Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.36  
CD-2   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.50  
CD-3   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.38 $6.38 2.38
CD-4   Win (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.66 $6.66  
CD-5   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.68  
CD-6   Win (9/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $25.06  
CD-7   Win (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.68 $2.68  
CD-8   Win (1/8/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $53.48 $53.48 43.48
CD-9   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.16 $6.16 0.16
CD-10   Win (1/10/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $18.90 $18.90 8.90
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:143 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FUN TO RUN 4 6 66 65 4¾ 12½ 14¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 1.18  
3  BULLET BABY 3 4 54 54 52¼ 44½ 24¾ (radcliffe robert)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 26.61 P
7  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 6 5 43½ 31½ 2nk 32½ 36¼ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 8.56  
1  GLOBAL QUEEN 1 2 22½ 21 1nk 22½ 46¼ (tomlinson a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 10% 9.10 2.75  
2  SCARLET RED SKY 2 3 32½ 43½ 62¾ 55½ 510¾ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 3.50 48% 1.10 4.71  
5  BILLIE CEE 5 1 12½ 11 3.2 69½ 624½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 4.79  
SCR  UNCORK IT               (hughes g)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.50    
 
CD-2   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:101 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNSTABLE PRINCE 5 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 13 17 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 2.50 1.75  
7  KATTATH 6 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 23 27 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.00 3.26  
2  LIAM THE BRAVE 2 6 63¾ 54½ 33½ 35½ 310¾ (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00 18% 4.40 17.65 S
4  TIWANAKU 4 5 53½ 65½ 56½ 48½ 414¾ (santamaria )TORRES A 121 3.00 38% 1.60 4.52  
1  JUST JIMMY 1 2 31½ 32 45½ 511 521½ (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 19% 4.20 4.91  
3  SANT' ANTIMO 3 4 42 44 611½ 621 665½ (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 3.73  
SCR  TAPSASIONAL               (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 121 6.00    
 
CD-3   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :453 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROTEGE 6 2 2½ 1nk   11 1¼ (johnston d)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 64% 0.60 2.19 W
5  GAMBLERS TAIL 5 7 75 63¼   43 2¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50 ★ 3.92 P
7  ZECA DIABO 7 3 63 3.2   21 3¼ (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.77 S
4  BEBEDOURO 4 4 42 2nk   31½ 43¼ (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 5.00 4.97  
1  EPIC BATTLE 1 6 31 42¼   53½ 54½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 ★ 4.24  
3  ON MY HONOR 3 1 52 74¼   65½ 610 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.37  
2  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 2 5 1½ 52¾   77 710¼ (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 118 5.00 25.48  
 
CD-4   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 8 87¾ 76 52½ 32½ 1hd (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 2.33 W
7  TORTUGA ISLAND 6 1 3½ 31½ 2½ 2½ 2hd (becker scott)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 11% 8.40 4.56 P
2  SWEET CHABLIS 2 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 1½ 3¾ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 7.44  
9  ELLA FRANCES 8 7 53¼ 63½ 42½ 46½ 411¾ (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 2.34  
5  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 4 5 64¼ 53 75 58 513 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 6.00 11.39  
1  DEFAULT 1 2 1nk 1½ 31 68½ 621¼ (hernandez ar)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 24% 3.20 5.04  
8  COCKTAIL CUTIE 7 3 43 43 64½ 710½ 724 (manley stev)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00 39% 1.60 19.21  
3  JERSEY GOLD 3 6 76¼ 86½ 811 816½ 839 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00 51.93  
SCR  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT               (edwards william)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MERCY WARREN 6 1 2½ 1½   2nk 1¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 2.34  
7  FOREVER HOME 7 3 31½ 2½   1nk 2¾ (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 32% 2.10 6.04 P
8  SEQUIN LADY 8 4 73¼ 53   43¾ 32¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 19% 4.30 1.90 S
3  PUNCHY GIRL 3 5 1½ 3½   33½ 44¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 15% 5.50 2.74  
4  CUMBERLAND FALLS 4 7 41½ 42½   56¾ 59 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 20.00 33.99  
5  LADY MERCEDES 5 2 84¼ 87½   710¼ 69¾ (vance thoma)TORRES A 120 5.00 16.11  
1  SIMPLY COMPLICATED 1 6 62¾ 77   811¼ 712¼ (paye jose)CORREA L 120 15.00 5% 18.30 21.45  
2  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 2 8 52½ 63½   610¼ 815¼ (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 33.64  
 
