Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/9)-(7/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/9)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/9)-(1/3/6)-(1/11/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/11)-(1/3/6/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/11/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/11/2/5)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/11/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/11/2/5)-(1/11/2/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/11/2/5)-(1/11/2/5/10)-(1/11/2/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/11/2/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/11/2/5)-(5/6/3)-(7/5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/9)-(5/6/3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(3/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/3)-(3/2/1/5)-(4/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-6   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5/8)-(3/2/1/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(4/6)-(13/3/8/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(13/3/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TP-8   WIN (13/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/3/8/5)-(13/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/3/8/5)-(13/3/8/5)-(13/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGGESTED Dec31 Dec08 Nov02 Oct05 Sep08 (johnston rebe)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
SCR  APACHE Jan04 Dec12 Nov21 May11 Apr27 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
3  CUT GLASS Jan04 Dec17 Nov02 Sep14 Aug23 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00    
SCR  POWELL Dec16 Nov17 Sep27 Sep02 Aug05 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
5  GRACEFUL KITTEN Jan04 Dec08 Oct18 Sep14 Aug15 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 9% 9.50    
6  DRAGON DREW Jan04 Dec17 Dec08 Oct20 Sep30 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Dec08 Oct06 Sep12 Jul13 Jul04 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  IMPROBABLE STORY Nov30 Nov12 Sep30 Sep21 Aug11 (king l)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
9  CHICKS FOR FREE Dec17 Nov19 Aug12 Jul19 Jul01 (manley steve)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  PACHI Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Sep20 Sep02 (martinez a)MCKEE J 120 10.00    
 
TP-2   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR OAK Dec11 Nov12 Oct27 Oct02 Sep08 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 31% 2.30    
2  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Jan06 Dec03 Oct25 Sep29 Sep13 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
3  BLESS THE KITTEN Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep02 Aug17 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  GOOD ON YA Dec31 Dec03 Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 (londono )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Dec14 Nov20 Nov13 Oct22 Oct02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 120 30.00    
6  HEMP HEMP HURRAY Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 Oct03 May24 (cline c)MCKEE J 120 30.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  CAN'TBETEMALL Oct27 Sep08 Aug24 Aug05 Jul04 (grubbs jami)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Dec16 Dec01 Sep28 Sep02 Aug24 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
9  NIP N TUCK Nov22 Sep29 Aug20 Aug03 Jun20 (contreras ci)HALDAR J 120 15.00    
10  GREY STREAK Nov09 Oct04 Aug06 Jun03 Mar02 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
11  CAN'T HIDE FROM ME Dec03 Nov16 Oct12 Sep13 Aug19 (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 ★    
12  RAISON KARTER Dec28 Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep14 (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
 
TP-3   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO LINE Dec16 Nov27 Oct28 Oct09 Sep28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  CON ON THE RUN Dec28 Dec13 Jun09 Feb19 Jan14 (chapman)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
3  DESOTO'S WAR Dec22 Dec05 Nov17 Oct14 Sep23 (bright derrick)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
4  FEELING IT Dec21 Dec08 Oct13 Oct05 Sep01 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00    
5  MARKET DEVELOPMENT Dec21 Sep30 Sep13 Aug31 Aug05 (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 6% 16.50    
6  RAF Dec21 Jul19 Jun24 Jun11 May31 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
7  CAJUN MANDATE Nov18 Oct05 Aug20 Aug05 Jul24 (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
8  SAVING MAMA Jan07 Dec16 Nov03 Oct11 Sep30 (morelos mateo)BECKMAN ALICE 113 50.00    
9  BOLD ADVENTURE Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Oct10 Aug28 (peterson annet)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
10  CHANGE DIRECTION Dec21 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun14 (watkins m)OUZTS W 120 15.00 ★    
11  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Dec17 Oct26 Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 (radosevi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 17% 5.00    
12  O CIGANO Dec21 Sep27 Sep01 Aug12 Jul22 (roberson denni)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP Dec17 Oct11 Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
SCR  GOOD ONE Dec21 Nov30 Oct25 Sep13 May11 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
TP-4   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADBAND Nov25 Oct21 Sep14 Aug13 Jul08 (taylor brent)FELIX E 122 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of GOLDBUD by BUDDHA)
SCR  REVERB Dec15 Nov07 Sep30 Sep13 Aug25 (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PIANIST by MORE THAN READY)
3  PORONUI Jan01 Sep14 Aug04 Jul06 May14 (glyshaw t)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DOTHRAKI QUEEN by PURE PRIZE)
4  MEGAN'S NOEL Dec15 Nov16 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (dob)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 30.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PRACTICALY PERFECT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  SPEARS MILL Dec22         (arnold )DE CRUZ 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SEA QUEEN by LEMON DROP KID)
6  MISSONI Dec01 Sep08 Aug24 Jul06 May30 (devaux cheri)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE (GB) out of TRUE STYLE by TRUE COLORS)
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Oct26 Aug12 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 122 6.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of AWESOME FLEET by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  SPIRIT DANCE Jan01 Dec15 Jul21 Jul02   (glyshaw tim)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DANCE WITH DOVES by A.P. INDY)
9  WISHING ON A STAR Sep25 Aug20 Jul10 Jun17   (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MEDIA FIRE by BERNARDINI)
 
