Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(9/12/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/7)-(9/12/1/2/6)-(1/5/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-2   WIN (9/12/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/1/2/6)-(9/12/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/1/2/6)-(9/12/1/2/6)-(9/12/1/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/12/1/2/6)-(1/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/12/1/2/6)-(1/5/4/7)-(3/7/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/7)-(3/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/7)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/4/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-4   WIN (3/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/8)-(3/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/8)-(3/4/7/2)-(1/5/10/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/2)-(1/5/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/2)-(1/5/10/3/7)-(7/5/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (1/5/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/3/7)-(1/5/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/3/7)-(1/5/10/3/7)-(1/5/10/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/10/3/7)-(7/5/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/3/7)-(7/5/1/6)-(8/2/1/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-7   WIN (7/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6)-(8/2/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/6)-(8/2/1/9)-(10/7/5/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-8   WIN (8/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/9)-(10/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/9)-(10/7/5/2)-(9/5/6/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-9   WIN (10/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/2)-(10/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/2)-(10/7/5/2)-(10/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/5/2)-(9/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-10   WIN (9/5/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/1/3)-(9/5/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/1/3)-(9/5/6/1/3)-(9/5/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARCY ROAD Sep25 Aug29 Jul14 Jun16 May05 (riecken bruce)BACON W 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  STAUF Mar28 Mar15 Feb04     (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 122 30.00    
3  COOL AND CLOUDY Dec29         (cates al)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
4  BATTEN DOWN MARK         (dixon tim)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
SCR  GETOUTYOURWALLET Nov02 Sep28       (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
6  GREAT BARRIER Nov13 Sep26 Aug23 Jun23 May05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 1.40 14% 6.10    
7  ALL GREEN LIGHTS Apr13 Mar14 Feb23 Jan26 Dec09 (prather j)TORRES A 122 10.00 7% 12.90    
8  TIME ANDBEYOND Apr13 Feb19 Jan01 Oct26 Sep21 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
OP-2   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENALI LIGHTNING         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 30.00 6% 14.80    
2  RUN DEANO RUN         (von donn)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  LITTLE RANDY Nov23 Nov14       (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 120 4.50    
4  PEA EYE Nov14         (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
5  GEE NO HOLLANDER Oct31         (schultz l)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
6  RT HOOK SUGAR RAY         (west henry)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00 6% 14.80    
7  CAVANAL Nov14 Oct05 Sep04     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 3.00    
8  FLOATING SMOKEY Dec07 Sep07 Aug16 Aug01   (west h)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 110 30.00    
9  PERFECT DIAL Oct31 Oct03       (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  MORE POWER         (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00    
11  MAX DOT SOCKS         (cates al)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
12  TO TOO TWENTYTWO         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 12.00 8% 12.10    
 
OP-3   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERMAFROST Dec07 Oct07 Sep16 Mar22 Mar10 (puhl kim)BACON W 119 1.80 ★    
1A  LEMON DROP SHOT Dec07 Sep26 Sep02 Aug07 Dec30 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  SPURRIER Oct30 Sep27 Jun14 May19 Apr13 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
3  GUIDED ARROW Dec07 Oct30 Sep19 Aug27 Jul05 (cravens r)TORRES A 118 5.00    
4  STAND PROUD Dec07 Jul14 Jun19 May27 Jun02 (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
5  ARTHUR Dec04 Oct16 Sep26 Sep18 Aug17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  CAPTAIN JACK Dec07 Oct31 Oct05 Jul04 Jun09 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00    
7  CINCO MAJESTIC Nov06 Oct16 Oct01 Sep02 Aug11 (silva migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DUAL MONARCHY Oct16 Sep18 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
 
OP-4   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO WEST GO Nov25         (caster boyd)BACON W 117 10.00    
2  SKELLY ROAD Nov15 Oct10 Sep15 Oct22   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00    
3  WORLD FAIR Oct10 Aug24 Apr13 Feb16 Dec08 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  ZAPPING STRIKE Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 Jul16 (labra rog)DE CRUZ 122 1.60    
5  GOLD MEMBER Oct30 Oct10 Aug31 Jul06 Jun23 (jordan james)NOLL S 122 20.00    
6  MATT'S LUCK Oct12 Sep14       (robertson mclea)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
7  MUSEUM QUALITY Jun23 May10 Apr28 Apr06 Mar01 (martin ti)TORRES A 125 15.00 26% 2.90    
8  FIRST BID Jun16 Apr13 Feb03 Dec31 Nov13 (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  LET'S GO CHAMP Apr20 Apr06       (jewell ian)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 20.00    
 
OP-5   12/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. ALBANS RAID Nov13         (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
2  ZEN DREAMS Oct10 Sep02 Aug24     (robertson mclea)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LONG TAIL SALLY         (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  WANDERING KIRBY Oct25         (ashford ray)BACON W 115 5.00 28% 2.50    
5  ANONIMA Nov21 Nov02       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
6  MAGNETIC BEACH Nov23 Nov06 Oct11     (sweezey kent)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE MILADY Jul29         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
8  FEARLESS LADY Nov21 Oct13 Sep15     (moquett r)TORRES A 120 4.00    
 
