Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (1/3/10/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (3/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (1/8/12/16/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRAILING MONSTER May18         (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOU'S LEGACY May04 Apr13       (andrade hug)CORREA L 119 8.00 5% 17.60    
CALL ME ANDY         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
TOP OF THE STREET May18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SONOFASHIP May03 Apr13       (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
CARD TRICK         (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
HIGGINS BOAT         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
HAILSTORM         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
SCR  LET'S GO MARK May03 Apr13       (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   06/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICENT MILE May13 Apr18 Mar25 Feb03 Dec11 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
FORGE IN FIRE Apr20 Mar17       (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
LOTS OF MISCHIEF Sep01         (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
PHILHARMONIC Oct14 Aug20       (zito p)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHITWOOD Mar02 Sep24       (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
BOURBON FEVER         (wilkes r)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
LUPO'S LEGACY May13 Apr13 Mar12 Oct29 Oct16 (lejzerowicz j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
CD-3   06/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG MOZZ Jan04 Nov19       (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 119 3.50    
PLATINUM GHOST Apr27 Mar15       (hansen scott)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
SCAT DANZ Mar19 Feb25       (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
TEXAS TED May21 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 Feb24 (castanon g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CREPE YARNS Nov26 Oct30 Sep29     (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
MONCRIEF Sep23         (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
DAVID'S TUITION         (baker james)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 11% 7.70    
LITTLE STEVEN Apr14 Jan21 Dec16     (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   06/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLE SOUL Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
HOZIER Apr07 Dec17 Nov13 Oct03 Sep05 (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
CADDO RIVER May06 Apr01 Feb25 Jan21 Dec17 (lukas wa)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
STITCHED May04 Apr08 Sep10 Jun22 May18 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00    
PLAY ACTION PASS Nov27 Oct29 Sep14 Jul30 Jun04 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST May04 Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov26 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
GREYES CREEK Apr07 Jan28 Dec01 Oct15 Aug21 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH BEE May04 Mar04 Jan13 May21 Apr02 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
TRADEMARK Apr22 Mar11 Nov27 Oct20 Aug26 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
10  CAMP HOPE May04 Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 May21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 15% 5.60    
11  GRAY'S FABLE May04 Apr01 Feb10 Oct08 Sep10 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE May11 Feb18 Jan28 Nov06 Sep19 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRODIGIOUS BAY Mar31 Feb10 Jan22 Oct15 Sep24 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
COOL RAGS Apr27 Mar30 Mar11 Feb22 Jan21 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 6.00    
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE May19 Mar31 Mar10 Jan15 Nov16 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
CARMICHAEL May11 Feb05 Nov23 Oct27 Aug16 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
RAM May13 Apr16 Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 4.00    
SCR  ODDSONTONY May18 Apr28 Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CD-6   06/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY May12 Apr21 Apr01 Mar17 Mar11 (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
NEED SOME MONEY May20 Apr28 Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00    
GHOSTLY GIRL May11 Apr22 Mar30 Feb17 Feb04 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 41% 1.50    
CHARLEE MAE May11 Apr22 Apr07 Mar10 Feb05 (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
SCR  GIRL AFRAID Jan22 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
PIGALLE Mar16 Feb16 Jan18     (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
PACHANGA LOCA Apr28 Mar09 Feb18 Feb08 Jan20 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
FRIGID LADY May11 Apr14 Feb03 Jan12 Nov19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
MOON MAGIC CHRISSY May11 Apr14 Mar04 Feb11 Jan04 (danner doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
 
CD-7   06/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWLING TIME Jul23 Jun12 May21 Apr16 Mar05 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
BAGBOSS May04 Jul30 Jun12 May04 Apr10 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
CHASING TIME May04 Apr08 Feb25 Feb05 Aug14 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRO OXIDANT Apr08 Feb12 Dec29 Nov04 Sep17 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
TULANE TRYST Jan27 Dec26 May04 Mar19 Feb10 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 15% 5.90    
DIVINE LEADER May12 Apr26 Apr16 Feb17 Feb09 (shirer a)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
RADICAL RIGHT May04 Apr15 Mar11 Feb05 Nov26 (miller pet)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
MISTER MMMMM May02 Apr08 Mar05 Feb11 Jan06 (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
 
CD-8   06/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LA CARTE Apr28 Mar12 Feb03     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
MAASAI WARRIOR Apr29 Mar02 Jan22 Jan01 Dec09 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00    
SCR  WESTERN GHENT May06 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
UNLEASH THE POWER Apr29 Mar02 Feb04 Oct27 Sep01 (stall m)LANERIE J 124 10.00    
POLICY OPTION May13 Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50    
SCR  KENTUCKY COOL Mar31 Mar15 Feb22 Dec14 Oct11 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 30.00    
BLUE DEVIL Feb17 Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 Sep01 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN PATH May04 Mar31       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
SAM STORMY Apr21 Feb25 Oct30 Sep08   (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
10  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Mar03 Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 Oct29 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
11  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 (catalano wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00    
12  GAMER Apr26 Mar25 Mar02 Feb11   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  DEGREE OF RISK Feb05 Jan02 Nov11 Oct29 Aug13 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
14  HE'S A ANGEL Apr14 Mar16 Jan11 Oct29 Oct06 (macias adolfo)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
SCR  BOCO May15 Apr21 Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
16  SANTORINI Mar25 Mar04 Jan21 Dec09 Oct21 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPARTAN ARMY May03 Feb21 Dec29 Nov25 Nov04 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU May11 Mar26 Nov02 Oct01 Sep03 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50    
SCR  SAQEEL Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Feb10 Nov18 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.