Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (11/10/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/7/8)-(11/10/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/10/7/8)-(11/10/7/8/6)-(11/10/7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/10/7/8)-(4/3/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/10/7/8)-(4/3/1/5/10)-(1/6/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/3/1/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5/10)-(4/3/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5/10)-(4/3/1/5/10)-(4/3/1/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5/10)-(1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5/10)-(1/6/2/4)-(8/12/11/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(8/12/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/4)-(8/12/11/6)-(3/10/7/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/12/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/12/11/6)-(8/12/11/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/12/11/6)-(8/12/11/6/9)-(8/12/11/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/12/11/6)-(3/10/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/12/11/6)-(3/10/7/8/5)-(6/10/4/12/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/10/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/8/5)-(3/10/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/8/5)-(3/10/7/8/5)-(3/10/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/7/8/5)-(6/10/4/12/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7/8/5)-(6/10/4/12/11)-(7/6/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-6   WIN (6/10/4/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/12/11)-(6/10/4/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/12/11)-(6/10/4/12/11)-(6/10/4/12/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/4/12/11)-(7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/4/12/11)-(7/6/1)-(3/1/8/4/12) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(3/1/8/4/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(3/1/8/4/12)-(13/10/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/1/8/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/4/12)-(3/1/8/4/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/4/12)-(3/1/8/4/12)-(3/1/8/4/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/4/12)-(13/10/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-9   WIN (13/10/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/10/5/8)-(13/10/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/10/5/8)-(13/10/5/4/8)-(13/10/5/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POISED Oct28 Oct04 Sep06 Jul07 Jun10 (lauer micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
RUN RUN RABBIT Jan27 Dec13 Nov24 Nov01 Oct10 (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
KERLO'S CAUSE Jan26 Dec23 Nov27     (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
GIGI'S WORLD Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 Dec13 Nov13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00    
SCR  SHORESY Oct03 Sep21 Aug03 Jul13   (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
SECRET GLENDA Jan26 Dec23 Nov17 Oct25   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00    
DESIGNATED Jan25 Dec29 Dec08 Nov13 Oct30 (elliott m)CORREA L 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
FONDRE Jan25 Dec16 Oct20 Sep08 Aug11 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRACE AND GLORY Jan03 Dec06 Nov05     (contreras ci)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
10  PINOTSLILGIRL Feb21 Jan26 Dec23 Nov25 Oct08 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
11  LOVE TO EAT Feb15 Dec31 Dec03 Nov04 Oct08 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
TP-2   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE DEE B Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Dec02 (grubbs l)LEON SONNY 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
MIDNIGHT XO Feb01 Dec23 Nov29 Oct17 Oct07 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00    
ENGLISH CHARM Feb16 Feb02 Jan17 Dec23 Oct19 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 127 3.00 18% 4.50    
AUTISM COMPASSION Feb01 Jan13 Nov05 Oct27 Sep20 (kubinova elisk)CEDILLO ABEL 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
HEBRIDES Jan13 Dec06 Aug05 Jul09 May29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
VARSITY DOLL Feb14 Jan24 Oct23 Oct12 Sep27 (brooks )DE CRUZ 127 3.50    
SACRED CONNECTION Feb15 Dec29 Nov24 Oct30   (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 10.00    
STRONG DEMAND Feb01 Dec13 Oct31 Sep21 Sep05 (nance jonath)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
ZERO CLICK Feb08 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 Oct31 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
10  SPLIT DECISION Feb15 Jan24 Jan03 Nov10 Sep28 (ewing micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-3   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jan13 Dec23 Nov30 Oct14 Sep07 (kubinova elisk)ROMAN A 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
PSYCHEDELIC Feb14 Dec15 Feb01 Dec22 Nov20 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
AL TIRAH Feb14 Dec13 Mar11 Jan14 Dec11 (torres concepc)CEDILLO ABEL 123 6.00    
AMENSET Jan01 Nov13 May12 Apr13 Mar03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 6% 15.40    
LADAN Jan11 Dec22 Nov24 Nov16 Jan25 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50    
SWEET SWEETFANTASY Jan31 Dec14 Apr07 Jan18 Dec21 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
SCARLETTA Jun18 May13 Apr22     (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 123 12.00    
 
TP-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO LACA CHARM Dec27 Nov08 Oct17     (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SURF HAPPY Nov27         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
OUTLAW WOMAN Jan03 Nov09       (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
GOLD DEL MAR Feb15 Jan31 Dec30 Dec06 Nov15 (salas f)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
SCR  SABRINA Dec17         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
SUPERCILIOUS BOLT         (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MINESTRESS Dec30         (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
HEAVENLY DREAM Jan27 Dec30 May31 May10   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
BOLT ON THE ROCKS         (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
10  DELIGHTED (IRE) Feb08 Dec27       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
11  TIMEFORAGOODTIME         (ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
12  BLUE EYED SOUL (IRE) Apr26         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
TP-5   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTEMPLATION         (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
COUPERIN         (thomas jonathan)HESS SARA 113 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KUNDRAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SHARP SHOT Jan05 Nov04 Oct11     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of WEEKEND PROSPECT by A.P. INDY)
FROSTY INDULGENCE         (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SUMMER FLING by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
BANJO CHRIS Feb16         (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STORMY GIGI by STORM BOOT)
HAROLD'S JOY         (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
TWO BEERS BY TEN         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BAHAMA BABE by POINT OF ENTRY)
FALCON QUEST Dec22         (simms jr)LEON SONNY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of FALCONRY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BRODY Feb16 Jan05 Nov12     (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CINNIE by MARTE)
10  TROUBLE'S ROARING Jan26 Dec08 Nov10     (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
11  CAN'T JUMP Jan28         (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TELL ME WHY by MISWAKI)
12  STEEL LINK Dec22 Jun17       (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
 
