Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(1/4)-(6/4/2/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/4/2/7)-(4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7)-(6/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/7)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/7)-(4/5/7)-(2/6/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(2/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(2/6/1/8)-(1/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/8)-(2/6/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/8)-(2/6/1/8/7)-(2/6/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/1/8)-(1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/8)-(1/4/7)-(3/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(3/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(3/6/9)-(5/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/6/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/6/2/9)-(3/6/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/9)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAXEN Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 Mar23 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  LOIS Dec05 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
3  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Dec20 May22 Apr27 Feb20 Jan24 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  LEWD Dec18 Nov28 Nov06 Oct10 Sep07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
5  CATALENA Dec12 Nov15 Sep28 Aug05 Jul20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
6  AWILDAS TREASURE Dec20 Nov16 Oct28 Oct16 Sep25 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
7  DONNARUMMA Dec07 Nov21 Oct16 Sep12 Aug15 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-2   01/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APACHE Nov26 Nov13 Oct25 Oct11 Sep22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 64% 0.60    
2  CRIMSON ROCKET Nov29 Oct20 Mar26 Feb24 Feb12 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
3  GEMO RAIN Aug12 Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 Jun09 (crumley jevon)VEGA L 126 4.50    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Dec18 Dec05 Nov22 Nov12 Oct06 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAUDA SPEED Dec26 Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 Aug16 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 ★    
6  TWICE AS SMART Dec07 Nov22 Oct31 Sep12 Aug22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 5.00    
 
MVR-3   01/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEING CREATIVE Nov14 Nov04 Oct24 Feb23 Feb14 (za)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
2  PURDY PUMKIN Dec28 Dec07 Oct10 Sep21 Aug29 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
3  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Nov21 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul26 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
4  FABIOLA PRINCESS Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
5  WAR MOON Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 Oct23 Sep26 (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
6  MOONTAP Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Oct05 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 54% 0.90    
7  C C'S WORLD Dec03 Nov22 Nov08 Oct07 Sep20 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
8  STORMIN MELLY Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Sep26 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00    
 
MVR-4   01/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEENE ON JENNY Dec04 Oct31 Sep27 Sep08 Apr19 (torres)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
2  MO RISSA Dec05 Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 Aug26 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
SCR  ONACOUNTA Dec10 Nov29 Nov14 Oct14 Sep05 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
4  LIL BUT DELICIOUS Dec11         (west m)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
5  SPENDING CUTS Oct27 Sep11 Aug21 Jun12   (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 116 5.00 12% 7.10    
6  MY D'VALENTINE Dec05 Nov07 Sep19 Aug23 Aug08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
7  OPTIMIZME Dec12 Nov27 Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 (blankenship do)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   01/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRONTLINER Nov13 Oct17 Sep06 Jul03 Jun05 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 9% 10.80    
2  INSIDE STUNT Nov22 Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 Aug20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  ENZOEXPRESS Dec11 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 Aug14 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00    
4  MAKING ME CRAZY Dec20 Nov30 Nov13 Nov01 Oct21 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
5  TRIGZ TOO Aug08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May22 (bernardini ja)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
6  MALIBU CLASSIC Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct21 Sep27 (trevino stephen )VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov22 Sep26 Sep04 Jul30 Jul19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 ★    
8  CRAFTY CONQUEST Oct21 Sep25 Aug21 Aug01 Jul08 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
9  SUMMERFEST Dec06 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Dec20 Dec04 Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 61% 0.60    
2  AGNELLO'S DREAM Dec20 Dec04 Nov20 Nov01 Oct02 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
3  BEACH HOLIDAY Dec21 Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 Oct18 (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
4  R CARDINAL PRINCE Dec20 Oct30 Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 (vecchio ca)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.00 12% 7.10    
5  CENTSOFWANDER Dec20 Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 Sep18 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE Dec06 Nov21 Nov16 Nov08 Oct30 (gom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
7  STAR ENTERTAINER Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 Aug29 Aug03 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KALINBA Dec12 Dec04 Nov05 Oct15 Oct03 (lopez jaci)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
2  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Dec18 Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 Jun10 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★    
3  KNICKS STORY Oct30 Oct16 Oct19 Aug31 Jul22 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
4  NEOKING Nov07 Jul19 May24 May17 May06 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00    
5  LEFTLANEOUTLAW Nov29 Nov09 Sep11     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
6  MEADOW VALUE Dec29 Dec15 Nov20 Oct31   (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
7  TIMESATAPPIN Dec11 Nov01 Oct06 Aug24 Aug06 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 8.00    
8  FROSTY PAWS Dec05 Nov09 Nov26     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
9  HITSVILLE Nov30 Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 Sep21 (fadlovich mega)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALCYON DAYS         (short thomas)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of BOUNDLESS JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Dec13 Nov17 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 (torres)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
3  BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Nov27 Oct16       (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 4.00 ★    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
4  DR G AND ALI Nov20 Oct18 Sep27     (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of OVERDRIVE by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  BLENHEIM BABY Nov15         (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ONESTARATATIME by CAPE CANAVERAL)
6  CITRINA Dec16 Nov30 Nov11     (zielinski )COLINA ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BANDED by HOSTAGE)
7  MY JENNY Oct16 Oct02 Sep05     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANNIE'S MELODY by FORESTRY)
SCR  SURF HAPPY Nov27         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SURPLUS GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.