Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - June 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/4/3)-(3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(3/7)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/7)-(4/3/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(4/3/7/6)-(5/7/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/7/6)-(5/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/6)-(5/7/6/4)-(1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(1/4/3)-(2/5/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(2/5/8/6)-(9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6/10)-(2/5/8/6/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/5/8/6)-(9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3)-(9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR CRAFTY May06 Apr09 Mar28 Mar17 Feb07 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
CRACK COMMAND May13 Apr23       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER May30 May06 Dec19 Nov16 Oct12 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
SMOKE SCREEN May30 May13 Mar28 Mar05   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  ZVONIMIR         (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
TURKODANCER May29         (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC'S CAILIN May27 May08 Nov28 Nov14 Oct10 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 1.80    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
COWGIRLS HUMOR May27 May07 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 (schuster ro)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
MI CANCION May27 May08 Feb19 Dec11 Nov22 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK May27 May07 Apr22 Apr08 Mar07 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
VICTORIA COMMAND May27 Oct28 Oct10 Sep21 Sep04 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
GEMSHINE May08 Dec20 Nov22     (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
 
TDN-3   06/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY KENNY WHY May28 May13 Apr22 Feb07 Jan23 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 12.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
DREAMINGABOUTTIME May29 May13 Apr13 Apr08 Mar20 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
AFTER SUNRISE May29 Nov15 Oct11 Sep05 Aug15 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
MARQUITOS M May29 May13 Nov22 Oct24 Sep21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
STRIKING LAD May28 May07 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 (flores israe)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
SWAYBACK MOBIL May29 May13 Apr08 Mar25 Feb29 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
EL CHAPIADOR May29         (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
 
TDN-4   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTRIAN NAVY Mar03 Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80    
THINK IT THRU Mar05 Jan02 Nov20 Oct31 Oct25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
CONSTITUTIONALIST May22 May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
MISS SHADY May22 May04 Apr01 Mar25 Mar05 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
ROWDY DAISY May22 Apr22 Mar02 Feb04 Dec29 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
THEODOROPOULOS May27 May15 Apr22 Mar20 Mar07 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL BEACH May27 Apr23 Mar13 Jan09 Dec27 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
 
TDN-5   06/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICKELS DEFENSE         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of UNUSUAL SPRING by UNUSUAL HEAT)
INTO THE BLACK         (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
CLOAK AND DAGGER Jun04 May14 Apr14 Mar24 Feb29 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
MO SNOW May21 May01 Apr13 Feb22 Feb12 (winter)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SNOW MESA by SKY MESA)
CAN'T YOU SEE Apr25 Feb09       (simmonds donald)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BLUE DRESS by DANZIG)
MEXITEXAFORNIA May21 Apr29 Apr01 Mar14 Oct23 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
TAP VALLEY May21 Apr20 Mar28 Feb23 Aug30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CASHCONSIDERATIONS by SUPER SAVER)
 
TDN-6   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE         (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of METTEMARLAMELVA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
WINGS OF HEAVEN May27 May08 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 114 2.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
BUCKEYE MIKE May29         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
SKUNK APE         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 15.00 26% 2.90    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
GRAY TORMENTOR May30 May13 Apr23 Nov16 Oct31 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
EL SORDO May30 Apr10 Mar25 Mar14 Feb22 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
TDN-7   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE AYE SIR May22 Nov02 Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
CHANNEL FURY May20 May01 Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
SO DIALED IN May20 May01 Feb26 Jan24 Dec21 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
STATESBORO May30 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
FREE SAILIN May22 May01 May19 Apr22 Mar30 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00 32% 2.10    
DOCTOR WU Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Oct24 Sep17 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOOD ON YA May21 Jan27 Jan12 Dec21 Dec05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 10.00    
FAT DADDY May30 Nov05 Oct15 Sep26 Sep12 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  IRISH UNITY May22 May01 Nov01 Oct19 Oct02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
10  TIME TO SHOOT Oct13 Sep27 Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-8   06/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BOY BOOGIE May22 Mar13 Feb15 Feb06 Jan15 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
SURROUNDER Apr04 Mar18 Mar11 Feb19 Jan24 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
BEAT THE DEALER Dec07 Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 Aug24 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Apr11 Mar26 Mar18 Mar04 Jan31 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  CORNER OFFICE May14 Apr23 Oct03 Aug28 Jul27 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
RED HOT POWER Jun04 May22 Apr24 Mar25 Mar14 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
BISCUITS AND GRITS May23 Apr04 Mar18 Feb29 Jan24 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
GIFT OF OAK May22 May06 Mar13 Feb29 Mar16 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
BRIG May23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun15 May20 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 75% 0.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.