Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/5)-(5/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(5/3/1)-(5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/6/2)-(8/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(8/1/3)-(7/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/4/6)-(8/1/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(7/4/6/2)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(1/3/6)-(2/4/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSEWAY Mar10 Jan13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JAMYSON 'N GINGER by BERNARDINI)
2  FIRST TRUMPET Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 Dec16 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
3  TRUE CONNECTION Mar09 Jan13       (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by CONNECT out of TIPPANY by TAPIT)
4  JUST MUSIC Feb24 Feb18 Jan19 Dec28 Nov04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
5  D DAY SKY Jan13 Nov25 Oct26 Sep10   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SAVANNAH SKY by SKY MESA)
 
AQU-2   04/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OPTIC WAY Mar30 Mar16 Feb03 Jan04 Nov26 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Mar21 Mar01 Jan26 Nov24 Oct28 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50    
2  LORD CAPTAIN Feb25 Feb02 Aug02 Jul23 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  AZTEC Mar02 Dec04 Nov08 Aug28 Jul26 (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
4  I AM THE LAW Mar01 Jan07 Dec10 Nov02 Jan06 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80    
5  BEACHWALKER Mar16 Mar01 Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
AQU-3   04/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE ROCKS Feb19 Feb02 Oct14 Sep16 Jul26 (sch)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HONORARY DEGREE Mar17 Mar10 Mar01 Jan31 Nov08 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
3  BUSINESS MODEL Jan26 Jan06 Dec06 Nov12 Oct28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 1.60 23% 3.30    
4  HIGH HEAT Mar22 Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 May30 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
5  DOT'S DOLLAR Feb09 Jan07 Nov18 Oct14 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 51% 1.00    
6  CRITICAL THREAT Feb18 Jan26 Jan14 Dec09 Oct28 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
 
AQU-4   04/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY THE TANK Feb16 Jan01 Dec01 May21 Apr27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
2  WANNA WINNA Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 Apr21 Mar26 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  REFUAH Feb29 Feb04 Dec14 Oct28 Aug27 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 122 8.00    
SCR  MASTERWORK Mar02 Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 Nov09 (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 1.60    
5  MAGIA NERA Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jun23 Jun02 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  ENDOWED Jul26 Jun09 Nov19 Oct21 Sep25 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-5   04/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN MAESTRO Feb29 Jan18 Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
1A  DEPUTY CONNECT Feb17 Feb03 Dec28 Dec01 Nov02 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 2.00 ★    
2  SORPRESO Mar17 Feb29 Feb10 Feb03 Jan14 (delauro edwa)HOWELL TALBERT 120 30.00    
3  JUNGFRAU Feb29 Feb11 Jan27 Dec28 Sep17 (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Feb29 Nov14 Nov04 Sep21 Aug30 (levine bruc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 10.00 ★    
5  PAPI ON ICE Mar17 Mar08 Jan14 Oct04 Aug10 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
6  ARREBATO Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 Oct07 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 ★    
7  OPPORTUNITY SET Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec01 Nov09 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 122 12.00    
8  ICE ROAD Mar08 Feb03 Dec28 Nov25 Oct21 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-6   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA LOCA Mar16 Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct26 (arenas marc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 30.00    
2  DEVILLY Mar16 Feb18 Jan19 Dec31 Nov15 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHOOPTHEREITIS Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Nov14 Oct23 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
4  ROJA LIGERA Mar16 Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HONEST BANKER Feb23 Apr23 Mar30 Dec16   (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.50    
6  MAGGIE T Mar16 Feb16 Dec31 Dec14 Jun18 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  SHINFULL Feb29 Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 32% 2.10    
8  SIMPLE SUGAR Mar16 Feb16 Jan11 Dec10 Nov04 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   04/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD FOREST Mar29 Feb23 Dec31 Nov30 Oct14 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  KUPP Mar10 Feb19 Jan14 Jan01 Dec16 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
2  THRILL OF IT Mar03 Feb09 Jan01 Dec07 Nov04 (terranova )RIVERA R 123 3.00    
3  SAFFA'S DAY Mar03 Jan07 Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  LOOMS BOLDLY Aug13 Jun26 May29 Apr15 Mar19 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
5  FACTUALLY CORRECT Mar02 Feb09 Dec07 Oct29 Oct20 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
6  MASROUR Feb27 Jan31 Jan08 Dec11 Nov20 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 6% 16.70    
 
AQU-8   04/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT MILE Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 Nov18 Oct20 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  MUAZARAH Mar10 Jan27 Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
2  SHOWDOWN KING Feb07 Jan01 Nov26 Oct26 Sep21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  INDEPENDENT PAUL Mar24 Mar16 Feb10 Jan18 Jul09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 8.00 10% 8.90    
4  BORLETTI (IRE) Mar01 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  AMERICAN GRANT Aug27 Jul13 Jun25 May14 Apr27 (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
6  NOTAH Mar09 Feb24 Jan26 Jan01 Aug26 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.00 11% 7.70    
7  RED D G P Mar21 Feb29 Feb17 Nov24 Jul15 (rice linda)OLVER MADISON 126 8.00    
8  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Feb17 Feb10 Jan07 Nov25 Nov02 (handal raymond)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.