TP-6   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cincinnati Trophy Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGGY Dec27 Nov24 Nov02     (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DE REGRESO Feb11 Jan01 Dec15 Nov03 Oct06 (sano antonio)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TEXAS GEM by TIZNOW)
SCR  SISTINA CHAPEL Jan20 Dec23 Nov26 Nov11 Sep13 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LIVING MAGIC Oct27 Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MAXISUPERFLY Feb10 Jan18 Dec09 Oct21   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of FIREFLY by WOODMAN)
BARBRATINA Jan05 Oct29 Aug11     (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SALLY RIDE by TAPIT)
COZEE RAGS Feb10 Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct15 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ROSEE IS COZEE by COZZENE)
DAZZLIN' DICTATOR Jan05 Dec13 Oct27 Sep21   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLLIDAZZLE by TIZNOW)
STEPHANIESWARRIOR Jan24 Dec13 Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 (capps a)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
10  EVERLAND Feb10 Dec30 Nov29 Oct07 Sep10 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of EVER CHANGING by TAPIT)
11  FALABELLA (IRE) Dec13 Oct19 Sep06     (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of NAUGHTY OR NICE by BERNARDINI)
12  VICOUNTESS Feb10 Dec29 Dec08 Oct10   (girten tim)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 12% 7.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ON THE BEACH by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  IMPEL Jan01         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YOUR LOVE by FLATTER)
SCR  SPICE Jan20 Jan01 Nov12 Sep03   (mccarthy mich)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
TP-7   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTE D'IVOIRE Feb08 Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 Jun09 (andrade)DE CRUZ 127 10.00 5% 19.00    
HARDY CHOICE Feb22 Feb03 Jan06 Dec14 Nov15 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.00    
MAYNARD Jan31 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct28 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00    
READY PURSUIT Feb09 Dec21 Nov26 Nov10 Oct24 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 10.00    
ROYAL VICKY Jan24 Dec14 Aug29 Jul23 May30 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50    
SPEED WARNING Jan13 Dec07 Oct24 Oct11 Sep04 (ewing michael )CEDILLO ABEL 125 8.00 27% 2.70    
SANT' ANTIMO Feb03 Dec09 Nov03 Oct11 Sep20 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
CATEGORY TEN Feb01 Dec22 Nov27 Nov14 Oct25 (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 125 12.00    
 
TP-8   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECESSION Jan26 Dec28 Sep22     (watkins m)LEON SONNY 125 3.00 12% 7.40    
RIVER RANSOM Jan26 Oct21 Sep29     (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
ALIBI IKE Feb17 Nov25 Jun18 Apr26 Feb03 (meraz antonio)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 46% 1.20    
REDHILL Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 Nov11 Oct16 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 12.00 6% 17.00    
PEPPER PETE Feb10         (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
SCR  DREW D'ORO Aug08 Jun04 May12     (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 108 12.00    
BOY WONDER Feb17 Jan26       (barrett a)ORM CORY 125 20.00    
CENTAURO Feb10 Dec28 Dec07 Nov10 Oct18 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50 11% 8.50    
ERASMUS Feb02 Jul13 Jun17 May20 Mar25 (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
10  MADDON May15 Apr14       (upton m)MOJICA JR 125 30.00    
11  LIGHTNING STRIKING Dec31         (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
12  OFF THE CUFF Dec20 Sep24 May26 Apr22 Mar16 (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-9   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIPARINO Jan05 Nov11 Jan01 Oct30 Sep24 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00    
WILD SEAN Jan25 Dec08 Nov26 Oct31 Oct09 (elliott)DE CRUZ 125 20.00    
ICONICUS Jan06 Nov10 Oct14 Aug11 Jul13 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 30.00    
FIRST STRIKE Feb02 Apr15 Feb11 Dec16 Oct18 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50    
FAITHFUL KING Jan26 Dec16 Nov19 Nov02 Oct05 (danner ke)LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 12% 7.50    
RUNNINGFORJOY Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 Oct06 May28 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
SCR  OH REALLY Dec22         (devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
STONEMONT REUNION Jan25 Dec08 Nov05 Apr15 Feb24 (rider dav)BERMUDEZ E 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
POOL GUY Jan31 Dec21       (humphries tho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
10  HOKU Dec09 Oct10 Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00 25% 2.90    
11  ASMODEUS Jan26 Jun10 May13 Mar25 Feb18 (morey william )ASHTON GAVIN 125 3.00    
12  GO BALI GO Jan26 Dec29 Dec01 Jun17 Apr29 (nance jonathan)ROMAN A 125 10.00    
13  MUCHO MOJO Feb02 Jan06 Dec08 Nov03 Sep10 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 125 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  CHIRON Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 Dec02 Nov05 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.