OP-6   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE CHERIE Oct10 Sep07 Aug17 Jun15 Jun01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  YES TO CHAMPAGNE Nov27 Nov09 Oct24 Sep20 Jul27 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 119 2.50    
3  BELLA HAZE Nov21 Oct16 Aug10 Jul05 May10 (santamaria c)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 9% 10.20    
4  CHIQUITA REINA Dec07 Sep15 Jul25 Jun19 May30 (haran john)BACON W 117 15.00    
5  FLY LIKE THE WIND Mar02 Dec16 Apr08 Mar19 Feb25 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 116 15.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  STARLIT SOFI Nov13 Oct16 Sep17 Aug07 Jul16 (labra rog)DE CRUZ 118 12.00    
7  LONIE MO Dec06 Oct31 Aug05 Jul06 Jun15 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Jun08 May11 Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 (martin timo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 5.00    
9  VALHALLA VIXEN Oct16 Sep25 Aug29 Jul24 Jul04 (robertson mclea)BOWEN ROCCO 119 20.00    
10  UP ON THE EDGE Nov01 Oct16 Aug24 Jul20 Jun19 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
11  SCRUPULOUS Nov21 Oct16 Sep20 Sep21 Aug19 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
OP-7   12/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDOUTSENSATION Nov21 Nov03 Aug22 Jul28 Jun01 (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 2.00 10% 9.00    
2  AMY Z Nov24 Sep13 Jul29 Jun22 Jun06 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 15.00    
3  SENSIBLE CHOICE Oct24 Aug26 Aug05 Jul10 Jun13 (anderson doug )CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
4  INDY LABEL Nov16 Sep29 Sep13 Jul04 Jun06 (shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
5  MISS HEBRIDES Nov21 Oct26 Sep27 Aug18 Jul14 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  HONOR CAT Oct24 Aug24 Jun23 May26 May03 (compton greg)JARA FERNANDO 119 12.00 8% 10.90    
7  LEMON MUFFIN Nov13 Sep15 Jul20 Jun29 May17 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
OP-8   12/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J T'S IMAGINATION Oct18 Sep12 Jul20 Jun15 May23 (cox h)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 10% 9.20    
2  MIGHTY MESSAGE Nov23 Oct11 Aug12 Jun09 Apr20 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  FIGHT'N READY Nov22 Oct12 Sep11 Aug17 Jul04 (petalino )DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
SCR  SUTHERLAND Nov23 Oct24 Sep29 Aug07 Jun08 (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00    
5  AIN'T THAT A KICK Nov22 Oct26 Sep13 Aug22 Jul14 (petalino joe)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00    
6  CAWKAB Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Sep22 Aug05 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00    
7  AARON Nov06 Oct25 Oct09 Sep18 Aug23 (ashford h)TORRES A 125 8.00    
8  OWN THE FIELD Nov20 Oct18 Sep14 Aug07 Jul18 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
9  HAPPY STRIKE Sep21 Sep06 Aug25 Aug05 Jul06 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  MYRA'S BOY Oct31 Oct06 Sep01 Aug04 Jul19 (mcknight norman)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
 
OP-9   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($133K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAISE CAIN Oct20 Sep12 Aug11 Jun30 May30 (colebrook ben)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
2  OUR LAST CHANCE Oct25 Sep28 Aug23 Jul22 Jun22 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BANISHING Nov23 Nov06 Oct18 Aug24 Jun06 (jacobson)SANTANA JR 124 5.00    
4  RYVIT Jun29 Jun08 May24 Apr13 Mar16 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00    
5  KAVOD Nov17 Oct12 Sep12 Aug22 Jun29 (sharp joe)TORRES A 124 4.50 8% 12.30    
6  BOURBON HEIST Nov28 Oct12 Aug31 Jul05 Jun01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00    
7  TEJANO TWIST Dec01 Nov02 Jun29 Jun01 May04 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  OSBOURNE Nov17 Sep28 Mar16 Feb09 Dec09 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
9  EDGE TO EDGE Jun08 May04 Apr07 Feb19 Feb03 (hartman chris)BACON W 115 15.00    
10  RUN CLASSIC Nov08 Sep29 Jul06 Feb24 May04 (ashford ray)JARA FERNANDO 120 6.00 45% 1.20    
 
OP-10   12/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN FIVE Nov13 May17 May07 Mar10 Feb02 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FASTENED Nov06 Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 Sep04 (durham dane)ROMERO M 107 20.00    
3  OUR BLOKE Oct05 Sep15 Jul27 May10 Oct09 (jewell ian)BOWEN ROCCO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILL TAKE CASH Oct25 Sep26 Sep14 Aug22 Jul03 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 10.00    
5  CORREDOR Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 Sep12 Aug23 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
6  THANKS FRANK Nov29 Jul06 May30 May10 Apr28 (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  SHAMAN SEZ Oct13 Sep02 Aug17 Jul11   (robertson mcl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 30.00    
8  DANCE MAN Nov03 Jul27 Jul05 May04 Apr07 (williams se)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
9  INDEPENDENT PAUL Nov17 Aug18 Jul14 May18 May12 (jacobson davi)BACON W 111 3.50 48% 1.10    
10  LEMON MERINGUE Oct01 Sep02 Aug17 Jul25 Jul11 (silva miguel)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00    
11  REWIRE Nov20 Nov01 Oct18 Sep26 Sep03 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.