Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(6/4/3)-(5/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/4/8)-(4/3/9/7/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/8)-(5/4/8/1/7)-(5/4/8/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8)-(4/3/9/7/6)-(5/1/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/7/6)-(4/3/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/7/6)-(4/3/9/7/6)-(4/3/9/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/7/6)-(5/1/4/3)-(7/2/6/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
TDN-5   WIN (5/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/3)-(7/2/6/10/9)-(5/6/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/2/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/10/9)-(7/2/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/10/9)-(7/2/6/10/9)-(7/2/6/10/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/10/9)-(5/6/9/4)-(6/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/4)-(5/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/4)-(5/6/9/4)-(5/6/9/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/9/4)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MATT Mar06 Feb23 Jan23 Jan11 Dec28 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
2  THE EQUINEST Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 (bailey ri)BRICENO M 114 15.00 7% 12.40    
3  SMALL BUT FEISTY Apr15 Feb25 Feb03 Dec02 Oct09 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 5.00 8% 11.80    
4  SECRET SANCTUARY Apr14 Mar19 Mar09 Feb04 Jan28 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80    
5  MR CLINE Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Dec16 Nov22 (cline c)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  SOAKING WET Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 (londono j)CULP BRIANNE 119 15.00    
7  FISHING FOR FUN Apr15 Apr05 Mar15 Feb09 Jan25 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
TDN-2   05/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUGS MORNING PICK Mar22 Mar08 Jan28 Dec12 Nov10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
2  SPEEDY MOBILE Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 Dec21 Dec03 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
3  SEND ME ON Nov15 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul15 (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 114 5.00 7% 12.50    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec12 May03 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  VISUAL MISSION Mar20 Mar09 Feb23 Jan09 Dec21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50    
6  GOING WITH STYLE Mar30 Feb28 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 (young )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 39% 1.50    
 
TDN-3   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN RILEY Apr11 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
1A  JOES A ROCKIN Apr06 Mar23 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 ★    
2  JUST CHESTER Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 (bird danny)TORREALBA JG 118 20.00    
3  PLATE IT UP Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
4  OFTEN ENOUGH Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Nov28 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  THE MAN CAN Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
7  PRECIOUS JULES Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00 ★    
8  HENRY THE CAT Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Sep06 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
9  MOBIL AT LAST Mar14 Dec21 Dec12 Nov22 Nov03 (diehl can)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL Mar20 Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
2  TIDE RISING Apr26 Apr04 Mar08 Feb13 Jan28 (mahan p)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
3  CHISELED JUSTICE Apr13 Mar08 Dec14 Nov22 Sep21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  OHIO EAGLE Sep15 Sep05 Aug02 Jul22 Jun30 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50 35% 1.80    
5  POWERFUL PHIL Dec21 Dec03 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00    
6  BABA LOOEY Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 Sep14 Aug08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWEET LEMON DROP Dec06 Nov12 Oct24 Sep19 Sep01 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 10% 9.50    
8  MANGA MAN Jan11 Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 Sep22 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 3.00    
9  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Mar13 Jan11 Dec12 Nov09 Oct24 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
TDN-5   05/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUTLER Sep22 Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  CHACO SPIRIT Apr12 Mar22 Feb20 Jan30 Jan03 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 8.00    
3  THE COOKIE MAN Apr04 Mar13 Jan24 Jan16 Jan03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.50    
4  THE COACHMAN Apr26 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Feb07 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 6.00 9% 10.30    
5  KREWE CHIEF Apr12 Mar28 Mar09 Feb22 Jan23 (reed r)RIVERA R 119 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY Mar29 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  ZELIG Jan09 Nov28 Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
8  OTIS OTIS OTIS Apr14 Mar26 Mar11 Feb03 Jan22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
9  OVER THE HILLS Apr15 Mar27 Mar08 Oct28 Sep23 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 4.50    
 
TDN-6   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTION COAL Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 117 6.00    
2  STAGE NAME Apr13 Feb21       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 15% 5.90    
3  K KID Apr06 Dec30 Dec22 Oct29 Oct12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
4  OXBOW'S RIDE Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 Jan04 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 15.00    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Sep06 Aug03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 12.00    
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 Jul05 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  INTO GOLD Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Dec19 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  BUCKEYE RED Mar30 Mar06 Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 119 20.00    
9  LOTSA MATCHA Mar20 Feb21 Jan19     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 10.00 6% 16.60    
10  CAVALETTO Apr06 Feb09 Jan04 Dec03 Nov01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
TDN-7   05/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Mar30 Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
2  HOLY SAINT Apr15 Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Feb09 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 8.00    
3  SHADOW TRACER Apr25 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul06 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
4  FRONTLINER Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 10% 9.50    
5  GEHRIG Apr04 Mar01 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 119 6.00 34% 2.00    
6  FLIPPING FISH Apr15 Mar15 Mar05 Feb19 Feb08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 14% 6.40    
7  LAUDA SPEED Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
SCR  FAHRENHEIT Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 (trevino st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
9  TRIGZ TOO Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 Jan30 Jan05 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-8   05/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL FURY Oct14 Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  I WANNA WIN Oct29 Sep27 Sep07 Aug13 Jul18 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
2  LAZARUS PROJECT Dec05 Nov08 Oct22 Oct10 Sep29 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
SCR  NICE ACE Oct23 Sep19 Aug22 Aug03 Jul26 (girten tim)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
4  SO DIALED IN Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 Dec06 Nov12 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
5  ENERGIZER Mar13 Dec06 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
6  WOODLAND WALK Oct22 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 May30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.