Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Thursday - April 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (10/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (2/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNESCORTED Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
SURPRISED GEM Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Jan25 Jan09 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 15.00    
BEAUTY IN MOTION Dec27 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 (urieta johan)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
BRIGHT MOON Apr11 Mar30 Mar20 Mar09 Sep15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
WORKING HOLIDAY Apr10 Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 Nov30 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
MALI BALI Mar26 Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 Jan24 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80    
 
TDN-2   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUEL FUEL Mar25 Mar13 Feb28 Feb13 Feb05 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 121 5.00    
RUBINSTEIN Mar26 Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 Jan24 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 4.00    
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 10% 8.90    
CAMBIASO Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Feb01 Dec13 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS BEAR Feb28 Feb19 Jan08 Dec30 Dec11 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 Feb01 (calderon ivan)LEON A 121 2.00 16% 5.20    
KLAATU Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 Jul03 (sondej amy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLER Jul31 Jul11 Jun24 Jun05 May08 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 28% 2.60    
LAUDA SPEED Apr13 Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 Feb21 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
JOKEMEISTER Apr11 Mar20 Feb29 Sep05 Aug03 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
BACKATYA Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 Dec06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
SURF AND TURF Apr10 Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAKING ME CRAZY Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50    
 
TDN-4   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPASS POINT Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb14 Jan22 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
AWESOME ENOUGH Apr09 Mar11 Feb26 Feb13 Jan01 (gall)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
UNCLE KEVIN Apr01 Feb29 Feb15 Jan01 Dec12 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50    
APACHE Apr13 Apr01 Mar05 Feb24 Jan31 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
CUMBER Dec20 Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Aug15 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 13% 6.40    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME Apr10 Apr01 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 (casalinova ti)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANREADYEDDIE Apr02 Mar20 Feb15 Jan30 Dec28 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN SPOKE Apr08 Mar06 Feb01 Jan15 Dec13 (bail)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
G T THREE FIFTY Mar25 Feb28 Jan15 Dec28 May16 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 121 3.00 14% 6.00    
WILEY T Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 Feb22 Feb12 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 121 15.00    
OVER THE HILLS Feb20 Jan25 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 3.50 58% 0.70    
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 Jul10 Jun15 (mcdonald james)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Jun02 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 Nov29 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 5.00    
IT'S OFFICIAL Mar26 Mar06 Feb20 Jan08 Dec26 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
UPTOWN May10 Mar21 Feb23 Jan10 Nov15 (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   04/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jan04 Dec19 Dec07 Nov16 Aug23 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
BANK BUSTER Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 Feb20 Feb01 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
SHEWEARSMYRING Apr13 Mar13 Mar04 Feb28 Jan08 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
URBAN COWGIRL Apr08 Mar06 Feb15 Jan01 May11 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
MAKES SENSE TO ME Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 Feb13 Nov16 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr13 Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 Nov21 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   04/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU NAME IT Mar28 Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 Jan09 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Nov16 Oct21 Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SEEYOUINMOTOWN Apr11 Mar27 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
GO GIRL Mar28 Mar13 Feb26 Dec20 Nov28 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
EMERSON JONES Feb26 Jan08 Dec21 Dec07 Aug01 (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
PRETTY PATTY Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Jan31 Jan11 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 115 15.00    
STEALTH MODE Oct21 Sep28 Sep04 Aug03 Jul04 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 30% 2.40    
GOODNESS SAKES Feb08 Dec12 Nov16 Oct25 Sep22 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Feb26 Dec21 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
10  BODIL Mar28 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-8   04/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZULLY BELLA Feb28 Feb18 Dec28 Nov24 Sep16 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 15.00    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Mar07         (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
DAISY JONES Apr04 Mar20 Mar05 Jan31 Jan18 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 9% 9.90    
STRATOGALE Jun26         (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
NOT OVER YET Apr04         (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
SHARP AZ CAN BE Feb22 Nov25 Sep10     (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
IN AMERICAN Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov04   (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
DO YOU REALIZE Mar14         (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 119 6.00 8% 12.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.