Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(6/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/2/9/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(3/2/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/4)-(3/2/9/5/6)-(3/5/4/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/2/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/5/6)-(3/2/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/5/6)-(3/2/9/5/6)-(3/2/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/5/6)-(3/5/4/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/5/6)-(3/5/4/2/9)-(1/2/8/7/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/5/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2/9)-(3/5/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2/9)-(3/5/4/2/9)-(3/5/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/4/2/9)-(1/2/8/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/2/9)-(1/2/8/7/5)-(5/3/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/2/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/7/5)-(1/2/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/7/5)-(1/2/8/7/5)-(1/2/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/8/7/5)-(5/3/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/7/5)-(5/3/7/2)-(8/9/7/10/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-7   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(8/9/7/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (8/9/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/10/1)-(8/9/7/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/10/1)-(8/9/7/10/1)-(8/9/7/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Sep28 Aug11 Jun23 May16 Apr19 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
2  WILD IRIS Sep20 Aug06       (duggan p)LUZZI J 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
3  AZTECA STARDUST Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEWILDERED Aug11 Jul04 May27 May02   (levine bru)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
5  LA INDECENTE Sep26 Jun20 May25 Nov10 Oct21 (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
6  MILLIE JEAN Nov05 Sep21 Aug25 Feb18   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 48% 1.10    
 
BAQ-2   10/24/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA TROUBLE Oct05 Mar10 Jan19 Dec10 Nov12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
2  ALLURE OF MONEY Sep23 Jul08 May27 Nov15 Oct16 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
3  COINAGE Aug30 Jul13 Oct15 Oct01 Jul02 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
4  TWO'S A CROWD Sep28 Aug29 Jul28 Jul14 Nov30 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENGINEER EMPIRE Dec17 Nov18 Mar26 Feb26   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
6  BOURBON CHASE Sep28 Aug25 Feb17 Dec30 Nov18 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHASING DAYLIGHT Sep27 Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 Jun20 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00    
SCR  MOONLIT WEEKEND Sep19 Aug07 Jun27 May17 Apr25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
2  SILENT MELODY Oct04 Sep02 Aug03 Jul11 Jun14 (abreu j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 7% 13.90    
3  SWEET ANNIVERSARY Oct02 Sep16 Aug29 Jul30 Jul04 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
4  STARRY MIDNIGHT Oct12 Sep19 Sep02 Jul24 Jul11 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MALU Jul24 Jul17 Jun12 May23 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
6  LAST GLORY Sep27 Jul14 Jun20 May19 Nov25 (arenas mar)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
7  NOLITA Sep27 Aug29 Sep24 Aug12 Jun16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/24/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSK Sep26 Aug03 Jun15 May18 Oct29 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
2  EVIE DOES IT Sep27 Sep14 Jul07 Jun10 May28 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  TURRIGA Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 May25 Apr25 (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  PRINCESS GLADYS Sep27 Sep14 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
5  JUSTHEART Sep20 Aug28 Aug01 Jun21 May19 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 11% 7.80    
6  MY CARA MIA MINE Sep22 Jul18 May19 Jul23 Jun23 (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  VALENTINE GIFT Sep20 Aug17 Jul18 Jun15 Dec14 (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
8  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 Jun23 May27 (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
9  MISS BOURBON Sep20 Aug17 Apr18 Mar17 Feb19 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  FOOLISH CHALLENGE Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 Jul12 Jun01 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 4.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Aug02 Jun16       (metivier richar)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
2  SUNDAY TIFF Jul14 Jun16 May18     (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) Jul19 Jun01 May04 Mar24 Feb14 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  ITS SATISFACTUAL Aug31 Jul16 Mar28 Jan26 Nov29 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 9% 9.90    
5  STAMP OF APPROVAL Jun16 Mar10 Feb11     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
6  MYSTICAL POWERS         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
7  PROMDATEBONNIE Sep15 Feb18       (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
8  DAZZLING CRUISER Aug23 Jun16       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
9  Z TRAIN (IRE) Aug02 Mar21 Feb16 Nov04 Sep02 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP Aug31         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 3.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE BEAR         (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 3.50    
1A  WESTERN WOLF Sep28         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
2  AMERICA'S HONOR Sep28 Aug31 Aug22 Jun21   (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  BRODERICK         (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
4  ARCADIAN         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
5  READY SET TWIRL Sep28         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DAW SAMAA         (kantarmaci ilka)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
7  CHRIS'S REVENGE Sep28         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  SKYLOFT Oct04         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 20% 3.90    
9  RASTA GIRL         (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 116 15.00    
10  TAPWRITS TEMPER Aug31 Aug21 Aug08 Jul12 May24 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 12.00    
11  WOLF BEACH Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 Jul27   (delgado h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORREST CITY Aug23 Jul27 Nov10 Oct12 Sep10 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50    
2  LEDDY Aug23 Jul27 Dec16 Nov12 Nov04 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL GRANDE O Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 Oct29 Oct07 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
4  REGISTER Nov18 Nov04 Sep28 Mar18 Feb18 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
5  CLASSIFY Sep21 Aug23 Jul19 May27 May04 (joseph a)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Oct05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Apr28 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
7  TOXIC GRAY Sep27 Jul05 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOR SOME REASON Sep15 Aug22 Jul28 Jun09 May09 (donk david)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/24/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUREST PERFORMANCE Sep14 Jul26 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROHAN Sep27 Sep13       (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
3  FELINE TREASURE Sep27 Jul26 Jun28 May12 Apr26 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
4  JUDGE RULES Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun28 May25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
5  LANDAUER Sep27 Sep01 Mar21 Feb25   (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  ALBEDO Sep22 Aug18 Jul18 Nov03 Oct14 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
7  MAKEYOURMOMENT Sep27 Aug28       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 10% 9.50    
8  CATTANI Sep27 Aug11 Oct05 Jul30   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
9  BOMB SQUAD Sep21 Sep02 Aug01 Nov05 Jul29 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 32% 2.20    
10  ISOMARSHALL Sep26 Aug28 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET TONE Sep27 Aug11 Jul26 Jun22 May25 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 4.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Oct13 Sep14 Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.