Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/3/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(5/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/6)-(5/3/4/8)-(1/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8)-(5/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/8)-(1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/8)-(1/8/5)-(1/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/5)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(1/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(1/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3)-(4/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/3)-(9/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/3)-(9/6/2/3)-(9/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/2/3)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/3)-(4/3/5)-(10/3/4/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(10/3/4/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (10/3/4/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/9/7)-(10/3/4/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/9/7)-(10/3/4/9/7)-(10/3/4/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGIA MAGIC         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NIGHTLIFE BABY by FLATTER)
1A  GRIFFIN'S WHARF Oct26         (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  CADA DIA MEJOR         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 119 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of G. T. SONIA by BRETHREN)
3  MUNDEN         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MATH TUTOR Nov09 Oct17 Sep14 Aug03   (antonucci jena)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
5  APPLE JAX         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AUTHENTICITY by IN REALITY (GB))
6  GREY ACE Oct26         (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by MITOLE out of NASHOBA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  SEEKER'S HOPE         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of SWEET TALKIN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-2   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUCHESS OF DESTIN Nov01 Sep27 Aug25 Jul12 Jun08 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00    
2  LADY LAOBAN Nov01 Oct13 Sep14 Jul05 Jun08 (duggan p)LUZZI J 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  ACCELERINA Nov10 Oct18 Sep03 Jul17 Jun15 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
4  JAY'S LOVE Oct18 Sep24 Sep13 Aug10 May24 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
5  LEM ME DRINK Oct31 Sep20 Aug04 Jun07 Dec15 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
6  ALLEY'S SONG Nov10 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 Jul19 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 118 8.00 7% 12.80    
7  BIG HAZEL Nov10 Oct06 Sep19 Aug02 Jul25 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
8  BARONESS BOURBON Oct18 Sep17 Sep02 Aug03 Jul17 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 11% 8.40    
 
AQU-3   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAMAGE Oct27 Sep28       (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
2  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Oct11 Sep22 Aug21 Jul07   (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 119 30.00    
3  MONOMOY BEACH         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  PAPA PAULIE P Nov14 Oct05       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00 7% 13.30    
5  ONE VISION Sep29 Sep02 Aug16     (terranova )RIVERA R 119 2.50 43% 1.40    
6  BIG DOSSER Nov03         (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY FRENS Oct26         (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 119 2.00    
8  BURNING MUNNY Nov18 Oct28 Sep13 Aug31 Jul19 (breed ro)DAVIS A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   11/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J D FACTOR Oct10 Sep21 Aug18 Jun17 May05 (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  SCAT TU TAP Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 Aug23 Jul24 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH Apr19 Feb29 Dec30 Dec01 Oct28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20    
4  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Nov15 Oct12 Jun22 May02 Apr19 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
5  YOUR MISSION Nov16 Oct18 Aug24 Jul14 Jun22 (bernardini juan)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
6  ALPHA SONNY Nov11 Oct28 Oct15 Sep23 May25 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 122 15.00    
SCR  UNION EXPRESS Oct26 Sep29 Aug23 Jul24 Jun14 (toscano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
8  VIOLENT SWING Nov11 Oct21 Sep23     (ferraro m )RIVERA R 120 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
AQU-5   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELANCIA Nov08         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  GAGA'S HAMSOME Oct31 Sep28 Aug30     (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50    
3  YAYI NIKOLLE         (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  CENTRAL CASTING Oct31 Aug30       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LADY OF MERCIA Nov16         (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
6  R SPECIAL         (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 9% 10.80    
7  ESTHER'S SALAD         (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
8  AERIALIST         (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
 
AQU-6   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOULTON Oct03 Aug24 Jul31 Jun15 Dec09 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
2  ACCIDENTAL BID Oct04 Aug21 Jun15     (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  GOOD AS HE GETS Nov01 Oct12 Sep14     (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Oct16 Sep12 Jun28 May18 Apr24 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 124 12.00    
5  CREEK Oct18 Aug29 Sep24 Aug31 Aug05 (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GLINT Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 Jul31 Apr21 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00    
7  TRUE CONNECTION Nov07 Jul06 Jun15 May29 May10 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
8  FIRST TRUMPET Oct03 Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 May10 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fall Highweight Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Oct12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 May31 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 128 20.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TORCHWOOD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  SUPER CHOW Sep21 Jul08 May18 Apr06 Mar02 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 133 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  BABY YODA Sep28 Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 May03 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 133 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
4  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Oct26 Sep19 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 128 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of OH MAYBE BABY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  DEAN DELIVERS Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 Jul08 May27 (allard t)CARMOUCHE K 131 6.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of SLICK AND TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Oct26 Sep19 Aug22 Jul26 Jun29 (toscano t)ROSARIO JOEL 133 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  WITTY Nov27 Nov02 Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 131 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
8  TOP GUNNER Oct26 Sep21 Aug04 Jul13 May05 (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 131 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNTON MY LADY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  GIANT MISCHIEF Oct12 Dec26 Nov26 Sep20 Feb25 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 128 1.80 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERTICAL OAK by GIANT OAK)
 
AQU-8   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARIR Oct10 Jul29 Jun06 Apr20 Feb11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  GRIDLOCK Oct12 Jul20 Jun28 Apr21 Mar01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
2  PATTY BROWN EYES Oct21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul04 May17 (morley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
3  LADY MINE Feb29 Jan19 Dec29 Jun16 Apr29 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
4  PATRICIA ANN May04 Mar28 Feb24 Dec30   (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  GORGEOUS GIRL (ARG) Feb10 Jan13 Dec20 Sep30 Aug13 (sacco d)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  MY GIRL JAL Jun30 May11 Apr18 Mar24 Feb23 (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
7  KILLY START Oct20 Oct04 Aug17 Jul28 Jul17 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 
AQU-9   11/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRIZZANTE Sep29 Aug16 Jul04 Jun23 May22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
2  BERNING BEAUTY Oct31 Sep22 Aug18 Jun14 Apr13 (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
3  CONFABULATION Nov07 Oct17 Aug31 Jul31   (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  BARNSTORMING Nov09 Nov02 Oct05 Aug23 Jul14 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  TOMACON Nov03 Sep21 Aug15 Jul11 Apr20 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
6  AZ U CHASE ME Nov11 Oct21 Sep29 Aug02 Jun29 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
7  REGISTER Oct24 Nov18 Nov04 Sep28 Mar18 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Nov03 Oct04 Aug31 Aug04 Jun14 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
9  VICTORY DASH Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul05 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNCORRELATED Sep29 Mar04 Jan06     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.