Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/4/6)-(6/2/9/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/2/9/5)-(3/7/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5)-(6/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/9/5)-(3/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/5)-(3/7/2/4)-(7/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/4)-(7/8/4)-(8/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(8/6/2)-(9/3/4/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2/1/5)-(8/6/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(9/3/4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(9/3/4/1/2)-(4/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-7   WIN (9/3/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/1/2)-(9/3/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/1/2)-(9/3/4/1/2)-(9/3/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/4/1/2)-(4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/1/2)-(4/2/5)-(1/4/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(1/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/9)-(1/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/9)-(1/4/7/9)-(1/4/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET IT TO MATTHEW         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)
2  ARMOR OF CATCLAW         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of PUTTIN ON MY ARMOR by VERRAZANO)
3  CUANDO Jan27         (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
4  STATES UNITED Dec29 Oct01       (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
5  REASONED ANALYSIS Dec08 Oct01       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WE LOVE LUCY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  SARDIS Jan28 Nov17       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 19% 4.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-2   02/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Jan27 Dec16 Nov04 Oct08 Sep22 (martin car)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
2  IRIDESCENT Jan27 Jan05 Nov30 Oct29 Aug31 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  GUANARE Jan27 Nov30 Oct07 Aug26   (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.20    
4  STOLEN MAGIC Jan27 Nov17 Sep28 Sep02   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  EL DIVINO NINO Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 Nov24 Nov03 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
6  DUNE ROAD Jan07 Dec08       (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  AUGUSTINE RED Feb19 Jan28 Jan05 Nov11 Oct13 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-3   02/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCH (GB) Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 Nov17 Oct14 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
2  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Jul01 Jun10 Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 19% 4.10    
3  HOT ROD RUMBLE Jan05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct01 Sep02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
4  FACE ABARRIO Feb03 Jan01 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
5  ANTHRACITE Feb03 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Nov26 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MR BOB Dec29 Dec09 Nov23 Oct15 Aug25 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 50% 1.00    
SCR  BAYOU SPIRIT Jan13 Dec30 Dec16 Oct27 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
8  BAD LARRY Feb02 Jan06 Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
9  NECROMANCER Feb02 Jan04 Apr15 Mar10 Dec29 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   02/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELF ISOLATION Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART Jan14 Jun16 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.50    
2  MALIBU MOONSHINE Jan28 Nov24 Jul29 Feb05 Dec30 (bak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
3  AIN'T BROKE Jan27 Dec14 Nov26 Sep21 Aug18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  CAIRO SUGAR Feb10 Dec28 Dec01 Oct29 Oct06 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOVIE MOXY Feb10 Dec01 Jun24 Jun16 May26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
6  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) Jan06 Dec01 Oct27     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
7  SWEET WILLEMINA Feb10 Jan24 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 27% 2.60    
 
AQU-5   02/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICKFLASH Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct14 (chichakly a)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 8.00    
2  MOUNT TRAVERS Jan28 Jan18 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 15.00    
3  FIRST DEPUTY Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 Nov21 Oct30 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
4  BRAZILLIONAIRE Dec30 Nov30 Sep13 Aug02 Jul01 (barker ed)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00 7% 13.50    
5  WINNING DRIVE Dec09 Nov30 Nov25 Nov11 Sep28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
6  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Feb10 Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 Nov21 (jones ed)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
7  DONTBELATE Feb10 Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 Oct21 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
8  CHARLIE FIVE O Feb10 Jan31 Jan01 Nov02 Oct14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MR PHIL Feb19 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 Sep30 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00    
 
AQU-6   02/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRON'S BOUNCE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  SORORITY PRANK Feb03 Dec29 Nov04 Oct04 Sep04 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 5% 17.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ALPHA CAT         (abreu r)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of ALPHA KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  MORTGAGE RATE Jan13         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUMAKEMEBLUSH by VIOLENCE)
5  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of JADE EYED by FRIENDLY LOVER)
6  BOB JOHN RAY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SHORE TIME Feb03 Jan07 Dec29 Dec10 Sep14 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CHANTILLY LADY by SHORE BREEZE)
8  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Feb03 Dec16       (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
9  LANDAUER         (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of VOLTAIRINE by ARCHARCHARCH)
10  AELFGAR Feb03         (sells rac)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
AQU-7   02/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURBSTONE Jul21 May28 Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
2  BOURBON CALLING Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 Nov02 Oct01 (garber ow)VARGAS A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRAFALGAR Jan27 Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 Oct01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 12% 7.30    
4  LORD CAPTAIN Feb02 Aug02 Jul23 May13 Feb23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 12% 7.40    
5  DIVINE ARMOR Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Nov26 Nov11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
6  MONTAUK POINT Jan07 Oct14 Sep02 Jul21 May18 (trites lands)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
7  ALTERNATE REALITY Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov14 Oct08 (cha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 12.00    
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT Jan12 Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
9  DR. BLUTE Dec17 Oct30 Sep18 Aug20 Jul31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  CHAMPIONS DREAM Jan27 Aug26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gander Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BIG TORPEDO Jan13 Dec16 Nov12     (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of U. S. S. O'BRIEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  DOC SULLIVAN Jan19 Dec29 Dec02     (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  BROWN DON'T STOP Jan19 Dec17 Nov03 Oct14   (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of KNIGHT TRAIN by MICROMANAGE)
4  PANDAGATE Dec09 Oct13       (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
5  BALI AMOUR Jan30 Dec04 Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of NEBRASKA by STREET CRY)
6  LIBERTY CENTRAL Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 Nov04 (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
 
AQU-9   02/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK STAR BOY Jan12 Jul20 Jun04     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
2  NOBLE ONE Feb02 Dec10 Nov30 Aug11   (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  BADGE OF WAR Nov14 Oct03       (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
4  UNCLE EDDIE Feb02 Dec29 Sep03 Aug26 Aug04 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00 9% 9.90    
5  CROWN THAT SAINT Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 Oct07 Aug04 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 10.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM EMILY Feb11         (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 110 20.00    
7  MY MAN WOODY Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 Nov10 Nov02 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
8  BROWN AS A BISCUIT Feb11 Feb04 Nov01     (rice linda)LUZZI J 115 15.00    
9  RUDY RUDY RUDY Feb02 Dec10 Nov02 Oct07 Sep14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROSSINGTON Feb05 Dec29 Nov27     (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
SCR  HAIR ON FIRE Jan13 Dec02 Oct05     (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.