Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/4)-(7/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/5/9/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/5/9/6)-(7/4/5/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/6/2/3)-(1/7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3/1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3/1/9)-(2/5/3/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/9/10)-(7/1/3/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZIPPER ZAPPER May06 Mar15 Feb25 Nov19 Oct12 (bryant donald )HIRALDO JOHN 121 15.00    
2  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Jan11 Jan04 (gallimore tr)ROLDAN FELISHA 114 15.00 ★    
3  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Apr14 Mar26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 (barrera osca)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
4  THEJIGISUP Apr19 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb10 (torres r)COTTO L 121 8.00    
5  ONE MORE SCORE May07 Apr15 Mar27 Feb18 Jan12 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 10.00    
6  ENSIGN PARKER Mar02 Feb03 Jan22 Dec14 Nov18 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
7  TIEMPO PERFECTO Apr19 Apr11 Mar13 Feb20 Jan25 (hogan william)PEREZ M 116 20.00    
8  MR. EXTENSION Mar17 Feb20 Jan31 Aug29 Aug08 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
9  BAYOU SHACK Apr29 Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 Jan16 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
 
MTH-2   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER ROCKER Apr23 Mar29 Nov25 Aug01 Jul20 (salinas )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
2  OUTLAW COUNTRY Apr23 Mar19 Feb09 Jan14 Dec29 (baker charlton)CAMACHO SAMY 116 6.00 ★    
3  TITLE SHOT Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan21 (hollendorfer j)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 8% 11.20    
4  ADVANCE CASH Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb04 Dec18 (russo fra)VARGAS A 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  STEELY DANZA May04 Apr03 Jan31 Jan10 Dec19 (aristone phil)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  YO NESSROUNDONKERN May01 Apr17 Apr03 Feb16 Feb06 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00    
7  FENWAY Feb20 Feb05 Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 (barrera osca)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
 
MTH-3   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCO SHELL Apr30 Apr08 Jan20 Dec28 Dec03 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 115 8.00    
2  GOLDEN TALENT Apr17 Mar01 Jan26 Dec24 Dec10 (avila)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 10.00    
3  HOT LOVE Apr17 Feb08 Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 115 12.00    
4  LITTLE LUCA Mar31 Mar11 Dec10 Jun24   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 2.00 ★    
5  Z'S SO GOOD May06 Mar01 Jan11 Dec13 Nov23 (salinas )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 8% 11.90    
6  SKI COUNTRY Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 Dec24 Oct29 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  RUNNING RIVER Apr15 Mar25 Feb20     (salzman e)CENTENO E 115 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
MTH-4   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A TRACE Apr24 Mar29 Mar13 Feb27 Jan25 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 120 20.00    
2  NANA FANNY Apr09 Feb03 Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 (gonzalez cla)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
3  CURRENT SITUATION Apr09 Mar19 Feb16 Jan11 Dec23 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50    
4  SUMMER AT THE SPA Apr01 Mar03 Feb08 Jan25 Jan01 (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  COOL FRONT May06 Apr14 Mar25 Mar12 Feb19 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 ★    
6  DRIVEN BY SPEED Oct19 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Aug01 (milian carl)NUNEZ Y 120 10.00 ★    
7  PUGILIST Apr01 Feb25 Jan21 Nov26 Sep23 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 65% 0.50    
8  TAKE TO THE SKIES Apr21 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Jan28 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00    
9  RED WIND Apr02 Mar19 Feb16 Jan19 Jan04 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00 ★    
 
MTH-5   05/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDESWIPED Mar25 Feb23 Feb09 Dec21 Nov08 (stites flint )SILVERA RUBEN 116 20.00    
2  GOLD MEDAL ANNA Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 Jan22 Jan03 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 116 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  OSCAR GAZE Apr29 Apr15       (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00    
SCR  SEDUCTION Feb12 Oct02       (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 1.20    
5  ATTHECROSSROADS Apr16 Mar23 Jan01 Dec02 Oct28 (david)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  ROYAL DAME Apr23 Apr02 Mar04 Feb08 Jan14 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
7  SHAKING RAGS Mar15 Feb07 Dec14 Oct24   (avila carlo)FERRER C 116 6.00    
 
MTH-6   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WASABI BOY Jul24 Jul02 May27     (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GAS STATION SUSHI by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  TATUM May03 Mar28 Feb21 Feb07 Jul30 (velazquez dan)OCASIO M 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  THAT SUN OF A GUN Oct29 Sep18       (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUZEE SUNRISE by CHESTER HOUSE)
4  CRACK THE CODE Nov20 Oct30 Sep18 Aug15 Jul30 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CRIMSON MAPLE by RAHY)
5  WOODLINE Mar26 Jan26 Nov19 Jul19 Jun19 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BLIP N' TH BYE by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  CAPTAIN QUICK Dec09 Nov10 Oct29 Sep29 Sep18 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 123 10.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
7  KEEP DEM TALKING Apr26 Mar20       (king cla)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of BUT SHE'S OURS by LAWYER RON)
8  EL DE CHIREL Mar11         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CLAY'S ROCKET by AMERICAN CHANCE)
 
