Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(1/2/6)-(4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/3/1)-(7/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(7/4/1)-(5/8/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(5/8/6)-(6/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/7/6)-(5/8/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(6/5/7)-(1/9/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(1/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(1/9/3)-(4/7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/3)-(1/9/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/3)-(1/9/3)-(1/9/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/3)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3)-(4/7/3/2)-(3/9/11/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (4/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/2)-(3/9/11/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (3/9/11/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/11/4/2)-(3/9/11/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/11/4/2)-(3/9/11/4/2)-(3/9/11/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP IT SEXY Apr20 Mar15 Mar04 Feb07 Dec23 (englehar)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 3.50    
1A  HYPNOCURRENCY Feb17 Jan19 May19 Apr23 Mar12 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50    
2  LOVE LIKE CRAZY Apr20 Mar29 Feb03 Dec28 Dec03 (rice linda)LUZZI J 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  TWO REDHEADS Mar22 Oct26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  ARMY OF THOUGHTS Apr20 Mar22 Feb18 Feb02 Jan07 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  AFILADA Apr07 Mar14 Feb19 Jan07 Nov25 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00    
6  SHAYMYNAME Jan07 Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Sep15 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00    
7  SHASI Apr20 Mar22 Feb19 Jan07 Dec10 (donk david)RIVERA R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-2   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN GRACE Apr05 Mar09       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
2  DAME CINCO Apr14 Mar17 Feb02 Jan05 Dec31 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  LADY MINE Feb29 Jan19 Dec29 Jun16 Apr29 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00    
4  ADELIESE'S SMILE Jul08 Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
5  TIMELY CONQUEST Mar07 Feb03 Nov16 Aug27 Aug11 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
6  KITTEN'S APPEAL Apr18 Feb24 Jan05 Nov26 Apr16 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 123 6.00 6% 16.20    
 
BAQ-3   05/03/2024 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Sheepshead Bay Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARNAC (FR) Oct07 Sep02 Jul01 Jun11 May07 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PASSING BURG by SAGEBURG (IRE))
2  STAR FORTRESS (IRE) Apr13 Mar09 Jan27 Nov23   (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LADY AQUITAINE by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  ROYALTY INTEREST (FR) Mar16 Feb10 Jun02 Mar11   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 22% 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DUSKY QUEEN by SHAMARDAL)
4  MCKULICK (GB) Mar30 Nov04 Oct07 Sep02 Aug03 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 25% 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
5  LA MEHANA (FR) Mar30         (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50    
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
 
BAQ-4   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX PACK SENORITA Apr11 Jan07 Nov23 Oct13 Aug06 (rodriguez ru)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUCHO MAMA MIA Sep15 Aug19 Jul17 May18 Apr27 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 123 20.00    
3  JAY'S LOVE Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 Jan05   (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00    
4  ROMAN GODDESS Mar07 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Dec14 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
5  STATUS SEEKER Apr11 Jun02       (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 5.00 ★    
6  DAZZY Mar15 Oct20 Sep03 Aug12 Jun12 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50    
7  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Apr13 Feb28 Dec20 Nov23 Oct12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.00 51% 0.90    
 
BAQ-5   05/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINSUN Nov16 Sep17 Aug16 Jul01 May11 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
2  CABLE READY Apr14 Nov07 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 118 20.00    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Mar16 Feb15 Jan10 Dec16 Oct13 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50    
4  WHISTLER'S HONOR Jan21 Sep17 Aug27 Jul02 Jul15 (abreu jor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 6.00    
5  SONIC SPEED Feb08 Jan18 Dec22 Oct13 Sep22 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
6  LEFTEMBEHIND Dec16 Nov16 Aug31 Aug20 Jul30 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LAUREL VALLEY Apr06 Dec17 Nov18 Oct26 Sep16 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 ★    
8  VETERANS BEACH Apr12 Mar08 Dec29 Nov11 Oct20 (maker mich)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13% 6.40    
 
BAQ-6   05/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY YODA Mar02 Jan20 Dec15 Nov17 Sep21 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
2  REPO ROCKS Jun10 May05 Apr08 Feb25 Jan28 (dutrow rich)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 1.00    
3  QUALITY CHIC Mar30 Mar21 Mar02 Jan26 Dec31 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 8.00    
SCR  STOLEN BASE Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
5  ACCRETIVE Apr07 Jan27 Dec02 Oct28 Oct01 (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  GENERAL JIM Aug11 Jun10 May06 Feb04 Jan01 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  NIMITZ CLASS Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Oct17 Sep23 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/03/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FELTRINELLI Sep22 Aug25       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FANTASTIC STYLE by FIGHTING FIT)
2  MAN WITH NO NAME         (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
  (by TUNWOO out of SWIFT LADY by NEPAL)
3  RESEARCH RESULTS         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MIA AND MOLLY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SIG Feb03 Oct08 Aug31 Jul08 May29 (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 12.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Apr21 Apr11 Mar09 Feb01 Jan19 (gutierrez jam)OLVER MADISON 124 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  FROSTELLE         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
7  FINAL EDITION (IRE)         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOST GIFTED by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ME WISE MAGIC         (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of STRANGE MAGIC by LAWYER RON)
9  SIDE EYE Mar02 Feb17 Apr23 Mar19 Dec17 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUANAH COUNTY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  DONEGAL MOMENTUM         (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
 
BAQ-8   05/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Westchester Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADERO Mar18 Jan30 Dec20 Nov26 Oct04 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of AND YOU CAN by ISTAN)
2  WINIT Apr07 Mar07 Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of I LIKE TO WHIM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  MESSIER Mar30 Jan27 Dec07 Jan28 Dec26 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 8% 11.70    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
4  POST TIME Apr06 Feb17 Jan28 Nov25 Oct21 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.00 45% 1.20    
  (by FROSTED out of VIELSALM by FAIRBANKS)
5  WHITTINGTON PARK Apr06 Feb24 Jan13 Aug13 Jul01 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
6  DR ARDITO Feb24 Dec29 Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
7  CHARGE IT Nov04 Oct01 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by TAPIT out of I'LL TAKE CHARGE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
BAQ-9   05/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Apr11 Mar09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec02 (rodriguez ru)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PAPER KITE by FLY A KITE (IRE))
SCR  JUDGE RULES Apr13 Mar14 Feb18 Dec29 Nov17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS VIOLET by OFFICER)
2  LAST DRINK Mar24 Jan18       (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of I DRINK ALONE by INTIDAB)
3  MY LIFE STORY Mar30 Mar06 Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of NAVY CRUISER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
4  MASTER FREUD Mar07         (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREUD out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
5  DAKOTA COUNTRY Mar23         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DAKOTA KID by CONFIDE)
6  A LISTER Mar21 Mar03 Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 (pringle edmund)LUZZI J 125 30.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of CITY VICE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  MUGSY FURY Apr13 Mar21 Feb23 Jan05 Dec14 (davis ro)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
8  OUTTAWATERBURY Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 Nov12   (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
9  UNION TRAIL Mar16 Aug09 Jul04 May20 Mar12 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FOREST TRAIL by FOREST WILDCAT)
10  TONY O Nov19 Nov04 Oct27 Aug23 Jul21 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 125 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
11  ENGLISH CASTLE Nov03         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 7% 13.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SEA COAST by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
SCR  FORGONE         (summers chad)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PASSE by DIXIE UNION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.