TP-5   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GARDEN BELLE         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of GARDEN DISTRICT by DIXIE UNION)
2  PUBLIC GARDEN         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of I'LL SHOW ME by BERNARDINI)
3  HEART SPIN         (tomlinson)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FRIVOLITY by WILD AGAIN)
4  GRANNY LAW         (kenneally )CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIRTY RED by NASTY AND BOLD)
5  DARING DO         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
6  SWEET SWEETFANTASY Dec21 Nov26 Oct20 Sep17   (courville)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of POR QUE' TE QUIERO by A.P. INDY)
7  WILD ACCLAIM Dec21         (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by FLATTER out of PRODICIOUS FACTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  WHO RUNS THE WORLD         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LUCY N ETHEL by DURING)
9  LADY LOWERY         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LAST DANCE by REVOLUTIONARY)
10  ALWAYS LAUGHING Dec15 Oct13 Sep17 Aug14   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of JUST JOKING by PERSONAL HOPE)
11  PIGALLE         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of HEELS by FLATTER)
12  BRYLEE Nov18         (med)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 50.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BLUSTER by STORM CAT)
SCR  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP         (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of PAY LADY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  A STAR FOR CORA Jan01 Nov22 Nov10     (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of GLORIOUS SKY by ALDEBARAN)
 
TP-6   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Nov05 Sep15 Jul17 Jun25 May28 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 8.00 14% 5.90    
2  NIGHT TIME Dec16 Nov05 Sep13 Jul17 Jun10 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  BAD BEAT BRIAN Dec16 Oct08 Sep13 Aug07 Jul23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  RUSTLER Sep13 May29       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
5  READY FOR A FIGHT Jan01 Dec11 Nov24 Oct23   (casse ma)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  FRIAR LAURENCE Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
7  BAKERS BAY Dec16 Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 Apr02 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00    
8  BLUE KENTUCKY Jan01 Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 Sep08 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 ★    
 
TP-7   01/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCENIC MASTERPIECE Dec21 Nov27 Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 5.00    
2  BRITTLE AND YOO Dec21 Nov27 Oct10 Sep22 Aug18 (hess b)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  WITH BELLS ON Jul23 Jun25 May28 Apr30   (mckeever andre)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★    
4  RAVELLA Dec15 Oct28       (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 36% 1.70    
5  WORRY FREE Dec01 Sep14       (sti)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50    
6  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Oct01 Jul24 Apr15     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00 30% 2.40    
7  IN MY OPINION Dec14 Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 Aug29 (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
SCR  SAKE (FR) Dec21 Oct13 Jun25 Jun04   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00 6% 15.20    
9  FOXY DIVA Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 (wojczynski ju)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00    
10  QUARIA BRAVA Nov03 Oct14 Aug25 Jul29 Jun29 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
11  STORY HOUR Dec29 Nov24 Feb13 Jan09   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
12  WICKED INTENT Dec21 Oct24 Aug25 Aug06 Jun21 (caramori caio)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
13  SOCIAL MANDATE Dec29 Nov27 Nov10 Oct20 Oct08 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
14  HATTIE M Nov30 Nov10 Sep30     (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
 
TP-8   01/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN TAPITURE Dec29 Dec03 Nov20 Nov06 Oct05 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00    
2  FOR THE BISCUIT Nov22 Nov10       (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00    
3  MS. THE LAW Jan05 Dec17 Oct21     (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  YOGA         (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
5  RECITE         (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 5% 18.90    
6  REINA BELLA Dec29 Sep29 Aug26     (brownfi)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
7  LUTION Dec30 Dec03       (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 20.00    
8  NOW HERES THE PLAN         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 20.00 5% 18.30    
9  TESHIMA Dec03 Oct30       (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
10  PROUD PERFORMER Nov20         (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
11  ALL THE ENVY Nov16 Sep13 Aug23     (catalano )BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
12  STORY CHANNEL Dec11 Nov16       (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
13  CHIPPEWA Jul31 Jul17 Jun25     (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FAVORITE         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 5% 18.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.