Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - June 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(7/6/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(7/6/10/4)-(9/1/8/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-2   WIN (7/6/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/4)-(7/6/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/4)-(7/6/10/4/5)-(7/6/10/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/10/4)-(9/1/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10/4)-(9/1/8/7/5)-(6/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-3   WIN (9/1/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5)-(9/1/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/8/7/5)-(6/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/7/5)-(6/8/4)-(2/4/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-4   WIN (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/4)-(6/8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/4)-(6/8/4/9)-(6/8/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/4)-(2/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4)-(2/4/3/6)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/6)-(7/4/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(7/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(7/4/9)-(5/8/7/11) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-7   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/11/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/11/8/9)-(7/4/11/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/9)-(5/8/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9)-(5/8/7/11)-(9/4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-8   WIN (5/8/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/11)-(5/8/7/1/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/11)-(5/8/7/1/11)-(5/8/7/1/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/7/11)-(9/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-9   WIN (9/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/7)-(9/4/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/7)-(9/4/2/7/3)-(9/4/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERCULES May19 Apr28 Apr13 Apr07 Mar27 (james gera)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
2  APOLLO RISING May12 Mar29 Mar02 Jan12 Dec07 (walden wi)TORRES A 118 1.80 38% 1.70    
3  CAMP DADDY Apr28 Apr06 Feb29 Feb03 Jan01 (hernandez ar)TORRES A 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  HUGE BIGLY Apr05 Mar21 Feb02 Nov09 Oct13 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.50    
SCR  W W CRAZY May25 Apr20 Apr05 Mar23 Feb19 (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
6  NAVY SOUL May16 Apr14 Nov30 Oct08 Sep19 (pittman bonn)MONCADA IRVING 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   06/07/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHURNING BERNI Apr27 Mar14 Feb13 Dec21 Nov25 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  TAP MY DESIRE         (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of I LIKE TO WHIM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MARINA GAMBA Apr24         (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FAIRYTALE ENDING by GALILEO)
4  CARNANE (IRE) May01 Mar23 Feb24     (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of JABHAAT by HARD SPUN)
5  SANCTIFY May18 Apr17 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  TONALITE May01 Apr05 Oct27 Aug18   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TONALIST out of LEGAL LIMIT by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  NOVARA Apr19 Mar09 Aug26     (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  DREAM ON STORMY May11 Mar28 Nov01 Oct07 Sep15 (winston d)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
9  MY SEXY BLONDE Mar07 Feb21 Jan10 Nov25   (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BARBETTE by HIGH YIELD)
10  SEMANTICS Apr21 Mar07       (medina rober)TORRES A 125 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of DINNER WITH D C by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER May09 Apr05 Feb21 Oct27 Oct06 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 1.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GUINEVERE Apr05 Feb21       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  RACONTEUSE May09 Apr13 Mar23 Feb14 Jul23 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  BIG DIG May14 Apr21 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 (bahena i)SANTANA JR 125 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  PURRING Apr27 Apr06       (husak gary)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FOREVER POPULAR by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  STAY LOST Apr21 Oct07 Jun24 May13 Apr19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
 
CD-3   06/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) May26 Apr11 Mar27 Mar06 Feb18 (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 17% 4.70    
2  LADY JUNE May02 Apr10 Oct30 Sep06   (cast)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
3  SALLY BALI Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 Apr22   (hamilton wil)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00    
4  GATHER THE FACTS May02 Mar10 Feb18 Jan06 Oct29 (barnett c)RIQUELME J 125 12.00    
5  LEGAL DECEIVER May24 May09 Apr12 Nov25 Oct29 (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHERE IS SHE (GB) May16         (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
7  EVOCATION May30 May14 Apr20 Feb21 Jan27 (caramori cai)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NO CONSEQUENCES May12 Mar15 Dec24 Sep02   (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 13% 6.50    
9  BLUE VORTEX Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 (amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 108 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
CD-4   06/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN WOMEN         (walsh bre)TORRES A 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
2  DARE TO FLY         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  MRS WORLDWIDE         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
4  SLANG May17         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 6% 15.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  DON'T BLINK         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
6  MURPHY GIRL May17         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CURLED by CURLIN)
SCR  TALKSALOT         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of HARLAN SHOWGIRL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MINTY May02         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MCKINZIE out of MONEYBRU by TALK IS MONEY)
9  MISS ELLE May02         (medina rober)TORRES A 119 12.00 ★    
  (by SHANCELOT out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
10  BOWTIE OR NOTIE         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
CD-5   06/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICK MUNNY Apr30 Apr18 Mar09 Dec17 Dec01 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
2  MARISSA'S LADY Apr18 Jan27 Dec02 Oct22 Sep18 (morey e)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  L J'S EMMA Apr18 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  BEAUTY OF THE SEA Apr28 Oct19 Aug12 Jul15 Jun03 (orseno jos)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  TONY ANN May03 Nov04 Oct15 Sep09 Jul28 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.00    
6  HIDEKI Apr07 Mar20 Oct01 Sep22 Jul16 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JILL JITTERBUG Apr18 Dec02 Nov03 Sep18 Sep02 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00    
8  BLAME DAY Apr30 Mar30 Mar09 Feb10 Dec07 (lovell miche)TORRES A 121 20.00    
 
