Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/12/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/12/3)-(6/12/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/12/3)-(6/12/3/8)-(6/12/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/12/3)-(1/7/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/12/3)-(1/7/11)-(6/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-2   WIN (1/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/11)-(1/7/4/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/11)-(1/7/4/11/3)-(1/7/4/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/11)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/11)-(6/5/3)-(6/1/12) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/1/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/1/12)-(10/9/12/7/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-4   WIN (6/1/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/12)-(6/1/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/12)-(6/1/12)-(6/1/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/12)-(10/9/12/7/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/12)-(10/9/12/7/11)-(9/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-5   WIN (10/9/12/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/12/7/11)-(10/9/12/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/12/7/11)-(10/9/12/7/11)-(10/9/12/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/12/7/11)-(9/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/9/12/7/11)-(9/6/3)-(1/3/2/8/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-6   WIN (9/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/3)-(9/6/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/3)-(9/6/3/8/4)-(9/6/3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/3)-(1/3/2/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3)-(1/3/2/8/9)-(1/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-7   WIN (1/3/2/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8/9)-(1/3/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8/9)-(1/3/2/8/9)-(1/3/2/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8/9)-(1/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/9)-(1/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/9)-(1/3/8/9)-(1/3/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK ROCKS KID Jan20 Jan01 Dec08 Oct05 Aug19 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 122 10.00    
SCR  FLOYD G Dec30 Sep20 Sep06 Aug11 Jul27 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 15.00    
3  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Nov09 Oct26 (roberson)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  JACKYS BACK Jan20 Dec16 Oct03 Aug25 Jun19 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
5  ISABEL DE CLARE Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 Sep17 (wojczynski jus)LEZCANO ABEL 117 12.00    
6  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jan19 Dec21 Oct08     (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
7  ADMIRAL TIM Jan04 Nov30       (newton )DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
8  OVER CALENDARED Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 Sep09 Aug25 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00 ★    
9  SOUTHERN SENSE Jan01 Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 Sep17 (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 20.00    
10  MAHAL KITA Jan02 Dec16 Dec08 Aug28 May27 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
11  LONGER VIEW Jan19 Dec08 Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 15.00    
12  PETTINARI Mar24         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
13  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Jan20 Dec07 Sep06 Aug02 May12 (gonzalez lilia)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
SCR  HILLBILLY LOGIC May07 Mar17       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.40 43% 1.30    
 
TP-2   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSKEGEE CAT Jan28 Jan04 Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 127 1.00 62% 0.60    
2  RIP IT RYAN Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 Aug02 Jul08 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
3  DROP ANCHOR Jan19 Jan06 Dec17 Nov11 Oct02 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 124 12.00 ★    
4  MR. PETERKIN Jul07 Jun23 Mar13 Feb20 Jan28 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 ★    
5  HORSE DADDY Dec31 Nov10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 20.00    
6  STRIKE PRICE Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 Sep30 Sep10 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
7  COMMAND CENTRAL Jan26 Jan05 Oct01 Aug19 Jul29 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 127 3.00 8% 11.20    
8  MOUNTAIN GHOST Jan14 Oct26 Oct02 Aug19 Jul16 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00    
SCR  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Dec30 Dec18 Nov27 Nov13 Oct07 (you)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 20.00    
10  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Dec31 Nov06 Oct11 Sep16 Apr30 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 12.00    
11  WELLER ROGUE Jan21 Dec18 Nov13 Oct14 Sep26 (reavis l)FELIX E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  WHERE'S LUCKY Jan11 Jun25 May27 May06 Apr30 (adams n)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
SCR  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jan11 Dec29 Nov13 Oct17 Oct03 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 30.00    
 
TP-3   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENY Dec22 Feb05 Jan16 Jan08   (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 ★    
2  ELI Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
3  AUTHORITARIAN Dec30 Dec07 Sep20 Aug09 Jul20 (vosler s)ORM CORY 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
4  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Nov27 Oct24 Oct05 Sep13 Sep01 (howard d)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
5  ENGLISH CLASSIC Jan14 Dec02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  MASETA Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 Oct20 Sep05 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 127 1.00 41% 1.40    
7  SONIC BURN Oct10 Sep29 Sep09 Aug10 Jul13 (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 124 30.00    
8  KICK IT CHARLIE Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Oct10 Sep20 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE Jan06 Dec10 Dec02 Aug24 Aug01 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  FARZIN Jan14 Dec07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep13 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 30.00    
 
