Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-4 $30.28 $18.28 152%
CD-5   TRI (6/3/4/9)-(6/3/1/4/9)-(6/3/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-1-4 $32.56 $8.56 36%
CD-8   WIN (8/6/11/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $20.24 $10.24 102%
    EXA (8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-6 $96.32 $56.32 141%
    TRI (8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-6-5 $397.72 $367.72 1226%
    SFT (8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3)-(8/6/11/5/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-6-5-8 $322.03 $310.03 2584%
CD-9   TRI (2/3/6/4/12)-(2/3/6/4/12)-(2/3/6/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-2 $34.33 $4.33 14%
    DD (8/6/11/5/3)-(2/3/6/4/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  11-3 $39.67 $14.67 59%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:102 1:224   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OPTICAL 5 4 31 31 3½ 1nk 1nk (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 1.55  
1  MCAFEE 1 3 41½ 41½ 41½ 4¾ 2nk (dutrow ri)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 26% 2.80 1.92 P
3  MORAL 3 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 3¼ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 42% 1.40 2.37 S
7  CHRIS'S REVENGE 6 5 61¾ 52½ 55½ 54¾ 42¼ (russell br)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 7.72  
4  ROCK SOLO 4 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 52½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 32.63  
2  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 2 6 51¾ 63 67 610¾ 629 (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 24.67  
SCR  COUNTTHEBRAVE               (correas ig)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
 
CD-2   11/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:114 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYES STRIKE 1 5 43 32 41½ 1½ 1¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 10% 9.00 1.72 W
5  GO EMI 5 4 54½ 54¾ 53½ 2½ 2¾ (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 24.52  
4  MOWINS 4 2 32½ 42¼ 31½ 3½ 31¾ (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 121 10.00 5% 19.00 18.17 S
2  J. P. RACE 2 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 41 42½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 60% 0.70 1.61  
3  THUNDERIAN 3 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 56 512 (danner kelsey)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 1.68  
SCR  ETHEREAL ROAD               (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.00    
 
CD-3   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:212 :441 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ECHO AGAIN 3 4 2nk 11½   14 12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 38% 1.60 1.04 W
5  ISLAND CRUISER 5 2 53½ 53½   24 22 (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 3.83  
2  DEWY'S BEAST 2 5 1nk 43   35½ 37¼ (salas marceli)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 28.78 S
1  GOOD LIKE MAGIC 1 7 76¼ 79½   710 48¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80 9.09  
6  MR MCGREGOR 6 1 66 65½   47½ 511 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 12.68  
7  HUNTER JOHN 7 6 41 31½   58 614½ (ortiz john)NOLASCO JONATHAN 110 15.00 14.49  
4  TRIPLE ELVIS 4 3 3½ 21½   68½ 720 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 23% 3.40 3.05  
 
CD-4   11/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STAR OF WONDER 6 3 3½ 21 2½ 1½ 1½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 33% 2.00 0.87 W
4  VITALITY 4 5 54 52¼ 31 3½ 2½ (ladauceur)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 14.47 P
2  LAMBETH 2 1 1nk 11 1½ 2½ 32½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 12.99  
1  STRETCH RIDE 1 2 2nk 31 42 41½ 43 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.00 2.87  
3  PARCHMENT PARTY 3 6 64½ 62¼ 54 54½ 56¾ (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 6.69  
5  DONEGAL DESTINY 5 4 43 42 64 69 619¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 21% 3.80 5.44  
 
CD-5   11/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:102 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCKY JOY 6 4 32 32 1½ 1½ 1¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 1.20 69% 0.50 0.75 W
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of COLORADO GIRL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  SULLY 1 2 12 11½ 2½ 2½ 2¾ (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 ★ 3.03 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  ALRASIKH 4 8 86¾ 95¼ 77½ 66½ 34 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 45.23 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWAAFY by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  DEMETRIUS 2 7 54¼ 63¼ 55½ 44½ 44 (frazier matt)LANERIE J 124 20.00 30.17  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ACADEMIC BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
3  FAYETTE SPIRIT 3 1 22 21½ 33 34 54½ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 18.00 11.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEEKEND PARTY by A.P. INDY)
8  FINN MCSORLEY 8 3 44 53 44½ 56 65½ (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 11.39  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  PUBLICITY 11 5 65¼ 74¼ 66 76½ 76½ (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 37.69  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of C. S. ROYCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  FARM TEAM 12 12 119¼ 107¼ 109½ 98¾ 87 (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 93.13  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PADMORE by FRENCH DEPUTY)
7  GHOST NATION 7 11 97¼ 85¼ 98 88½ 97¼ (matejka pave)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 15.00 29.27  
  (by TAPIT out of GLORYZAPPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  TAKE TOMORROW 9 6 75¾ 43 88 1014¾ 1020¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  LUCKY SEVEN 5 9 129½ 128 1114½ 1117¾ 1121¼ (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00 ######  
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET SEVENTEEN by HARD SPUN)
10  TECHNE 10 10 109¼ 117¾ 1215 1222¾ 1233¾ (guer)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00 ######  
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  BISATE               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 30.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SAM'S SISTER by SAMARID)
SCR  FOUR TOP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUCAT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SWEET FREEDOM               (medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
CD-6   11/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOOKATMYBUCKLE 2 5 1½ 11   14 12¾ (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 2.50 32% 2.10 2.10 W
5  BISA 5 4 56 56½   46 22¾ (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 7.36  
1  SQUARE BABY 1 6 43 34   24 33¾ (wilkes r)RAMOS D 118 12.00 16.87  
8  POUNDS IN TOWN 8 2 32½ 45½   57 47½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.33  
4  HEARTS UNITED 4 3 67 69   68½ 57½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 1.94  
7  BARBARINA 7 1 2½ 21   34½ 68½ (jazdzewski jo)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 29% 2.40 12.47  
3  TALKSALOT 3 7 77½ 810   810½ 79½ (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 16.36  
6  THUNDER KIN 6 8 88½ 79½   710 810 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 8.00 11% 8.10 4.47  
 
