Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/8/1/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-2   Win (5/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/9/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (13/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (4/3/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (3/2/9/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  DR. RAY D. Jul07         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SANDS OF WAR         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  PISCIOTTA (GB)         (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
LATER DARLING         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 36% 1.70    
CARINA NEBULA         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jul09 Jun16       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
KINGDOM COME (IRE)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
SCR  FLORIBUNDA         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
WEIGH THE RISKS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SMOOTH WAVES Jul07 Jun11       (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
10  OZARA (IRE)         (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
11  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Jun11         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VINO ROUGE         (dutrow w)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  DANCING SPIRIT Jul17         (rice adam)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
 
SAR-2   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE CALLED         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
CALLE AMADA         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
VALUE AREA         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
SIX PACK SENORITA         (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
WAYS AND MEANS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
SHORE WAR         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
BENTO         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
MANAGING MISCHIEF         (hamm timothy)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT         (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWDING OUT Jun18 May12 Mar11 Feb09 Dec15 (walder r)TORRES A 117 6.00 26% 2.80    
CHROMEPLATED HEART Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 Apr22 Mar11 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
U SHOULD B DANCING Jun10 May14 Apr22 Jul08 Jun12 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
MISS DOMINA Jul19 May19 Mar26 Feb15 Aug04 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
DUFRESNE Jul19 May28 May04 Dec04 Nov19 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan29 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
SCR  SHINFULL Jun25 May29 Apr28 Mar03 Feb05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jun22 May18 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (ginter ray)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
ROJA LIGERA Jun24 May19 Mar24 Jul31 Jul01 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  T MAX Jun17 May13 Feb11 Nov26 Oct30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/06/2023 7260ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIVOLE (FR) Jul01 May18       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
ENSEMBLE (IRE) Jul08 Jun11 Apr28 Mar04 Feb12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Jul04 May26 Apr27 Oct20 Sep05 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50    
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE) Jul01 May27 Jan26 Aug13 Jul01 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
MYRISKYAFFAIR Jul04 May19 Apr22 Nov13 Oct23 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
FEDERALIST PAPERS Jun11 Oct07 Sep01 Jun05 Apr27 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
EVER SUMMER Jul01 Jun01 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 Mar12 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60    
 
SAR-5   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May04 Mar19 (baker charlton)TORRES A 115 3.00    
1A  DURKIN'S CALL Jul02 May04 Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
SOUPER CATCH Jul19 May18 Apr30 Mar22 Mar12 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY Jul22 Jun24 Jun16 May07 Apr13 (chatterpaul n)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00    
GOLDINI Jul27 Jun17 May20 Apr29 Mar26 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SPRINKLEHEAD Jul16 Jun24 May25 Apr29 Apr01 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 4.50    
BURGEE Jul15 Jun23 May24 May07 Mar31 (gaudet lacey)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HAMMERIN AAMER May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
JUMPSTER Jun03 May20 May05 Apr29 Apr01 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE ISLAND         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG)         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PHILANTHROPY         (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
GYPSY TALES Jul07         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
LADY MOSCATO Jul13 Jun16       (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
HELCIA         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICA'S VOW         (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
RUBY QUEEN         (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
BEFORE YOU GO GO         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) May14 Nov06 Aug13     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) Jul08 Nov04 Sep09 Aug21   (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
AVALANCHE IS COMIN Jun24 Jun10 May18 Apr06 Mar17 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 113 50.00 5% 19.00    
BELLESHAZZA Jul03 Jun02 Dec08 Nov20 Oct14 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
GET RESPECT Jun10 Jul23 Jun25 May28   (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  SPIRIT AND FIRE Jun04 Jun17       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
WICKSIEPIXIE Jul07 Jun24       (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  TRES CHIC (ARG) Jul02 May27       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
IT WASN'T ME Jul05 Sep03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
10  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Jul07 Jun02 Aug25     (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  ROSY TOMORROWS Jul05 May29 Apr23 Mar11   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  FANCY STAX Jul03         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
13  VOLATILITY Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 May07 Mar11 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  TOOSHAY Jun03 May14 Apr30 Mar17   (contessa c)RIDER TBA 118 20.00    
SCR  DON'T TELL AMY Jul07 Feb19 Dec18 Oct23   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Adirondack Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARA'S TIME Jun23         (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 50.00    
MAGIC CROSS Jul08         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
HERE U COME AGAIN Jul07         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
BRIGHTWORK Jul02 Apr26       (ortiz alex)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
PRINCESA CELINA May04         (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  SARATOGA SECRET Jul13 Jun23       (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
PRINCESS INDY Jul15         (gonzalez claudi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 30.00    
STREAMING NOW Jun16         (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
COPPER EM Jun30         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
10  BECKY'S JOKER Jul13         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
SAR-9   08/06/2023 7260ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar26 Feb24 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00    
CAN'T FOOL ME Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Apr24 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00    
RUDA Jul22 Jul01 Jun02 Mar01 Feb08 (gonzalez claudio)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
PENTAGON Jul01 Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 Jan28 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  DIVINE WINE Jul02 Jun11 May12 Apr02 Mar12 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
UP HER SLEEVE Jul09 Jun11 May18 Apr21 Feb19 (levine bruce)TORRES A 120 12.00    
SCR  STRAND OF GOLD Mar24 Mar05 Dec11 Sep03 Aug07 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
MISS KRISTY May18 Mar26 Feb17 Jan05 Nov13 (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 125 2.50    
 
SAR-10   08/06/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN MY SHADOW Jul03 May19 Apr22 Feb26 Feb09 (fisher linda)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 30.00    
STOW ON THE WOLD Jun23 Jun01 May06 Oct16 Aug26 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Jun25         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN Jul01 May06 Apr14     (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
GIO'S MAJESTICNESS Jul08         (romero )HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 50.00 5% 19.00    
UNAFFECTED Jun23 Jun01 Apr21 Mar26   (romero raf)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  BARRY THE BUILDER Jul03 Jun03 May13 Nov11 Oct27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  MYLES May19 Apr22 Mar30     (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
PRIX DE WEST Apr27         (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9% 10.40    
10  SILENT RUNNING Jun03 May13 Jan01 Nov20 Sep24 (bond ja)TORRES A 119 20.00 7% 12.90    
11  FAST STUDY Jul01 May13 Jan29 Dec30 Oct22 (schettino )DAVIS A 118 15.00    
12  ZAPRUDER Jul03 Jun01 Dec17 Dec08 Oct16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  HARI Jun03         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  FLUORESCENT BAY Jul07 Jun03 May13 Apr01   (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
SCR  BERNARDINO Jan27 Nov20 Oct21 Sep02 Jul15 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
SCR  THATSMYBOXER Jul09 Jun18       (donk david)TORRES A 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.