Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/5)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/5/7)-(9/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(9/7/2)-(10/2/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (9/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/2)-(9/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/2)-(9/7/3/2)-(9/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/2)-(10/2/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2)-(10/2/9/3)-(1/8/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (10/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/9/3)-(10/2/9/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/9/3)-(10/2/9/11/3)-(10/2/9/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/9/3)-(1/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/9/3)-(1/8/6/2)-(4/7/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/2)-(4/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/2)-(4/7/6/1)-(2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/1)-(2/5/1)-(1/5/8/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/5/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (1/5/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/12)-(1/5/8/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/12)-(1/5/8/12/10)-(1/5/8/12/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERT BERT BERT Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun01 May11 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 124 8.00    
1A  CHEEKY TICO Jul03 Jun04 May13 Apr07 Mar18 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 117 8.00    
BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Sep01 Jun15 Apr30 Feb24 Feb12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 17% 4.80    
CUMBERLAND BLUES Aug03 Jul21 Jul03 Jun22 Jun04 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50    
PRINCE OF JOY Jul16 Jun18 May21 Apr28 Apr15 (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
UNION LIGHTS Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun04 May06 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 8% 12.30    
KING OF CHAOS Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 Apr29 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
BLU GROTTO Jul03 May13 Feb17 Jan07 Dec18 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
BAQ-2   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE COME UP Aug27 Aug13 Jul08 Jun16 Oct22 (farro patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 10.00    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Aug10 Jul19 Jun10 May14 Apr22 (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
KUPP Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May18 Mar12 (david carl)RIVERA R 115 3.00 50% 1.00    
HIGH STRIKE Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
CHARGER Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 Apr14 Mar19 (rodriguez ru)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH Aug26 Jul15 May27 Apr14 Aug07 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
JESTER'S SONG Aug03 Jun24 May12 May05 Mar10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 Apr28 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  GUN IT Jul29 Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  MID DAY IMAGE Aug23 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun01 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 8.00    
BRING ME A CHECK Sep04 Aug23 Jul26 Jul07 Jun04 (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
NOTHING BETTER Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr13 Dec24 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
TODAY'S FLAVOR Aug11 Jun10 Apr30 Apr08 Feb18 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00    
HIGH FRONT Aug23 Jun21 May19 Apr21 May29 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 4.50 15% 5.70    
IKIGAI Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr20 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 125 15.00    
SOSUA SUMMER Aug24 Jul27 Jun09 Apr20 Feb25 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
BAQ-4   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMENTO MI Jul17 Jun19 May22 Jan23 Dec20 (romero raf)RIVERA R 118 3.50    
SIMPLE SUGAR Aug18 Jul09 Jun04 Mar30 Feb20 (giglio g)DAVIS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST A NYQUIST Jul09 Jun18 May28 May04 Mar26 (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 123 4.00    
SWEET AS SUGAR Aug18 Jul09 Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan29 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 (barker r)RUIZ ELISEO 114 6.00    
RACING COLORS Aug18 Aug03 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 15.00    
BOSS LADY KIM Aug05 Jun30 Sep30 Aug28 Jun30 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 114 6.00 29% 2.40    
REDZILLA Aug31 Aug18 Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 (parag)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
ROJA LIGERA Aug06 Jun24 May19 Mar24 Jul31 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
BAQ-5   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC ARC Aug19         (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00    
BAD LARRY Aug31 Jul28 Jun03 May14 Mar25 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
WAR PRINCE Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIN NOMBRE Aug20 Jul21       (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
IMPULSIVE SPENDING Aug19 Jul30 Jul21 Jun18 May19 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 30.00    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Aug30 Aug06 Jul01 May06 Apr14 (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
TESTA DURA Aug31 Oct22 Sep22     (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 114 20.00    
PRIX DE WEST Sep04 Aug06 Apr27     (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
DREAM CANTEEN         (abreu jorge )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
10  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Aug19 Jul08 Jun09 Apr23 Apr01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
11  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Aug20 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 Apr27 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/22/2023 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUAL REALITY Aug10 Jul13 May28     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
1A  TANGENTIAL Aug17 Nov19 Sep18     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
RHOMBIQUE Sep01 Jul26 Jul04 Nov27 Nov18 (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
EMBRACE ME Aug25 Jul26 Jun29 May29 Apr14 (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
PENTAGON Aug06 Jul01 Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.50    
SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 May26 May07 (johnson clevela)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Jul26         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
BILOXI BLUES Aug12 Apr08 Feb26 Jan29 Nov10 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00    
SHE'S MO BUBBLY Aug30 Jul29 Jun03 Apr08 Feb24 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug27 Jul26 Jul15 Jun25 Apr15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREUDIAN Aug31 Aug12 Jun17 Jun11 May12 (falcone ro)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00 13% 7.00    
DOLCE SERA Jul30 Jun01 May20 Apr28 Mar31 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
MURSAL Aug12 Jul13 Jun04 May19 Mar24 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
PROUD FOOT Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun10 May20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
BON ADIEU Sep03 Jul15 Jun16 Apr29 Feb10 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 10.00    
DIAMOND COLLECTOR Aug31 Aug11 Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
JOLLY MISS JILL Aug12 Jul16 Jun16 Apr29 Apr14 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
KARA PARA Aug23 Aug04 Jun23 May28 May06 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM John Hettinger Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 May26 Apr27 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
NEW GINYA Aug27 Jul29 Jun25 Apr27 Apr08 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.80 30% 2.40    
  (by TONALIST out of RAPID RHYTHM by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
RUNAWAY RUMOUR Aug27 Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SARATOGA CHROME Sep04 Aug23 Jul29 Jul15 Nov06 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of QUEEN OFTHE DAWN by SUN KING (IRE))
SPUNGIE Aug27 Dec17 Oct30 Sep25 Aug14 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
OUT OF SIGHT Aug25 Jul26 Jul04 May29 May07 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LEIGHA RENEE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SWEETIE Sep14 Jul03 Jun15 May11 Apr06 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
  (by EFFINEX out of MARGIES SMILE by WHEELAWAY)
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Aug09 Jul16 Jun16 May04 Oct30 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 124 2.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr02 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Aug09 Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
BAQ-9   09/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELTRINELLI Aug25         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
1A  ASTRAEUS         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOULA by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
AWESOME FOR SURE Aug26 Aug06       (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of ROYAL SIGHTING by RAHY)
APOLLO TEN Aug25         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Aug12 Jul09       (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
REVEREND MOON Sep01 Aug12       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GRAND MOON by MALIBU MOON)
DANGEROUS DRIVER Sep02 Aug19 Jul09 Jun22   (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 112 50.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK Aug24         (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HEAVENLY SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
IRISH GENT (IRE) Sep01         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of INDIGO BUTTERFLY by LE HAVRE)
GET READY TO ROCK Sep02 Aug19       (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AFTER THE GLORY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  PROSPERO (IRE)         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
11  MIGRATORY         (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOUTZEN by I AM INVINCIBLE)
12  FINANCIAL DISTRICT Sep07         (romero raf)RIVERA R 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ONE LOOK by OPS SMILE (BRZ))
SCR  ELECTRIC EEL Aug27 Aug12 Jul23     (david carl)RIVERA R 114 6.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of SHE'S HOT WIRED by CABLE BOY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.