MTH-7   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT NAVIGATOR Apr15 Mar16 Jul16 Jun04   (owens eddie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  KAZ SWEET HEIST Sep30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 Jun11 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 ★    
3  HAY ROOM Oct22         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 115 10.00 ★    
4  NOON TIME GEM Apr14 Mar31 Nov30 Nov19 Oct10 (juarez ca)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
5  STARSTRUCK NOTION Mar15 Aug13 Jul22     (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 115 20.00    
6  WILD MULE Mar23 Feb19 Jan20 Dec09 Nov05 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 115 3.50 ★    
7  ONE TIME WILLARD Aug28 Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 May29 (stephens john)FERRER C 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
8  COUNTRY MILES Oct17 Sep30 Sep02 Aug28 Aug14 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 15.00    
9  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Aug27 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04   (spina cha)VARGAS A 115 20.00    
10  CASSATION Apr15 Dec21 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 15.00    
SCR  MAGICAL JAIME Apr16 Mar02 Feb01 Oct08 Aug28 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
 
MTH-8   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATHEART Apr22 Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 Jan15 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 ★    
2  MR. SHADES OF GRAY Nov04 Oct11 Sep29 Sep02 Jul27 (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 41% 1.40    
3  KRATOS Oct21 Oct08 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Mar03 Dec22 Nov12 Oct23 Sep18 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
5  P H FACTOR Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Jan14 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
6  LEO MONTE Nov20 Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 (huston r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
7  READY TO FLY Apr05 Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 Jul30 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
8  RONSTADT Apr16 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Oct14 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
9  FOREVER SOUPER Jul16 Jun10 Apr09 Mar06   (trombetta mic)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  TAP THE CANDY Apr20 Mar24 Feb10 Jan04 Dec09 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 20.00    
11  BASSO Dec17 Oct15 Sep11 Aug24 Jul23 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00    
SCR  C C GOLDRUSH Dec12 Sep26 Aug19 Jun28 May31 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00    
SCR  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct30 Oct06 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (mc jo)NUNEZ Y 120 20.00    
14  BIG VENEZUELA Apr16 Mar26 Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
 
MTH-9   05/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Serena's Song Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILLEMINA Apr13 Mar07 Jan01 Nov23 Oct27 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of WILLIAMS BAY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  DON'T GET KHOZY Feb18 Jan14 Dec10 Oct16 Sep10 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GET NOTICED by GRAEME HALL)
3  LEADER OF THE BAND Nov24 Sep24 Aug19 Jul23 Jun11 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BANDBOX out of CATSUIT by SIR CAT)
4  SHOTGUN HOTTIE Apr21 Mar12 Aug23 Jul31 Jul02 (devaux ch)VARGAS A 122 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RE ENTRY by MALIBU MOON)
5  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE Apr14 Feb26 May20 Apr10   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  MOMA TIGER Apr15 Feb18 Jan18 Jan04 Nov23 (stites flint )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 17.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of PROPOSED by BENCHMARK)
7  RADIO DAYS Apr15 Feb19 Jul03 May20 Apr10 (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REMEMBERED by SKY MESA)
 
MTH-10   05/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECKITUP Mar12 Dec31 Oct18 Sep24 Sep05 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by CURLIN out of FAYPIEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  SACRED RHYME         (brown c)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
3  PROGRAM TRADING (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of DREAMLIKE by GUN RUNNER)
4  IRISH RILL Mar10 Feb19       (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IRISH SOVEREIGN by POLISH NUMBERS)
5  CICCIOBELLO Dec15 Nov11       (ryan s)BATISTA A 123 15.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
6  PRINCE OF TROY Aug19 Jul31 Jul03 May22   (cash j)RENDON JAIRO 123 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
7  COAST ALONG Apr15 Feb18 Jan07     (mcgaughey cla)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
8  CHANGING THE KARMA Nov29 Oct14 Sep15 Aug28 Aug12 (simon linda)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
9  AMERICAN DAY Mar14 Oct14 Sep04 Jul31 Jun26 (mc jo)NUNEZ Y 123 20.00 ★    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of MUY MUY by DIXIE UNION)
10  EXTREME ACCESS Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 Jul02   (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 ★    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HIGH SPEED ACCESS by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  CHESS SPECTACULAR Apr15 Mar10 Feb12 Nov19 Oct22 (ryerson t)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of TITANIUM JO by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE May01 Apr19 Mar27 Feb21 Jan23 (aristone phi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NIJI'S GRAND GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  BLIND EYE Feb19 Jan08 Sep25 Jul22 Jul09 (alvarado diane)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A. P.'S GLORY by MINESHAFT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.