Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (9/7/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $7.66  
CD-2   Win (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
CD-3   Win (6/5/4/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $7.84  
CD-4   Win (2/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $13.92 $13.92 5.92
CD-5   Win (5/6/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.28 $6.28  
CD-6   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.60  
CD-7   Win (10/7/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $8.20 $8.20  
CD-8   Win (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.94 $3.94  
CD-9   Win (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $3.04 $3.04  
CD-10   Win (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $9.12  
CD-11   Win (7/3/4/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.10 $7.10  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH MASTER 3 9 2nk 11   14 1 (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 5.00 2.83  
MAGNETIC BEACH 7 4 4 32   24 2 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.30 5.30 P
MEZCALIFORNIA 9 8 8 64   45 35 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 61% 0.60 4.85 S
RANCH LIFE 8 3 7 87   6 4 (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 4.00 14.09  
AUNT DIXIE 2 1 1nk 21   34 5 (hobby steve)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.32  
MOM'S CHEESECAKE 6 2 31 4   5 610 (kerrick lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.43  
ALLTAIL 4 6 9 9   911¼ 711¾ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.78  
CENTIMORGAN 5 5 5 53   7 813¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 6.37  
RED ROYALTY 1 7 6 75   810¼ 914 (tomlinson a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 2.47  
 
CD-2   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY NIGHT 6 1 33 3   2nk 1¼ (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00 10% 8.70 2.70 W
AWESOME ANNMARIE 7 3 21 2½   1nk 2¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 1.20 33% 2.00 0.70 P
BLAZE ON 3 4 4 44   4 3¾ (wagner karin)LANERIE J 120 4.50 29% 2.40 7.00 S
SECRET GLENDA 5 2 11 1½   3½ 4 (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00 13.46  
LIL TOWN SIS 1 7 5 67   5 5 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 8.00 6.73  
LOOKIN ROYAL 2 6 79 5   6 611¾ (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 68.82  
CHICA CHULA 4 5 6 712½   714½ 716¾ (calvo kelsie)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00 51.77  
SCR  SAY CHEESE               (mcdonnell ber)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 10.00    
 
CD-3   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:133 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHAT'S UP DOC 10 1 43 4 2nk 14 110 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 2.92  
SAGITTARIUS 4 7 54 6 8 45 210 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 20% 4.00 18.10 P
10  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 9 6 6 7 31 24 310¼ (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00 34.67  
MO RHODES 5 10 75 53 7 56 411 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 39% 1.60 2.33  
WICKED MELODY 2 3 22 2 1nk 34 513¼ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 10.92  
QUEBRANCHO 1 2 12 1 4 7 614 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 6% 14.50 10.59  
MY FRIEND LOUIE 6 8 8 8 6 6 714¼ (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 6.32  
ODE TO BALIUS 8 5 9 10 9 8 814¼ (torres conc)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.17  
HIGH ENOUGH 7 9 107 9 10 1011¾ 916¼ (habeeb donal)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 12.09  
GATLINBURG 3 4 33 3 5 910¼ 1017½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 7% 13.30 5.55  
SCR  NOW AND LATER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
 
CD-4   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 10 2 3½ 3.2   11 1 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 22% 3.60 5.96 W
VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS 6 3 1½ 2nk   31 2 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 6.00 4.54  
ZAPPING STRIKE 8 6 2½ 1nk   21 3 (labra rogelio)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 8.00 22.87  
STINGER BEE 4 11 10 10   67 4 (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 25% 3.10 2.86  
HOLSTER 9 7 62 4   4 5 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 17.44  
REDEPOSIT 2 8 8 8   9 68 (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 25% 2.90 3.92  
SKYLER 5 1 5 7   8 7 (barrett ro)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 29.06  
ADDED MISCHIEF 7 5 7 5   56 8 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 11.81  
11  TO MY TASTE 11 4 9 9   10 911¼ (olivo k)MONCADA IRVING 117 15.00 64.15  
LEVEE WAS DRY 3 10 41 6   7 1011½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 8% 11.50 4.67  
BRILLIANT CALL 1 9 1113¾ 1116¼   1117¾ 1120 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 35.43  
 
CD-5   11/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:122 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPASSARE 4 5 5 55 53 3 1 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 45% 1.20 2.14 W
HIGH SHOT 7 4 64 6 2½ 21 2 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 7% 14.40 5.57 P
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL 5 2 11 1 1½ 11 32 (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 23% 3.30 2.04 S
FEELING BEACHY 1 6 7 8 85 54 4 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 8.53  
SMOKIN HOT BLONDE 8 10 10 9 9 86 5 (kelley a)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.09  
11  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA 10 3 4 4 6 65 65 (salas marcelino)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 20.00 93.35  
ARGENTINIDAD 2 9 9 10 106 7 75 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 ######  
10  ZAPPERA 9 11 12 1110¾ 11 11 8 (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
JUST A COED 3 1 31 2 32 43 96 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 9.55  
REDO 6 8 8 7 7 10 10 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00 72.08  
13  FREAK CITY 12 12 11 1211¼ 12 128 11 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 ######  
12  FIFTH OF MAY 11 7 21 3 42 96 129 (colebrook b)TORRES A 121 15.00 22.31  
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
SCR  MISS SUSAN B               (labra rogelio)FELIX E 121 20.00    
SCR  ONE FRONT WAR               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
SCR  SHEZALITTLESTINKER               (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 3.50    
 