CD-6   11/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TRANSCENDENTAL 8 8 53 52½ 4¾ 11 12¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 11.53  
8  HEY BOSS 6 4 76½ 76 62¼ 51¾ 22¼ (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 5.97  
2  ARROGATES SPIRIT 1 5 2½ 41½ 51¾ 41½ 33½ (sweezey kent)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 5% 19.00 4.22 S
5  DRIP D'ORO 4 1 31 2½ 1nk 21 44 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8% 11.20 4.99  
7  AMERICAN MEMORIES 5 2 41½ 31½ 2nk 31 55¼ (pino v)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 18% 4.50 1.78  
4  EXPRESS CRUISER 3 6 1½ 1½ 3½ 63¼ 67¾ (williams co)CORREA L 118 15.00 10.27  
9  SIXWILLBERICH 7 7 65½ 64½ 73¼ 75¼ 710 (roberson dennis)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 51% 0.90 4.90  
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 2 3 87 88 87¾ 810¼ 817 (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 121 30.00 71.41  
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 2.50    
SCR  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR               (helmbrecht william )FELIX E 121 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BARNES 3 2 21 31½   21½ 1nk (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 119 1.20 51% 1.00 0.34 W
6  INNOVATOR 6 1 11 11   11½ 2nk (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 28% 2.60 3.90 P
9  SINISTER SMILE 8 6 77½ 78½   59 310½ (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 30.00 37.63  
8  GREAT MOMENT 7 8 810½ 912   811½ 412¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 25.41  
10  COUNTER ELITE 9 9 912½ 811   710½ 513 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00 41.62  
4  ABSOLUTELY HOT 4 3 31½ 42½   46 615¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00 ★ 17.97  
5  KINGSMERE 5 5 67 57   69½ 717¾ (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 66.30  
11  LOTTERY WIN 10 4 42 21   35½ 817¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 21.81  
2  COLONEL CALIENTE 2 10 1012½ 1013   914 919 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
1  D'ORO BOY 1 7 56½ 67½   1017 1026 (cano munoz)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 44.61  
SCR  CARIBBEAN DREAM               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
 
CD-8   11/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EASY RED 2 8 75½ 43   31 11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.74 W
9  SISTER KISSES 9 2 22 2½   1½ 21 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.40 6.99 P
1  SALLY O'MALLEY 1 9 98¼ 75   43 33½ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 34% 2.00 3.80 S
7  ANTIQUE SILVER 7 1 12 1½   2½ 44½ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 3.00 2.43 DQ↓9
8  HUSH IT HONEY 8 3 54 32   54 57¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 27% 2.70 2.74  
3  YO PUEDO 3 6 64½ 85   65½ 69¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 120 15.00 53.56  
6  CANDY LOVER 6 7 42½ 53½   77½ 715¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 11.79  
4  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 4 4 88 98   911½ 818¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 27.72  
5  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 5 5 32½ 64   89½ 918¾ (dutrow richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.56  
 
CD-9   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUTHLESS RUA 1 5 32 41¾   32 1nk (wilensky sam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 20% 4.00 2.08 W
6  NAY V BELLE 5 3 2½ 2nk   12 2nk (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 2.61  
4  QUEEN'S MARTINI 3 4 52½ 31½   22 3½ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 21% 3.70 11.97 S
2  MISS ENCHANTED 2 1 1½ 1nk   42¼ 44 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 2.00 1.59  
7  CHARRIERE 6 6 67 65¾   56¼ 55¾ (mckeever an)TORRES A 120 12.00 12% 7.00 11.45  
5  STEEL RACER 4 2 42 52¾   66¾ 69¾ (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 13.75  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MUNYHUNGRY 9 4 52½ 2½   12½ 1¾ (parker r)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 18% 4.70 8.45 W
11  LUCCHESI 10 7 94¼ 52   22½ 2¾ (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 10.43  
5  PHENOMENAL DREAM 5 11 118¾ 96   43½ 31¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 20.39 S
1  GUN BARREL 1 8 42 42   33½ 44 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 46% 1.20 1.49  
2  AIR IT OUT 2 10 83¾ 63   55½ 56½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 15% 5.90 5.44  
13  CHANCES TAKEN 11 9 105¾ 107   78¾ 613¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 5.08  
7  ROPE A DOPE 7 3 32 1½   65¾ 714¾ (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 115 8.00 9.40  
3  THEZELENSKYYFACTOR 3 5 11½ 31   89¼ 818¼ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.83  
4  FREE AMERICA 4 6 73¼ 117½   1113¼ 918½ (jones phillip )CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00 69.10  
8  INDY CHARGE 8 1 62¾ 85½   910¾ 1018½ (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 20.30  
6  COWBOY LUKE 6 2 21½ 75   1011¾ 1118¾ (quartarolo )CAMACHO JR 122 20.00 57.61  
SCR  DANCING NOAH               (taylor brent)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION               (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
SCR  ODORICO               (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.