.