Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - June 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (3/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (5/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OILER Jun15 Jun01 May22 Nov23 Nov11 (faulkner rodne)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
2  CAPTURE MI Jun08 May23 Mar26 Mar11 Feb22 (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRAND DEAL Jun08 May23 May14 Oct30 Oct04 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
4  PLEASANT VALIANT May23 Apr19 Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  DEVIL'S CANYON Feb08 Jan18 Nov07 Oct31 Oct11 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 19% 4.10    
6  HOUSED Jun08 May23 Apr29 Feb19 Dec27 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-2   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO COPY Jun10 May18 Apr22 Apr09 Mar14 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
2  LUCKY STREAK May14 Apr09 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
3  MASTER OF WAR Jun03 Nov13 Oct24 Oct06 Sep18 (sondej amy)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAMMY'S SMILE Jun10 May14 Apr23 Sep18 Aug28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
5  K P SILVER BULLET Jun04 May22 Apr30 Oct21 Oct03 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-3   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jun18 May28 May04 Apr09   (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 115 12.00    
2  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jun08 May22 Jan31 Jan16 Dec29 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 15.30    
3  PRIVATE MOMENT May30         (hurley l)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  LINO'S KID Jun08 May22 Feb24 Feb14 Mar22 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
5  HARSH TRUTH May28 May07 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
6  EKATI'S WAY Jun07 May04 Apr13 Mar08 Oct28 (cline c)BRACHO A 115 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  CANNON MAN May31 May13 Oct31 Oct12   (fernandez edwar)BECKMAN ALICE 115 5.00 ★    
8  RAY'S EMPIRE Jun18 May22 May07 Apr09 Feb14 (szczepanski emily)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAY TORMENTOR Jun12 May30 May13 Apr23 Nov16 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-4   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNNY'S GAME Jun08 Mar08 Feb10 Jan21 Dec31 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  DOMI Jun08 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 Mar12 (szc)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 5.00    
3  STEVIE T Jun15 May30 May01 Apr24 Apr08 (faulkner rodney)BRACHO A 119 10.00    
4  GOTTA GO GATOR Jun08 Jul15 Jun23 May27 Feb02 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50    
5  EL BAMBINO Jun08 May06 Apr23 Apr09 Mar26 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Jun08 May18 May06 Feb01 Jan03 (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET SUCCESS Jun03 May09 Apr29 Oct28 Sep26 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LA ROSA May30 May09 Sep30 Aug24 Jul19 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jun19 Jun03 May09 Apr30 Apr10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
4  HIGH FIRE May30 May09 Apr13 Mar26 Feb29 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
5  LADY JASPER Jan18 Jan02 Dec07 Nov28 Oct25 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  CROSSED UP Apr13 Apr01 Mar14 Feb29 Feb13 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-6   06/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED COMET Jun05 May18 May01 Apr02 Mar12 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
2  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jun12 May22 Mar13 Feb15 Feb06 (rom)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAMMY'S TOY May22 May01 Mar25 Mar06 Feb24 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
4  STARS N SPACE May22 May07 Apr04 Mar06 Feb06 (overholt g)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.40 52% 0.90    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Oct12 Sep04 Aug10 Jul10 Jun06 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-7   06/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIR AND SQUARE Jun07 May14 Oct28 Sep13 Aug12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jun13 May21 Jan18 Jan03 Dec20 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
SCR  HENRY MAC Jun07 May01 Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 4.50    
4  LAKE RADIO May06 Apr19 Mar10 Feb24 Dec29 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Apr09 Feb26 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  TANTRUM Jun07 May14 Apr09 Nov14 Oct28 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
7  CHANNEL FURY Jun12 May20 May01 Sep11 Aug09 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
TDN-8   06/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Feb13 Dec30 Dec13 Nov28 Nov02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★    
2  GAIL'S DANCER Jun08 Oct10 Aug22 Jul19 Jun19 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Jan23 Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 Oct10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  TALE OF THE LYON Jun10 Mar17 Feb20 Jan01 Dec11 (poole joe)PILARES P 123 5.00    
5  BOX STEP May18 Apr24 Apr10 Jan04 Aug02 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  CONGRATS JENSEN May31 May18 Apr04 Feb27 Jan23 (cline c)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  HITCH CITY May28 Apr30 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 (johnson l)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 15.00    
8  CAUSE OF LOVE Jun11 May21 May13 Apr30 Apr11 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00    
9  CARMEN OHIO Jun08 May21 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.