Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/5)-(4/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/7/2)-(4/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(4/5/8)-(7/9/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(7/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(7/9/6/8)-(10/5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/9/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8)-(7/9/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/6/8)-(10/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/8)-(10/5/4/8)-(1/3/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (10/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/8)-(10/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/8)-(10/5/4/8)-(10/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/5/4/8)-(1/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/5/4/8)-(1/3/4/5)-(10/3/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(10/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(10/3/7/2)-(4/6/9/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-8   WIN (10/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/7/2)-(10/3/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/7/2)-(10/3/7/5/2)-(10/3/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/7/2)-(4/6/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (4/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10)-(4/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA INDECENTE Oct21         (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of GLOOMY I'M KNOT by D'WILDCAT)
2  MYSARIA Oct21         (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
3  TROUBLED LUCK Oct13         (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.00 11% 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  TOUR JETE         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of DANCING BAY by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
5  MY PERFECT MISTAKE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by FREUD out of TO THE NINES by SUPER SAVER)
6  ORGANA SOLO         (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SONORA by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  CITY BLOCKS Oct01         (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of UNCLE SOUTHERN by UNCLE CAMIE)
 
AQU-2   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DIVA BANKER Oct20 Sep28 Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 3.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Sep28 Aug20 Jul27 Jul04 May11 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00    
2  SLACK TIDE Oct08 Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  JACKIE THE JOKER Oct20 Aug24 Jul23 May26 May12 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
4  TRADE SECRET Oct06 Aug03 Jun22 May18 Apr20 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 May14 Apr25 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Oct06 Aug16 Aug03 Jun02 Mar31 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BADLANDS RULER Oct07 Aug05       (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50    
2  QUICKER THAN QUICK         (milne joan)LUZZI J 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
3  MAX S         (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 114 15.00    
4  PICCATA PRINCE Sep14 Sep03 Aug04     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 43% 1.40    
5  THUNDERSLAM Oct01         (johnso)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
6  MY MAN WOODY Nov02 Sep22 Sep03     (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
7  REMEMBER THE NAME Oct05 Aug19       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-4   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRAPPED Oct07 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Jun25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
2  STJAMES Aug20 Jul28 Jun04 May11 Mar24 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Oct21 Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 Apr30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.00    
4  ANTHRACITE Oct21 Aug24 Jul21 Jun23 May27 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 5.00 44% 1.30    
5  TENEBRIS Nov02 Sep15 Aug31 Jun11 Jun03 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 25% 3.00    
6  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
7  PETROLO Oct16 Aug19 Feb25 Dec31   (bond harol)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
8  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov02 Jul04 May13 May05 Apr02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 10% 9.00    
9  PINE VALLEY Nov02 Sep28 Sep11 Sep01 Aug10 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
 
AQU-5   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAX FOSTER Oct30 Oct02 Jan06 Dec11 Oct27 (englehart jeff)LUZZI J 122 4.50    
2  SIN NOMBRE Aug20 Jul21       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN Oct16 Sep04 Jun23 Oct07 Aug26 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
4  TESTA DURA Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 Oct22 Sep22 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 117 30.00    
5  MAJESTIC ARC Oct15 Sep22 Aug19     (shivmangal loli)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00    
6  PRACTICAL MISS Aug25 Aug03 Jul21     (duggan dav)RIVERA R 114 12.00 16% 5.10    
7  WAR PRINCE Oct15 Sep22 Jun03 May13 Apr23 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  ACADEMY CHOICE Oct21 Aug03 Jun18 May13 Apr23 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SCREW LOOSE Sep21 Aug17 Jul08 Jun01 Apr21 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 21% 3.70    
10  THATSMYBOXER Sep21 Jul09 Jun18     (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 
AQU-6   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAUNTED Oct28 Sep04 Aug17 Jul21 Jun18 (ryerson ja)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
2  SHARPAZ Jun25 May29 Dec08 Nov11   (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
3  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Oct15 Sep22 Aug20 Jul21 Jul01 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
4  KENTUCKY JOKER Oct21 Jun25 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  NOBILIS Aug27 Aug02 Jul07 May20 Sep29 (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  SOMAMA BEACH Sep21 Aug19 Jul09 Jun03 May21 (jerkens steve)OLVER MADISON 117 50.00    
SCR  RUNANDSCORE Oct27 Oct08 Sep21 Mar18 Mar04 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
8  THE MIGHTY DON May19         (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOOD REUNION         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
10  BUSTINO SANTINO Oct12 Sep04 Aug02 Jan07 Dec17 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-7   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE THE BOSS Oct01 Sep04 Aug05 Jul04 Jun09 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  TWO FOR CHARGING Oct01 Aug05 May29 Apr22 Jul28 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
3  LOCKE AND KEY Oct01 Aug31 Aug17 Jul07 Jun02 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  G MUNNING Oct15 Aug31 Jul15 Oct15 Aug27 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
5  MY LAST MISSION Oct15 Sep03 Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 (dilodovico damo)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAST BUCK FREDDY Sep04 Aug02 Jun09     (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
7  SINFUL DANCER Oct29 Apr15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct14 (figueroa da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
8  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Oct27 Oct05 Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 (wilson faith)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   11/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEELERSFANFORLIFE Jun22 Jun02 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 (gyarmati leah)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
SCR  GIRAMONTE Sep17 May26 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
2  CITIZEN K Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 May29 Apr13 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AGENT CREED Sep15 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 May28 (garber owen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May06 Apr07 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
5  ROUGH DRAFT Sep15 Aug17 Jul13 Jun17 Apr15 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 ★    
6  KING OF COMEDY Sep15 Aug17 Jul02 Jun10 May14 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
7  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Oct29 Sep28 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
8  BORN DANCER Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00    
9  CURLY LARRY AND MO Sep09 Aug18 Jun10 May17 Apr15 (russell bri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
10  LET'S GO BIG BLUE Oct15 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 Jun10 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Oct06 Sep28 Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Sep02 Aug05 Jun17 May27 Nov19 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
SCR  GENERAL BANKER Oct15 May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar04 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Oct29 Sep28 Sep21 Aug05 Jul15 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Nov04 Aug23 Jul07 May29 May06 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50    
 
AQU-9   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jul23 Jun24 May13 Oct09 Sep03 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 119 12.00    
SCR  GHOSTBUSTIN         (barrow paul)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
3  DEBBIE DARLING Oct15 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14   (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
4  DANCE WITH ME BABE Oct06 Jul23 Jun24 May18 Apr22 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 48% 1.10    
5  DREAMING OF CARLI Jun23 May18       (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
6  ISLAND ROSE Oct12 Jul15       (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
7  UNHOLY Oct06 Sep15 Jul02 May21   (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
8  GALATRONA Oct06 Aug16 May27 Apr08 Sep30 (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
9  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Oct20 Aug27 Jul08     (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 7% 14.10    
10  FOLLOW THE FED Oct06 Sep03 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ACCELERINA Sep01 Jul04 Aug20     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.