Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-2   Win (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (5/6/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-4   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (4/2/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-6   Win (5/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-8   Win (6/4/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-9   Win (7/2/11/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-10   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-11:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER WICKED Dec29 Dec18 Dec01 Nov12 Oct28 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
SCOTTY Dec04 Nov18 Oct06 Aug31 May07 (diprima gr)DAVIS A 123 20.00    
GOLDINI Dec10 Dec04 Nov17 Oct21 Oct09 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 8% 11.70    
WINTER POOL Dec29 Nov18 Sep30 Aug11 Jun04 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 0.80 57% 0.70    
KUMAR Nov18 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Jul21 (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 6% 17.20    
ICY STORM Oct31 Oct11 Sep24 Aug03 Jul03 (linder j)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.50    
SUPPLY CHAIN Dec04 Nov18 Oct31 Aug21 Jul30 (chich)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED Dec11 Nov12 Oct21 Sep04 Jul27 (rodri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
BRAD'S BET Dec11 Nov17 Jun18     (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
RADIO RED Sep05         (gargan)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
BUSTINO SANTINO Dec17 Nov12       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
PLEASE BE NICE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Dec03         (breen j)FRANCO MANUEL null      
AMERICAN GRANT Dec10         (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUSSI         (bond james)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Nov18 Oct27       (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
10  TATER AND TOT Dec17 Oct21 Sep29 Sep04   (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
 
AQU-3   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGER Dec06 Oct13 Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 (rodriguez rudy )OLVER MADISON 110 6.00 16% 5.10    
SEANAN Dec10 Nov16 Oct31 Sep21 Sep03 (sells rach)DAVIS A 123 6.00    
WILL E SUTTON Dec11 Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOLEY MATRIMONY Jan01 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 Oct15 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.00 14% 6.00    
SKYLANDER Dec03 Oct22 Oct08 Aug10 Jul22 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
BLU GROTTO Dec18 Nov19 Oct02 Apr07 Feb26 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  FENWAY Dec31 Nov19 Oct20 Oct01 Jul08 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00    
JONNY QUIST Dec07 Nov24 Nov05 Oct05 Sep21 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 20.00    
 
AQU-4   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR Dec11 Nov27 Sep23     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 38% 1.60    
BOLD JOURNEY Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 Aug27 Jul31 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
WINNERS LAUGH Apr16 Feb20       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCILLY CAY Dec30 Dec17 Nov10 Oct27 Sep16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
BREW PUB Dec10 Nov17 Oct22 Sep22 Aug21 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
PHANTOM SMOKE Nov18 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 Jul24 (miceli mich)VARGAS A 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
FOOLISH GHOST Nov17 Sep23 Sep03 Jul04   (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SCR  VICTORY BUILT Nov26 Nov09 Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 8% 12.00    
 
AQU-5   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLETE AGENDA Dec09 Nov19 Oct01 Aug18 Jul22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 12% 7.70    
SWIFT TAP Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 Aug27 Aug03 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 12% 7.50    
AFJAN Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 Sep05 Aug28 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00 7% 14.10    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Nov13 Oct08 Aug19 Apr09 Mar05 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
ACHILLES HEEL Dec02 Nov05 Sep28 Aug29 Aug12 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 7% 13.10    
COLLOQUY Dec03 Sep18 Aug27 Jun30 May01 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
UNION LIGHTS Dec17 Nov06 Sep29 Mar20 Feb03 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
RUSSIAN TO WIN Dec01 Oct16 Sep24 Aug27 Jul23 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
DOCTOR LOVE Dec10 Oct23 Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 (morley thom)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACEFUL Oct16 Jul31 Jul02     (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
FABULOUSLY FUNNY         (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
MACHIAVELLIQUE         (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
TRYINMYHEARTOUT         (camej)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
SPELTERINI Nov05 Oct02 Aug21 Jul14   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
BOUNTY KILLAH Dec14         (richards marvi)BAILEY O 120 50.00    
RISK FREE Dec15 Nov10 Oct23 Oct02 Sep15 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 9% 10.30    
BALENTINA         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
SENIOR PRANK         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-7   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNABOUT Dec08 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
1A  PERCEIVED Dec18 Dec02 Oct29 Sep03 Aug18 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
NIGHT OPS Nov12 Oct21 Sep05 Aug06 Jan09 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  UNO Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 20.00    
IT'S MANDATORY Dec18 Nov12 Oct24 Sep18 Jul19 (jones edua)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
SCR  DARK STORM Oct21 Sep17 Aug05 Jul14 Jun30 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
MICROSCOPE Dec02 Mar06 Feb11     (quick)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00    
MUSICAL HEART         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Dec08 Nov18 Sep30 Sep05 Aug11 (baker charl)VARGAS A 120 10.00    
WAR STOPPER Dec30 Nov06 Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 2.50    
10  HAMMERIN AAMER Dec08 Oct21 Sep16 Jul22 Jun16 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
11  PIT BOSS Dec16 Nov15 Nov02 Oct27 Oct15 (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
SCR  DUST DEVIL Oct15 Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 May28 (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 113 5.00 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-8   01/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEURAL NETWORK Nov13         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 7% 13.00    
SCR  CIRCLING THE DRAIN Dec09 Nov20       (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 12.00    
VALENZAN DAY Dec04 Nov19 Oct27 Sep22 Aug13 (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUGAN KNIGHT Nov26 Oct21 Sep21     (mccarthy michael )DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 11% 8.40    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Oct17 Oct01 Aug26 Jul16 Jun03 (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 6% 15.60    
ARCTIC ARROGANCE Dec03 Oct30 Sep29 Sep05   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
GENERAL BANKER Dec17 Nov26 Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
NARCISO DALI Dec01 Nov20 Oct16 Sep29 Sep08 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
 
AQU-9   01/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREWARNED Nov26 Oct29 Sep24 Aug13 Jul09 (st u)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Nov12 Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
SEA FOAM Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Aug12   (giangiulio )VARGAS A 122 12.00 11% 7.90    
SHOOGER RAY TOO Nov07 Oct03 Aug19 Jul28 Jun28 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
NAVAL AVIATOR Nov27 Oct25 Sep24 Jul22 Jun19 (jones michael )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00    
PLOT THE DOTS Dec30 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep24 (cash l)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 12.00    
LAW PROFESSOR Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 Apr02 Mar05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ELOQUIST Nov27 Oct27 Sep24 Aug28 Aug12 (reid e)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
BOURBONIC Dec03         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
10  THOMAS SHELBY Nov26 Oct18 Sep10 Jul09 May01 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
11  DOUBLE CROWN Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 (cash l)ACOSTA D 126 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-10   01/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNNY HOW Nov20 Oct22 Sep29 Aug26 Jul09 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE Dec09 Nov13 Oct12 Mar13 Jan30 (breen )HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00    
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Dec11 Nov10 Oct23 Oct01 Sep15 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
YO CUZ May30 Apr24 Mar27 Feb21   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
MY GLORY Jul11 Jun08 Jan21     (davis edmu)DAVIS A 123 50.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
FIRING CAROL Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 123 20.00    
CAIRONI Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug19 Jul24 (miceli mich)VARGAS A 123 10.00    
DAME CINCO Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep23 Aug11 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
SCR  HOT FUDGE         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
11  I'M BUZZY Dec02 Nov17 Oct07 Sep01 Aug17 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  WESTERN LANE Dec18 Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 Apr15 (lynch)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.