Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Friday - June 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(9/7/1/8/13) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(9/7/1/8/13)-(5/4/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-2   WIN (9/7/1/8/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/8/13)-(9/7/1/8/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/8/13)-(9/7/1/8/13)-(9/7/1/8/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/1/8/13)-(5/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/8/13)-(5/4/2/3)-(9/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(9/7/1)-(1/9/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/1)-(9/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/7/1)-(9/7/1)-(9/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/7/1)-(1/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1)-(1/9/2/7)-(7/5/9/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (1/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7)-(1/9/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/2/7)-(7/5/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/7)-(7/5/9/10)-(10/3/8/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (7/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10)-(7/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/10)-(7/5/9/10)-(7/5/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/10)-(10/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/10)-(10/3/8/1/2)-(5/8/12/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (10/3/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/1/2)-(10/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/1/2)-(10/3/8/1/2)-(10/3/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/8/1/2)-(5/8/12/6/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/3/8/1/2)-(5/8/12/6/2)-(3/8/9/5/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CD-8   WIN (5/8/12/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/12/6/2)-(5/8/12/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/12/6/2)-(5/8/12/6/2)-(5/8/12/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/12/6/2)-(3/8/9/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-9   WIN (3/8/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/9/5/7)-(3/8/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/9/5/7)-(3/8/9/5/7)-(3/8/9/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   06/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABEL DE CLARE Feb04 Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  ALLINTHECALL May04 Mar30       (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 2.50    
NEWYEARSPRESENT May05 Apr01 Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 (o'connor robe)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.50    
DOODLE DOO May04         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 117 5.00    
FREEFORM Oct14 Aug26       (nihei michell)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
SHES A SECRET Sep21 Aug06       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
CD-2   06/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH WALKN May05 Apr07 Mar02     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
LYNNA Mar12         (cohn g)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCATLIE         (lynch brian )CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
FANCY CABER NEIGH Apr19 Mar25 Feb18 Dec23   (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FANCY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
PERCEPTIVE         (oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
THE PRINCESS SAYS May14 Apr12 Mar16 Mar01   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
L J'S EMMA Apr23 Mar01 Jan21     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REALLY AND TRULY by PULPIT)
MOMMY JUICE Jan25         (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BEAUTIFUL ESCAPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ANNA'S ARABESQUE May03 Mar08       (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
10  ROYAL BLOOD May14 Apr23 Apr07 Mar18   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of LE SANG ROYALE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  ALL I WANT IS YOU Apr23         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CANDY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  MENDED WE STAND Apr23 Mar05 Jan22 Oct30 Sep08 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LADY by MALIBU MOON)
13  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL May13 Apr21 Mar11 Feb11   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  CALM COOL Feb26 Feb09       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  GOOD TURN May04         (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
SCR  PICK ME GURL Apr15 Mar25       (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ZAROOF by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
CD-3   06/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNY'S FIREBALL May11 Feb22 Jan14 Feb25   (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00    
SUPER DESIGN May06 Mar24 Feb25 Jan11 Dec17 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 14% 6.40    
KOUFAX Mar16 Jan28 Dec21 Oct02 Aug22 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8% 12.10    
OLLIEMYBOY Apr23 Mar02 Jun04 May01   (stall m)LANERIE J 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
MYSTIC NIGHT May13 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
MOBSTER GUN May13 Apr23 May12 Apr15 Feb16 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
SHORTLIST Apr16 Mar16 Dec15 Oct03 Sep12 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGGER HAPPY May12 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 Feb03 (habeeb j)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  SHINNECOCK HILLS Feb26 Jan15 Dec16 Nov02 Feb19 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
SECRET POCKET Apr29 Mar24 Feb01 Nov19   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00    
GET THROUGH May05 Mar25 Mar19 Feb12 Jan15 (moquett ronal)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  SIR Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 Feb02 Jan05 (contreras c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
SCR  RIGHT OF RUSH May14 Apr29 Feb11 Dec28 Dec17 (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