CD-6   06/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON May02 Apr12 Jul04 Jun09 May06 (catalano way)TORRES A 123 15.00    
2  GOLD LUCK May12 Apr07 Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 41% 1.50    
3  UNDERHILL'S TAB May02 Mar30 Feb24 Jan01 Dec09 (medina ro)TORRES A 123 3.00    
4  BATON ROUGE (IRE) May05 Mar15       (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 125 2.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  KATTATH May10 Feb23 Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 20.00    
6  VINCO Apr26 Oct08 Aug18 Sep13 Aug13 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ABADIN May09 Apr12 Nov02 Sep28 Aug19 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.50    
 
CD-7   06/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF SMARTY May23 Apr27 Mar27 Mar06 Feb01 (burton roger)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00    
2  BOITANO May01 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
3  SANT' ANTIMO May16 May02 Apr11 Mar01 Feb03 (esquivel )LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
4  ROYAL ACT May23 May05 Apr21 Mar22 Mar08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  RACKATAPTAP May23 Apr05 Mar07 Jan26 Dec29 (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT May01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 (camejo jose )TORRES A 118 12.00    
7  LEBLON Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Dec09 Jan27 (simms jr)CASTANON L 118 3.00 70% 0.40    
8  DOCTOR NASH May12 Mar30 Feb01 Dec09 Nov12 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 ★    
9  PINEDALE May16 Mar28 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  ATKINS May01 Apr07 Mar07 Jan12 Dec17 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
11  GREY STREAK May01 Mar22 Feb01 Dec01 Oct25 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 ★    
 
CD-8   06/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE POETRY Apr13 Feb15 Jul31     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  SWISS SLANG Apr26 Mar07 Feb07 Jan14 Dec10 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
3  CHAPERONE Apr20 Jan28 Jan01 Nov30 Nov12 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
4  RAGUEL Apr21 Mar01 Jan05 Nov25 Oct28 (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 12.00    
5  KID CAIRO Apr27 Apr05       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 44% 1.30    
6  FORTUNE SELLER May11 Oct26 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
7  BRILLIANT BERTI May02 Feb15       (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 5% 17.50    
8  OSCAR'S WORLD Apr05 Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
9  DEBT PAID May01 Mar24 Feb13 Jan12 Nov22 (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT Apr13 Feb17 Dec02 Oct29 Sep28 (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
11  FUNNYFLAME May11 Mar24 Mar07 Feb17 Jan20 (calhoun will)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  BEAN MACHINE Mar24 Feb10 Jan05     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  TOUGH LITTLE NUT Apr26 Mar24 Oct26 Sep10 Aug20 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  MUGATU May18 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.50    
 
CD-9   06/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AVAILABILITY May01 Apr06 Mar23     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
2  OVERSTATEMENT May24         (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 14% 6.00    
3  TRACK LIGHT Apr24 Mar08 Nov23 Oct18   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00 ★    
4  BOOKIE BRENT May18 Apr06       (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
5  PHENOMENAL DREAM May11 Apr20 Mar28 Feb09 Jan27 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00    
6  MR SCATTER May19 Mar07 Jan12 Dec08   (correas )SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
7  STRASSE May18 Apr20 Mar07 Feb16 Aug06 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG VELVET May11         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
9  BRICKLAYER Apr30 Apr18 Feb17 Dec21   (mccarthy mich)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS May30 Aug05 Jun30     (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
11  QUIET RUSH May01 Apr10 Mar08 Nov01 Oct01 (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.