TP-4   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED WONDER Jan20 Jan05 Nov25 Oct29 Jul16 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 124 3.50 10% 8.80    
2  TRICK HAT Jan14 Dec28 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50    
3  STARSHIP BELMONT Jan20 Dec21 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 124 15.00    
4  RIGHT NOW Dec29 Nov24 Oct13 Sep17 Aug26 (mcpeek kenne)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 10.00    
5  DALTON'S LOVE Jan14 Dec16 Nov10 Sep13 Jul14 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 124 20.00    
6  AUNT RUTH Jan14 Dec28 Dec03 Sep22 Sep08 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jan20 Dec21 Nov11 Sep22 Sep05 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS Jan12 Dec07 Nov02 Sep22   (grubbs )DE CRUZ 117 30.00    
9  FRACING HOT Dec28 Nov01 Sep27 Aug14 Jun29 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 10.00    
10  SONNYNEEDSMONEY Jan12         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
11  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Dec28 Nov25 Nov11 Oct11 Aug25 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 124 15.00    
12  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Jan06 Dec16 Oct24 Sep09 Aug25 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEPPER Aug06 Jul10 May07 Apr14 Mar05 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.50 7% 14.00    
 
TP-5   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAIL ALLEN Jan06         (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
2  BOLD BLUE         (west w)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
3  NOTARIO Oct11         (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
4  EAST BY WEST Jan12 Dec09       (londono j)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
5  DON'T LET ME DOWN Dec29 Dec01 Nov06 Oct13 Aug14 (eng)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50    
6  HE'S A PISCES Jan06 Oct25 Oct07     (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 15.00    
7  SAVVY ON BLANC         (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
8  WOLF WARRIOR Aug26         (hancock john)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
9  AMANWALKSINTOABAR Jan07 Dec26 Nov27 Oct13   (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 17% 5.00    
10  REPREHEND Dec31 Nov13       (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
11  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jan07 Dec02 Oct14 Sep05 Aug19 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 15.00 5% 17.80    
12  SHORTLY Jan28 Dec02 Nov11     (miller f)MCKEE J 120 15.00 10% 8.60    
 
TP-6   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDIT SWANSON Jan04 Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 Aug02 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SNOOKI by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  BE HERE Jan07 Dec01 Oct23 Oct07 Sep01 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of INFORMED DECISION by MONARCHOS)
3  HERE MI SONG Dec17 Nov11 Oct19 Sep15 Aug26 (stinson)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MI VIERA by DEHERE)
4  POLE SETTER Jan14 Jun21 May31 May04 Mar10 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 ★    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of IRISH SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  GALLANT GUY Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 May30 (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by GALLANT SON out of QUICK GLORY by SWISS YODELER)
6  CANDY OVERLOAD Dec11 Nov27 Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by RELOAD out of MINI CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Jan26 Dec28 Dec11     (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 120 50.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ENQUETE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  NIGHT TIME Jan18 Dec16 Nov05 Sep13 Jul17 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 ★    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  VISITANT Jan01 Dec16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PEPPERMINT LOUNGE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TP-7   02/04/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSTAPPEN Dec14 Oct26 Sep05 Apr29 Mar25 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  BUY ME CANDY Jan07 Aug15 Jul18 Apr27 Mar18 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
3  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Jan20 Dec11 Aug21 Jul14 Jul01 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
4  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Jan07 Dec09 Nov24 Sep16 Aug24 (lyster steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00    
5  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Jan15 Jan07 Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 (lobo h)RAMOS D 124 4.00    
6  PROTONIC POWER Jan07 Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 Jul30 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
7  COMMON BOND Jan07 Dec11 Nov02 Sep30 Jul17 (reed r)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
8  CURRENT Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Sep10 Jul16 (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 12.00 13% 6.50    
9  SLICKED BACK Jan07 Dec11 Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 (gly)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAX EXPRESS Jan04 Dec17 Nov24 Oct05 Sep14 (lauer michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00    
11  CHANTRY FLATS Jan20 Jan01 Sep14 Jul17 Jun18 (newton )DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
12  UNION GEN. GEORGE Jan06 Dec17       (delacour arna)GILLIGAN JACK 124 30.00    
 
TP-8   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLANKET OF ROSES Dec29 Dec11 Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  DOWN HOME KITTEN Jan25 Dec28 Dec08 Oct11 Sep28 (antonuik jer)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
3  LORD REVELSTOKE Dec28 Dec14 Dec03 Nov09 Oct12 (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  DAHIK Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep16 (harrison e)OUZTS W 120 10.00    
SCR  DRAFT CAPITAL Dec29 Nov30 Oct24 Sep05 Jun25 (van)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  PAUPING Dec22 Nov30 Oct18 Sep27 Sep06 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 120 8.00    
7  TEXAS GANO Jan14 Dec15 Oct04 Sep23 Aug17 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00    
8  HONKY TONK HERO Jan11 Dec22 Nov28 Oct27 Sep02 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
9  HIGH POWERED Oct11 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  DELFT BLUE Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Oct19 Oct07 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
11  SAVING MAMA Jan18 Jan07 Dec16 Nov03 Oct11 (morelos mateo)BECKMAN ALICE 113 30.00    
12  EL CHEAPO Jan11 Dec29 Jul15 Jun01 May24 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.