UNCLE BERLEY May05 Mar19 Feb26 Jan11 Sep15 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR May12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan11 Jan15 (farrior anthony)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00    
GROUP HUG May04 Apr19 Mar17 May30 Apr10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
CD-5   06/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC TAP Apr16         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TAPIT out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
DR KRINGLE Apr27 Mar17       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GAME KEEPER May02 Mar11 Feb25     (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  JUST A PHOTO May06 Apr08       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of PHOTOGRAPHER by WAR FRONT)
EIRIK RIDGE May06         (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
  (by TONALIST out of GREAT SOUTH BAY by AMERICAN STANDARD)
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Nov19   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
ST. JOHN'S Apr14 Mar18 Feb18     (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9% 9.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FORTRESS by RAHY)
FIGHT'N READY Apr14 Feb18 Jan21 Dec08 Oct30 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
MR MCGREGOR Apr14 Mar18 Aug13     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET BLISS by HUNTING HARD)
 
CD-6   06/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN FLAT May13 Apr26 Jun30 May26 Apr07 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
SCR  MAC'S TIME May20 Feb22 Nov25 Nov04   (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 5.00    
CARNIVORE May05 Mar19 Feb11 Jan08 Dec18 (shorter )SANTANA JR 124 8.00    
MUGSY MALONE May12 Mar11 Dec30 Nov18 Nov10 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
COMMANDER CARL May14 Apr21 Mar23 Mar05 Feb04 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  JAY VEE BEE May12 Apr22 Mar25 Feb11 Jan25 (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
HEARTBREAKER May13 Apr12 Jun17 May21   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
MADISON LUVS DUKE May12 Apr26 Mar01 Jan29 Nov23 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
JEDREK Apr30 Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 Jan27 (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
10  CIRCLE BACK JACK May19 May04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
CD-7   06/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIDDLE Feb11 Dec15 Oct28 Sep14 Aug27 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 18.30    
FAST AND FLIRTY Apr23 Mar09 Jan28 Nov06 Oct07 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC COYNE Mar02 Feb01 Jan01 Sep10 Aug24 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
MINT EDITION Apr23 Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Dec31 (wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00    
AIN'T BROKE Apr27 Mar15 Feb16 Dec22 Nov27 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA May12 Jan12 Dec03 Sep17 Aug13 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
MISS PEABODY Apr27 Mar04 Feb03 Jan11 Dec03 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
XIGERA Nov04 Oct07 Aug28 Aug07   (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 6% 15.00    
MISREAD May14 Oct07 May06 Mar26   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
10  EIDIKOS (GB) May02 Apr13       (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
11  SAND AND SEA Apr07 Jan29 May15 Apr22 Mar27 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
12  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES May07 Apr09 Mar13 Feb13 Jan21 (d'amato phil)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00    
SCR  YO PUEDO Apr27 Mar12 Jul21 Jun10 Apr22 (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00    
 
CD-8   06/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT TEMPEST Apr27 Mar18 Feb05 Oct15 Sep01 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
BE HERE NOW Mar26 Jan08 Nov10     (hiles a)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
PEACOCK LASS May03 Apr07 Nov27 Oct30 Sep17 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
SCR  BRU NA BOINNE Mar25 Feb17 Jan28 Dec23 Nov26 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
SCYLLA Apr15         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
PERSONAL PURSUIT May05 Apr01 Mar08 Jan14 Dec10 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEACOCK ALLEY Apr07 Mar16       (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Apr01 Mar05 Feb09 Dec31 Nov18 (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
DIVINELY BOLT May18 Apr22 Mar05 Feb03 Jan21 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
10  BOSS LADY BAILEY May05 Apr07 Feb25 Jan20 Nov27 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
11  MAGICAL LUTE Apr21 Sep16 Jul04     (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
12  DESTINE TO RACE May05 Apr13 Feb18 Jan21 Oct02 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
13  MAGIC BUBBLES Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24   (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER May29 Apr16 Feb25 Nov04 Sep17 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   06/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA VIEJA Apr14 Jan28 Dec31     (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of COLONIAL EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
STAND PROUD Apr22 Mar23 Mar12 Jan27 Dec16 (baker jam)TORRES A 125 8.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
GETTLEMAN Apr27 Mar19       (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GAME WARDEN May02 Feb26 Jan14 Oct15 Oct01 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
  (by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MO HOPE Apr28 Jan21 Dec16     (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MO TOWN out of HOPE RISES by MR. GREELEY)
ANDY CANT Apr22 Mar02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov13 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WHISKED AWAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
NIGHT EFFECT May06 Apr01       (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of QUEEN DAENERYS by STREET SENSE)
MR. KEATING Apr22         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TWEETERDINI by BERNARDINI)
HARBOUR BRIDGE May06 Mar25       (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
SCR  CANAVALL Dec16 Oct09       (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.