CD-7   11/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SHARED VISION 11 2 21 2nk   1½ 1nk (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 25.51  
  (by MCKINZIE out of VISION OF JUSTICE by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  KEEPSAKE 8 6 32 31½   2½ 2nk (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 35% 1.90 0.70 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TOP QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  BROWN SUGAR 5 5 64 53½   44 34 (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.44 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
12  TRADING SECRETS 12 3 42½ 42   54 45¾ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 32.43  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
7  PRETTY SASSY 7 4 96½ 86¼   65½ 56 (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 23% 3.30 7.41  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRETTY CITY DANCER by TAPIT)
9  GOOD GAME 9 11 74 63¾   76 68¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 31.81  
  (by GAME WINNER out of BRAZEN PERSUASION by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  QUICK TO CHARM 10 1 11 1nk   33 78¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 22% 3.50 20.25  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
2  SIGHT TO SEE 2 7 85½ 910¼   99½ 88¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 29.19  
  (by MUNNINGS out of VIEW by VICE REGENT)
4  WHIPPOORWILL 4 8 53 75¼   87½ 911¾ (danner kelse)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 48.95  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MISS AUTHENTIC 3 9 107½ 1012¼   1012½ 1013 (kenneally)TORRES A 119 12.00 51.24  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of VERTICAL VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
6  LIL DRUMMER GIRL 6 12 119 1115¼   1116 1121¾ (wilkes r)RAMOS D 119 20.00 73.23  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BEAT THE DRUMS by FOLLOW THE DRUM)
1  VINO BELLA 1 10 1217 1225¼   1228 1236¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.25  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ASTRAL FAVOR by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  FOIE GRAS               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of TABLE MANNERS by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  LOST AND FOUND               (walden wi)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TAPARRI by TAPIT)
 
CD-8   11/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HARBOR SPRINGS 11 5 83¼ 41½   13 15¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.12 W
6  PERFECT SHOT 6 1 73¼ 74   44½ 25¼ (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 31% 2.30 2.25 P
5  COME AS YOU ARE 5 9 108¼ 86   65½ 37 (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 28.05 S
8  UNDERCOVER 8 6 51¾ 3½   23 47½ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40 3.24  
1  C'EST CHEESE 1 10 21 52½   54½ 59¾ (beckman d )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 2.12  
9  TENNESSEEHONEYBEE 9 7 95¼ 96¼   76½ 610 (hughes g)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 26.99  
2  AMY Z 2 4 41¼ 2½   33½ 710¼ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 44.91  
7  OUR KEEPSAKE 7 3 31 63½   87 811½ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 47.89  
4  STORMY MITOLE 4 2 11 1½   97¼ 916¼ (joseph saffi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 16.96  
3  CLIQUE 3 11 62¾ 106¼   1011¼ 1016¼ (irion hea)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 40.85  
10  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN 10 8 119¾ 1113¼   1113¾ 1116½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 15.00 16.11  
SCR  COASTAL INVASION               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
 
CD-9   11/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :44 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUN CARSON 3 11 73¾ 75¼   32½ 11¼ (danner kelsey)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 21% 3.70 1.79 W
6  JOE SHIESTY 6 4 11½ 1½   1nk 21¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20 5.30 P
2  COPPOLA 2 3 21½ 2½   2nk 32¾ (romans dale)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 24% 3.20 4.27 S
1  DHABAB (IRE) 1 7 32 33½   43½ 44 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 8.99  
7  LET MY PEOPLE GO 7 9 116½ 118   54½ 54¾ (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 24.52  
5  DURANTE 5 5 62¾ 65¼   65½ 64¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 15.00 50.73  
12  STITCHED 11 10 104½ 107¾   108 76½ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 18.80 25.99  
10  BLING 10 6 84¼ 85¾   77½ 87¼ (oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 117 30.00 57.96  
9  DOUBLE CLUTCH 9 2 42½ 45   97¾ 98¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5.02  
8  SOSUA SUMMER 8 1 52½ 96¼   118½ 1010 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 124 20.00 98.56  
4  CHARCOAL 4 8 94¼ 55   87¾ 1110¾ (wisner trac)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00 9% 9.80 7.49  
SCR  BEAR RIVER               (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:09     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ATTACHE 8 7 72¾ 1½   14 14¼ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 47% 1.10 0.63 W
5  MORUNNING 3 6 41½ 52¾   24 24¼ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 14% 6.20 7.04 P
8  GLEN AIRY 6 8 96¼ 97¾   57½ 37¼ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 6.64  
11  PURSUIT OF POWER 7 4 83¼ 86¼   47½ 49½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00 34.04  
3  RUN JALEN RUN 2 2 3½ 42½   36½ 511¼ (manley steve)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7% 14.40 7.64  
2  FURIOUS ANGER 1 9 62¼ 75¾   68 615 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 12.00 14.64  
7  MO RUM 5 5 52 64¾   912 717¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 47.18  
6  LIAM'S JOURNEY 4 1 1½ 3½   810 818½ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 8% 12.00 13.30  
13  TRUST DADDY 9 3 2½ 2½   79½ 918¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 21.04  
SCR  AL AMEEQ               (mckeever a)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
SCR  B SUDD               (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
SCR  CATHEDRAL BEACH               (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120 20.00    
SCR  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS               (brafford miche)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.