Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - June 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(9/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(9/3/4/6)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (9/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/6)-(9/3/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/6)-(9/3/4/6/1)-(9/3/4/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (9/3/4/6)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/6)-(5/4/3)-(4/2/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/2/3/8)-(4/2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/5/6)-(7/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(7/8/1)-(1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(1/4/2)-(1/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREIGN May20 Feb27 Feb05 Dec04 Oct11 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK May23 May01 Apr04 Mar14 Feb29 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
3  THE MAN CAN May27 May14 Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
4  NAMBITI May20 Apr29 Apr08 Feb06 Jan22 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
5  JACK BE FAST Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct09 (hernandez ri)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY May27 Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-2   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM May30 May20 Jan10 Dec26 Dec18 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00 ★    
2  LOST IN MANHATTAN May22 Apr30 Dec28 Dec04 Aug15 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00    
3  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Apr30 Mar27 Sep28 Aug17 Jul26 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  SAHM TEQUILA May22 Apr13 Mar06 Feb17 Jan24 (lopez enriqu)HALDAR J 123 4.00 9% 9.60    
5  FOREST SURVIVOR Jan08 Jan01 Nov29 Nov13 Oct21 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 10.00    
6  IT'S FATE May22 Jan04 Dec20 Nov20 Oct13 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAD LITTLE BEAST May22 Nov19 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00    
8  BUSTIN THE RULES May22 Feb05 Nov13 Oct31 Oct17 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00    
9  BOURBON OVER ICE May23 May13 Dec06 Nov02 Oct10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-3   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASH OF FIRE May22 Apr24 Apr02 Mar11 Feb28 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
2  SWEET LEMON DROP May20 Aug03 Jul11 Jun07 May31 (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50    
3  WORTHY OPPONENT May20 Oct28 Oct13 Sep19 Sep04 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT MIKEY May27 May06 Jan31 Jul31 Jun06 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  MANNFORD May23 May01 Dec26 Dec04 Nov20 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  KARAMEL CORN May27 May14 May01 Apr23 Apr08 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME FLIRT May21 May01 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
2  BLAKE'S RYEN Aug12 Jul25 Jul05     (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER May04 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
4  REDDEN Apr30 Apr11 Mar25 Feb21 Feb07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  PLAYING BALL May21 Apr30 Mar14 Feb29 Feb08 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 15.00    
6  TAHLEQUAH JOE May28 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Sep25 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 5.00    
7  AGNELLO CITY May21 Apr30 Feb26 Dec26 Dec07 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
8  KETTLE KING May21 Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 Sep18 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILLIGAN May20 Apr23 Mar17 Feb28 Feb14 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
2  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT May20 Apr22 Feb24 Jan31 Jan15 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
3  OTIS OTIS OTIS May20 Apr30 Apr13 Mar10 Feb17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
4  INSIDE STUNT May20 Apr22 Mar28 Mar17 Feb20 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  FIRST CITIZEN May27 Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 May31 (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
6  SURF AND TURF Apr25 Apr10 Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROCKSTAR RO May29 May20 May08 Mar28 Mar17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00    
 
TDN-6   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETTIN PEGASUS Apr29 Apr11 Mar26 Mar07 Feb28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOX STEP May18 Apr24 Apr10 Jan04 Aug02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
3  TWENTY FOUR KARAT May28 Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Dec20 (johnson gary)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE May21 May13 Apr30 Apr11 Mar13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT May04 Apr02 Mar13 Feb29 Feb13 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Apr30 Apr11 Feb13 Jan25 Jan08 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 ★    
7  OUT MY DEAR May21 Oct10 Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS May14 Apr25 Nov16 Oct21 Oct03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-7   06/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND STRIKE May22 May01 Oct02 Jul25 Jun26 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
2  BLUSHING BETTY Sep20 Aug29 Aug02 Jul11 Jun13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 10% 9.30    
3  BAREBACK FUN May27 May09 Apr23 Dec06 Oct02 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 123 8.00    
4  POETIC VERSE May06 Apr10 Nov14 Sep07 Aug06 (gorham m)PEREZ E 123 2.50 14% 6.00    
5  TIZ INDEPENDENCE May22 May01 Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
6  MALICED May22 Jul25 Jun24 Jun07 May09 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 ★    
7  SKY May27 May08 Apr23 Apr10 Dec12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
8  CEVICHE May27 May01 Jan31 Jan23 Jan08 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
 
TDN-8   06/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETAWAY BAY Mar07         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ELUSIVE GETAWAY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  NO PAY NO HAY May20 Apr28 Mar28 Feb25 Feb10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 15% 5.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BIDE A WEE ISLAND by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
3  DO NOT PASS May09 Oct03       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of DO NOT DISTURB by MARIA'S MON)
4  NOT OVER YET May09 Apr25 Apr04     (urieta johan)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 12.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  SPARKLY May20 May03 Apr20 Mar16 Jan27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of BO PEEP by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  SHARP AZ CAN BE May20 Apr25 Feb22 Nov25 Sep10 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MISS SUBTLE by MISREMEMBERED)
7  VIVA LA MANANA Aug12         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of TOMORROW STORY by SMART STRIKE)
8  GIFTED GLITTER Apr03 Mar03       (canegata ja)PETERSON FERRIN 123 15.00    
  (by LOUISIANA GLITTER out of MARKET HIGH by HIGH COTTON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.