Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/5/2/6)-(7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-2   WIN (1/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/6)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/6)-(7/6/1)-(7/2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(5/2/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-4   WIN (7/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/1)-(5/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/1)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/3/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(5/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7)-(5/3/1/6)-(3/8/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6)-(5/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/6)-(3/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/6)-(3/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-7   WIN (3/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/1)-(6/2/5/7)-(1/3/5/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BEL-8   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(1/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-9   WIN (1/3/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8)-(1/3/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Jun03 Apr29       (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 17% 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
JESSICA'S RIDE May21 Apr29       (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
BIG HAZEL Jun16 May27 May05 Feb11   (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLUEGRASS ARCH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ICHIBAN Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
FOXY CARA May21 Apr29 Apr06     (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
BEL-2   06/25/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLABORATION May29 May04 Apr08 Sep15 Aug03 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
SALS DREAM GIRL May29 Mar26 Jan25 Dec26 Nov06 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
SNOWY EVENING Jun03 May27 Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
LA CONQUISTADORA Jun01 May05 Apr15 Feb24 Dec16 (breen kelly)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
RHEAUME Jun01 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 May30 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
RED HOT CHICK May06 Apr08 Sep17 Aug17   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
LADY JASMINE May29 May04 Apr08 Sep01 Aug03 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50    
SCR  HARLAN'S BOND May20 Apr22 Mar17 Feb20   (donk david)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
 
BEL-3   06/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAY'SINMYDNA Jun18 May26 May14 Apr29 Apr21 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
REUNION TOUR Jun04 May20 Apr29 Mar30 Mar18 (ferraro jame)TORRES A 120 10.00    
SORPRESO Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 Feb18 (delauro edw)MARTINEZ R 120 12.00    
JUGGLER May29 May05 Apr22 Apr01 Oct17 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00    
SCR  SOUNDS SPOOKY Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 Feb17 Dec30 (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 12.00    
CENTRAL PRIDE Jun04 May05 Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 18% 4.60    
WARMAN ROAD May05 Apr15 Mar11 Sep16   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
BEL-4   06/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CREATION May07 Apr15 Feb04 Jan07 Dec03 (terranova john )CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
OPERATION TORCH May07 Apr08 Mar03     (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
BABY BILLY May14 Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 Jan01 (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LACHAISE Jun03 Oct02 Aug04     (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
SCRAMBLE May07 Mar03 Jan21 Nov06 Oct16 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00    
THUNDERIAN Jun09 May27 Apr27 Apr15 Mar25 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
PROGRAM TRADING (GB) May14         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
SCR  WINTERS LION May27 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jun04 Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Sep29 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50    
 
BEL-5   06/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE May21 Apr29 Mar30 Feb09 Jan20 (barrera osca)TORRES A 115 10.00    
CUPID'S CLAWS Mar31 Jan28 Nov04 Oct20 Sep28 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
MY FRIENDS BEER May27 Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  GLORY ROAD May27 Apr27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
DUST DEVIL May27 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
PIT BOSS May27 May04 Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
LITTLE DEMON May20 Mar16 Feb11 Jan20 Jan14 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LASTCHANCEATGLORY Feb25 Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 11% 8.10    
ROCCO STRONG May27 Oct15 Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
 
BEL-6   06/25/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHERZANDO May29 May05 Apr07 Mar17 Apr28 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 7% 14.30    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
FROSTUITOUS         (lugov)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of FROSTY LADY by FROST GIANT)
FORWARD MOVE (IRE)         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
LAUREL VALLEY Jun11 Feb18 Jan08 Dec17   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of DOUBLE DINGHY DAY by FORESTRY)
FACTUALLY CORRECT May29 May05 Apr07 Jan28 Dec31 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
SHARPAZ May29 Dec08 Nov11     (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GRAN LUCKY GIRL by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
MISSION HILL         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
SCR  NOBILIS May20 Sep29 Sep05     (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BOOM BOOM VROOM by ZENSATIONAL)
 
BEL-7   06/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO REMEMBER May29 Apr28 Nov10 Oct23 Sep25 (lynch natalia)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY May29 Sep25 Aug18 Jul09 Jun19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
NEW GINYA Apr27 Apr08 Nov06 Oct08 Sep05 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
DREAM CENTRAL May26 Oct30 Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
SHINFULL May29 Apr28 Mar03 Feb05 Jan13 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES May14 Apr22 Nov19 Oct20 Sep25 (lee joseph)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
SILKEN DOLLAR May26 Apr27 Dec29 Dec04 Nov06 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
MOONAGE DAYDREAM May29 Apr28 Mar04 Nov05 Sep30 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 116 2.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  FANCY JOKE May21 Apr16 Jul01     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.80    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Jun01 May04 Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY May20 May04 Apr27 Apr08 Mar12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  DIVA BANKER May07 Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 Jan27 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
 
BEL-8   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dancin Renee Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER May20 Mar12 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 (cash j)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
ROSSA VELOCE May14 Apr07 Mar11 Jan27 Dec31 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GIROLAMO out of SPUNTASTIC by HARD SPUN)
BANK ON ANNA May12 Dec04 Oct06 Aug12 Jul23 (serpe m)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
STERLING SILVER May29 Apr22 Mar11 Nov05 Sep25 (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GRANNYS CONNECTION May28 Mar19 Feb25 Jan15 Dec16 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CONNECT out of GRANNY'S DRINK by OLD FASHIONED)
BETSY BLUE Feb12 Jan21 Dec10 Dec03 Oct30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
KANT HURRY LOVE May12 Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan06 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHE'S ALL LOVE by LANGFUHR)
 
BEL-9   06/25/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAURITIUS May26 Apr22 Mar10 Jan26 Dec17 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
ACAMAR May20 May05 Apr22 Mar30 Aug01 (ryerson jame)TORRES A 121 12.00    
BORN A GAMBLER Jun04 May14 Apr22 Jul15 Jun18 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
ADDICTED TO YOU May26 Apr22 Dec02 Nov05 Oct06 (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00    
MISTER ABARRIO Jun04 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan01 (perez l)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
WATASHA May26 May19 Apr01 Jan14 Dec18 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Mar25 Nov05 Apr30     (kingsley ar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
HIGH STRIKE Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 Jan25 Dec02 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
LEGENDARY LORE May26 May06 Apr22 Mar17 Dec18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
10  AMERICAN GRANT May14 Apr27 Mar31 Feb25 Jan28 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL May11 Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Jun18 May06 Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.