CD-6   11/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:093     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANISHING 4 4 5 54   3 1 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 1.80  
HARRODSBURG 1 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (tomlinson mich)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.28 P
WICO (IRE) 6 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 3.08  
BANJO CHRIS 2 6 6 6   65 45 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 6.87  
GROVELAND 3 1 32 3   4 5 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
UNDERHILL'S TAB 5 3 4 43   5 6 (medina robe)TORRES A 120 5.00 21% 3.70 4.38  
SCR  LUCKY SHOT               (banks chris)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 30.00    
SCR  MAHAAMEL (IRE)               (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE               (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MO QUALITY 10 1 31 2nk   12 1 (davis christo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 37% 1.70 3.10 W
SEA VISTA 7 10 108 7   54 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 32% 2.20 1.15 P
YINZER 2 5 4 5   4 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.43  
KNICKS GLORY 3 8 84 4   22 4 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 52.06  
RESTLESS RENEGADE 5 2 2½ 1nk   33 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.01  
TOMASELLO 9 3 52 6   6 611 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 16.42  
OH PLEASE 6 7 7 9   810½ 713½ (elliott michel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 30.00 74.35  
TROUBLESHOOTING 4 4 1½ 3.2   78 818 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 9% 10.00 8.81  
13  VEKOMA KID 11 9 1112½ 1013¼   1015 918½ (black kenneth )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 48.03  
TARTARIAN 1 11 63 8   912 1020¼ (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.22  
AERATE 8 6 9 1114¼   1130 1169 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 32.45  
SCR  PUTTING EAGLE               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  SOLID LEFT               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  WISE DECISION               (lukas wayne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   11/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Chilukki Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:224 :444 1:091 1:212   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO SHARP 4 1 11 14 1 16 1 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 43% 1.40 0.97 W
ROYAL SPA 5 7 5 68 36 37 2 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.45 P
TAXED 3 5 64 5 5 48 3 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 8.09  
OEUVRE 7 4 21 24 2 26 4 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 31% 2.20 9.72  
POSITANO SUNSET 6 2 32 4 4 5 512¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.23  
PIGALLE 2 8 8 811 812½ 612½ 613 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 7.48  
FANCY 8 6 75 710½ 712½ 715½ 724½ (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 11.21  
IMONRA 1 3 42 3 611½ 823½ 851¾ (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 26.83  
 
CD-9   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANNED FOR LIFE 6 1 11 1½   1½ 1nk (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 34% 1.90 0.52 W
RISK IT 3 2 3 2½   2½ 2nk (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 11% 7.90 6.09 P
TRUST ISSUES 4 6 5 3   33 3 (lovell michel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 34% 2.00 3.86 S
AJAAYB 1 3 21 42   44 4 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00 36.23  
COLORADO CRUISER 2 5 43 54   5 58 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5.73  
WIND RIDER 5 4 65 68   6 6 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00 26.93  
SCR  AGOO               (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 4.00    
SCR  ATTACHE               (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
SCR  JUSTIFREAK               (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  PRESIDENT Z               (dutrow richard)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT               (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Commonwealth Turf Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:111 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAGYNOS 6 4 63 6 6 1nk 1¾ (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 3.56  
EVADE (FR) 8 7 5 53 5 4 2¾ (maker j)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 5.61  
AK SAR BEN DERBY 3 8 85 8 8 7 3 (ortiz al)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.53 S
PIPER'S FACTOR 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 3½ 42 (vassilieva k)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 21.61  
MY BOY PRINCE 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 53 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 25% 3.10 4.12  
HERCHEE 7 3 3 42 3½ 5 63 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 45% 1.20 2.74  
DASHMAN 2 5 42 32 4 6 7 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 3.00  
WILL TAKE IT 5 6 7 75 7 8 8 (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.88  
SCR  TELESCOPIC               (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GAMBLE 7 1 43 4 2nk 15 19 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.55 W
GIRL MATH 3 2 3 32 5 3 29 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 27% 2.80 0.71 P
SERAPHIA 4 9 65 64 8 57 310¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 25% 3.00 10.59 S
CALAMITY 5 6 9 85 42 4 411 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 8.35  
LOBBY RENDEZVOUS 2 7 8 9 9 6 511 (shirer matt)TORRES A 119 20.00 65.85  
HEART'S COMPASS 9 3 2 2 1nk 25 614 (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 79.52  
BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA 8 8 76 74 6 810¼ 715½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.02  
CEEBEE 1 5 5 5 7 7 817¼ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 66.31  
MADELINE'S PROMISE 6 4 1 1 3 911¼ 927 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.32  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.